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  1. #176
    Veteran scott's Avatar
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    I wouldn't give up any swap, tbh. The Spurs have enough draft capital to not have to go through a year without a first round pick.
    Unfortunately what works best for Utah to add in draft capital is 26 and 28, when the Spurs only have one pick. We could probably do draft day moves off surplus picks in 25 and 27 to get a pick in 26 and 28 though if we had to though.

    The more I work through this and look at Utah's pick chest, the more I think our more attractive picks to Ainge are SA26, SA28, SA30, MIN31

  2. #177
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    Probably not... though if I'm Ainge I'm not sure I want Kuminga, he (slightly) raises the floor when they probably just want to bottom out. Rather than Kuminga (or Vassell for that matter), Ainge *should* want to get the highest pick possible in the next two drafts to find his superstars, and then use that warchest to build around them (much like the Spurs should be doing now that they landed Wemby).

    The MIN angle I think is the best thing we have working for us. With that, Ainge extends his death grip on MIN's balls even deeper. As Gobert ages and KAT maybe starts to fall off... it would make Utah the natural destination to deal Ant if they need to reset (which I don't think will happen... but this is the Houston/Brooklyn - Brooklyn/Phoenix strategy which appears to be paying dividends for those teams).
    Hard to beat the Hawks and Wolves picks while taking a flyer on Sochan and maybe getting out of John Collin's deal. Its almost impossible to beat if the Jazz are looking to tank for future superstars via draft.

  3. #178
    5. timvp's Avatar
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    Giving Lauri a max contract has to be baked into any conversation of acquiring him.

    IMO, he's not the right player to get all-in for pick-wise. It's close because he's an awesome offensive player but I'm not sure his defense is good enough to build around as a second star. He can get targeted -- and could become a liability once he's ~30.

    I want to keep ATL25, ATL26SWAP, SA25 and SA26. I'd probably be on board if the major assets given up are ATL27, MINDAL30SWAP and MIN31. That's still a lot though because Atlanta could be even worse, that Minnesota/Dallas swap has a really good chance of being a lottery pick and MIN31 could also be damn good.

    I'd include Sochan in a trade for Lauri if Ainge values him as a first round pick. He'd lose most of his use here. Vassell would need to be valued as two first round picks before I'd even think about it. In total, Lauri probably will cost the equivalent of four or five good first round picks.

    The cheapest way to get Lauri would be to give ATL back their picks, have ATL find a team desperate for Trae Young and then have those assets shipped to the Jazz along with Zach Collins.

  4. #179
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Does that beat Kuminga + Podz + unprotected 2026 + unprotected 2028 + top 6 protected 2030 + 2031 swap?
    I don't think GSW guts their roster like that and I don't think Ainge lets them protect 2030.

  5. #180
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    Do they only pay state taxes for home games? I would think it would be all 82.

    If that's the case, do they pay state income tax for each state they visit when on the road? If that's the case then quite a few of those games are still in California anyways with 4 Western Conference teams in California.
    yeah you pay taxes on where it is earned, ie where the games are played. So a Tx team vs a Cal team is a 6.5+% pay increase (45 games in TX vs 47 games in Cali)
    Last edited by Arguendo; 07-01-2024 at 03:00 PM.

  6. #181
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    I hope the Spurs don't overpay for Lauri, which would be easy to do in either assets or the contract he eventually would want

    He's not a max player, though close, and shouldn't be costing more than a couple of nice firsts and a bunch of seconds considering he's on his last year
    You have to max him in order to get him. And he deserves the max too.

  7. #182
    Machacarredes Chinook's Avatar
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    The Collins part doesn't have legs. The Spurs can't afford to take him.

  8. #183
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    I think they offer unprotected picks to keep from dealing Kuminga and Podziwhateverthe and then in three years when looks dire Markannen can just force a trade out of town Kawhi style.
    I agree. The warriors will be willing to offer their FRPs in order to keep their championship open.

  9. #184
    ಥ﹏ಥ DAF86's Avatar
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    Giving Lauri a max contract has to be baked into any conversation of acquiring him.

    IMO, he's not the right player to get all-in for pick-wise. It's close because he's an awesome offensive player but I'm not sure his defense is good enough to build around as a second star. He can get targeted -- and could become a liability once he's ~30.

    I want to keep ATL25, ATL26SWAP, SA25 and SA26. I'd probably be on board if the major assets given up are ATL27, MINDAL30SWAP and MIN31. That's still a lot though because Atlanta could be even worse, that Minnesota/Dallas swap has a really good chance of being a lottery pick and MIN31 could also be damn good.

    I'd include Sochan in a trade for Lauri if Ainge values him as a first round pick. He'd lose most of his use here. Vassell would need to be valued as two first round picks before I'd even think about it. In total, Lauri probably will cost the equivalent of four or five good first round picks.

    The cheapest way to get Lauri would be to give ATL back their picks, have ATL find a team desperate for Trae Young and then have those assets shipped to the Jazz along with Zach Collins.
    Lauri is worth acquiring but for the right price. No swaps, no picks that leave us without a FRP in a given year and no Vassell. If that's not enough, then so be it. I really doubt the Jazz would be able to get a lot more than what the Spurs can give them, unless the Warriors decide to their entire next decade over in exchange of a farewell to Curry.

  10. #185
    The Dude minds DPG21920's Avatar
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    Let him pilfer golden state then

  11. #186
    Veteran vy65's Avatar
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    I don't think GSW guts their roster like that and I don't think Ainge lets them protect 2030.
    Yeah, then I don't understand what GSW's offer is? 3 unprotected 1sts + 2 unprotected swaps and Wiggins? Why would GSW do that trade and commit to a future core of Lauri/Podz/Kuminga with no draft future. Once Klay and Draymond are gone, wouldn't GSW's talent level be the same as Utah's, only without any of the draft capital at all. That would set that franchise back years.

  12. #187
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Yeah I just don't see why Lauri hitches his wagon up to Podz + Kuminga vs. Wemby, particularly if GSW throws its future out to get him. 47 of the 82 games he'll play will be taxed at 12.5%, so I don't see his deal being more lucrative.
    Maybe so, but that fifth year might offset that. I wouldn't be very confident getting him in free agency.

  13. #188
    Out with the old... Obstructed_View's Avatar
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    I don't get why you guys love Devin Vassell so much.

  14. #189
    ಥ﹏ಥ DAF86's Avatar
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    I don't get why you guys love Devin Vassell so much.
    He's a third option on a nice contract. Also, he's still getting better.

  15. #190
    The Dude minds DPG21920's Avatar
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    I don't get why you guys love Devin Vassell so much.
    You think Keldon is a negative and don’t value dev much. I think you’re way off on spurs players tbh

  16. #191
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    Here is the process:

    Both warriors and Spurs will offer Lauri the max extension. Both will promise to use him as their #2 guy.

    Then Lauri will decide: which team will be better in the next 4 to 5 years? Spurs or warriors?

    Once Lauri answers this question, he will simply tell the other team that he will not extend with them. This will be Warriors.

    Then warriors will withdraw their offer to Ainge. Then spurs will easily get Lauri with 3 FRPS. I'll throw in 4 just to be conservative.

    This is just like the Siakam deal. One he figures that Indiana will be a better team, Warriors is out.

    Cheers guys! he is coming!

  17. #192
    Veteran Spurs9's Avatar
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    You can get better value trading those picks mid season for a star who wants to get out of his team. Getting Lauri here would be paying too high.

  18. #193
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    If Bridges get four first rounders Lauri gets at least that much if not five first rounders. You don't get him for only three firsts unless you include Dev and take back John Collins.

  19. #194
    The Dude minds DPG21920's Avatar
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    Chi pick taking a hit with DeRozan and Caruso gone unfortunately

  20. #195
    Believe. LeBowen's Avatar
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    I don't get why you guys love Devin Vassell so much.
    I'm kind of torn on him.
    This season I was really annoyed with him in a lot of games where he was so passive and allowed inferior players like Jeremy and Keldon to impose themselves and chuck out out of games.
    But as a third option he makes sense, especially given his contract.

    $141M-154M-170M-187M-205M are the future cap projections.
    Devin is going to be on $27M a year during those seasons.

    16%-14%-13% of the cap in final three seasons of that deal.

    Even if he doesn't improve much, that would be amazing value for an efficent 20ppg scorer who doesn't need the ball and is a solid enough defender.
    Quickley got 175/5 the other day.
    The most important thing in the upcoming seasons will be to have players on team-friendly deals.

  21. #196
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Yeah, then I don't understand what GSW's offer is? 3 unprotected 1sts + 2 unprotected swaps and Wiggins? Why would GSW do that trade and commit to a future core of Lauri/Podz/Kuminga with no draft future. Once Klay and Draymond are gone, wouldn't GSW's talent level be the same as Utah's, only without any of the draft capital at all. That would set that franchise back years.
    Putting myself in their shoes, the thinking is mortgaging the future for the present because it's highly unlikely they'll land another Curry in the next say 20 years and this is their shot to win one more while he's still an elite player. It'll cost a lot but not everyone can be the Spurs having Robinson, Duncan, and Wembanyama land in their laps on pure luck.

  22. #197
    Veteran scott's Avatar
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    As badly as I want Lauri here, I do agree that if GSW is going to seppuku themselves to get him then we should just step aside.

    I'll be the first on this site to stand on the table and advocate for a highly aggressive move to get Lauri... but we shouldn't commit suicide. Among the very few things I trust this FO to do... not going way overboard is one of them.

    By overboard, here is an example of a deal I WOULD NOT do:

    Vassell
    SA26
    SA28
    SA30
    MIN31

    Here are variations of that deal I *would* do:

    Vassell
    SA30
    MIN31

    or

    SA26
    SA28
    SA30
    MIN31
    With Keldon or Collins as the salary matching (preferably Collins. He's a negative asset, but maybe not for Utah. He's a good tank commander and helps get to the salary floor for them).

  23. #198
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    I desperately want Lauri. But, if 4 FRPS are not enough. I'll simply wait for Naz Reid next summer and throw him max offer.

  24. #199
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    If Bridges get four first rounders Lauri gets at least that much if not five first rounders. You don't get him for only three firsts unless you include Dev and take back John Collins.
    The Spurs have better first rounders to offer Utah than New York was able to offer Brookyln.

  25. #200
    Believe. LeBowen's Avatar
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    As badly as I want Lauri here, I do agree that if GSW is going to seppuku themselves to get him then we should just step aside.

    I'll be the first on this site to stand on the table and advocate for a highly aggressive move to get Lauri... but we shouldn't commit suicide. Among the very few things I trust this FO to do... not going way overboard is one of them.

    By overboard, here is an example of a deal I WOULD NOT do:

    Vassell
    SA26
    SA28
    SA30
    MIN31

    Here are variations of that deal I *would* do:

    Vassell
    SA30
    MIN31

    or

    SA26
    SA28
    SA30
    MIN31
    With Keldon or Collins as the salary matching (preferably Collins. He's a negative asset, but maybe not for Utah. He's a good tank commander and helps get to the salary floor for them).
    You made a good post with all of their assets.

    What about effectively trading down?
    As in giving them Hawks picks, but getting Cavs picks they own in return.
    Obviously we'd have to give up more than we get, but still.

    I think those two Minnesota picks are the first thing teams would agree on in a trade. It just makes too much sense for the Jazz, as already mentioned.

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