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  1. #1151
    El rojo y los Spurs!!! Ariel's Avatar
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    Tbh, biggest takeaway is that Spurs can offer the best package and should just tell Ainge call us after you've exhausted all other options so we can see what's the best offer you got.
    Then they either beat it or say Markkanen isn't worth that much.
    Agreed. Spurs shouldn't help Ainge put Markkanen out of their reach by entering a bidding war and inflating his value, if he's serious about trading Lauri then sit and negotiate directly with the Spurs' FO, if you want to play games then FO.

  2. #1152
    Veteran RC_Drunkford's Avatar
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    I said this earlier, but I think Ainge/Zanik (to give proper credit - AAFTO?) have probably committed to moving Lauri (not Ainge, that was a typo - sorry) this offseason, and that the "we don't want to trade him" is just them being good at their jobs, just like all these leaks of "20 teams have called" is. AAFTO is trying to squeeze every last drop out of this deal, and they should (in their position).

    I also believe there are likely multiple teams registering serious interest, and probably a small handful of teams (and maybe those teams are in fact, GSW, SAS and SAC... but maybe it's some others) who have made "significant offers". These leaks are just AAFTO trying to squeeze out a few more assets. AAFTO is doing their duty to their team. Whether or not it works, is another question. He only needs one team to blink, and he has time.

    Where he loses leverage is when Aug 6 comes (if that is in fact the date) and the days start to pass by with no extension. At that point, it becomes obvious that there will be no extension, and one threat to the acquisition will be taken off the table. Right now, the idea of extending Lauri gives AAFTO leverage - and that's why you hear the story "we don't want to trade Lauri". If teams were allowed to collude, it would be everyone's best interest to wait until after 8/6 to make real offers... but since they can't, it only requires one team to defect. This is Game Theory 101. The Nash Equilibrium here is that Lauri gets traded before 8/6 for a price higher than what will be required after 8/6.

    For PAFTO, I don't see them as a team that will blink.

    Edit: corrected typo
    but they can't extend him for the max can they? Somebody here said it's only for a certain percentage of the 18 million he's earning now. Markkanen would never sign that type of deal.

  3. #1153
    Machacarredes Chinook's Avatar
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    but they can't extend him for the max can they? Somebody here said it's only for a certain percentage of the 18 million he's earning now. Markkanen would never sign that type of deal.
    APPARENTLY, they can renegotiate to give Mark a pay raise, then use the increased salary as the basis for the extension. My brains are basically leaking out of my ears at this point. But if that's true, teams are looking at this as either Lauri on a long-term deal but with a higher (and harder-to-match) salary for this year or Lauri at a rather-easy-to-match salary but without the assurance of him already being signed to a long-term deal.

  4. #1154
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    The problem for the Jazz is that all the GMs making offers are smart and aren’t going to overpay. GSW, Spurs, and the Heat are too well run to give the haul Ainge will want. Kings have a better GM and don’t do the stupid stuff they did in the past. Ainge prays on dumb teams and desperate teams and none of those teams are the kind he exploits.

    I predict Jazz resign him and wait for a desperate team to show next season.
    I don’t think he re-signs there. He hasn’t been thrilled with two years of tanking. Why would he sign up for more? Signing there puts him on Danny’s timeline, not his own.

  5. #1155
    Veteran AFBlue's Avatar
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    Are the Spurs now the only game in town after the moves by the Kings (assume DeRozan ends up there) and Warriors?

  6. #1156
    Veteran scott's Avatar
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    but they can't extend him for the max can they? Somebody here said it's only for a certain percentage of the 18 million he's earning now. Markkanen would never sign that type of deal.
    In addition to the renegotiate and extend scenario that Chinook laid out and the ramifications, I'm not entirely sure that teams would prefer for Utah to be (effectively) negotiating their guy's extension. Then you're stuck with whatever Utah comes up with, no creativity in how you structure yours (if it's going to be anything less than max money for max years... if that is the case, then maybe it doesn't matter other than the extra difficulty of finding matching salary). Teams may rather prefer to have that wink-wink assurance of an extension (Siakam/OG type deal) so they can control it.

    Also... Ainge/Zanik may want to trade him off before renegotiate-and-extend, because they don't want to have to take the matching salary back. If they're going to tank (which they should), they probably want to operate right at the salary floor, with the option to absorb bad contracts for compensation later.

    I think Ainge get's his best return trading Lauri before 8/6, with Lauri's buy-in that he'll extend with that team. Then teams will give their best offers with the confidence that they can resign him.

  7. #1157
    Veteran scott's Avatar
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    Are the Spurs now the only game in town after the moves by the Kings (assume DeRozan ends up there) and Warriors?
    Nothing Warriors have done takes them out of the Lauri hunt (if they want). They can still find matching salary for Lauri quite easily.

  8. #1158
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    Getting tired of this saga at this point but fwiw Based on this it appears GS isn’t wanting to include Kuminga, but Utah isn’t budging for only two FRPs.

  9. #1159
    Body Of Work Mr. Body's Avatar
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    Ainge really think his is chocolate sundae.

  10. #1160
    Machacarredes Chinook's Avatar
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    Getting tired of this saga at this point but fwiw Based on this it appears GS isn’t wanting to include Kuminga, but Utah isn’t budging for only two FRPs.
    On the other hand, apparently Kuminga and two firsts is good enough.

  11. #1161
    Veteran vy65's Avatar
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    Getting tired of this saga at this point but fwiw Based on this it appears GS isn’t wanting to include Kuminga, but Utah isn’t budging for only two FRPs.
    "We have a heavily pick-based offer for you Danny but one problem; our offer isn't pick-heavy."

  12. #1162
    Veteran scott's Avatar
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    Ainge milking this, as this is the most the Jazz will be talked about all year. He'll be able to go in front of ownership with a report of the value of the earned media and media mentions he generated throughout the year. Maybe he'll get a raise and he too can elevate to the echelons of highest paid FO member without delivering any actual basketball results.

  13. #1163
    Veteran RC_Drunkford's Avatar
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    In addition to the renegotiate and extend scenario that Chinook laid out and the ramifications, I'm not entirely sure that teams would prefer for Utah to be (effectively) negotiating their guy's extension. Then you're stuck with whatever Utah comes up with, no creativity in how you structure yours (if it's going to be anything less than max money for max years... if that is the case, then maybe it doesn't matter other than the extra difficulty of finding matching salary). Teams may rather prefer to have that wink-wink assurance of an extension (Siakam/OG type deal) so they can control it.

    Also... Ainge/Zanik may want to trade him off before renegotiate-and-extend, because they don't want to have to take the matching salary back. If they're going to tank (which they should), they probably want to operate right at the salary floor, with the option to absorb bad contracts for compensation later.

    I think Ainge get's his best return trading Lauri before 8/6, with Lauri's buy-in that he'll extend with that team. Then teams will give their best offers with the confidence that they can resign him.
    that's what I'm saying. The Spurs would most likely want to frontload his salary as much as possible and renegotiate to pay him a portion of it in this season. Makes much more sense.



    Getting tired of this saga at this point but fwiw Based on this it appears GS isn’t wanting to include Kuminga, but Utah isn’t budging for only two FRPs.
    @ 3 first round picks. If that's the best offer (I don't see how NOLA, Miami or SAC can offer much more) we can easily beat that by just throwing in Keldon Johnson and the CHA first.

  14. #1164
    Veteran scott's Avatar
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    that's what I'm saying. The Spurs would most likely want to frontload his salary as much as possible and renegotiate to pay him a portion of it in this season. Makes much more sense.



    @ 3 first round picks. If that's the best offer (I don't see how NOLA, Miami or SAC can offer much more) we can easily beat that by just throwing in Keldon Johnson and the CHA first.
    If it ends up only going for 2 unprotected plus one protected, we can easily beat that, and if Ainge took that, it would frankly be a little upsetting if we didn't beat it.

    SA30 + MIN31 + SA27 all unprotected beat that.

    You could also do SA30 + MIN31 + SA27 (Top 8 protected) + CHI25 to beat that.

    Maybe even SA30 + MIN31 + Worst of SA/ATL27 + CHI.

    Again, I'm assuming that SA30 and MIN31 are givens because of the unique control it will give Utah over MIN.

  15. #1165
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    Getting tired of this saga at this point but fwiw Based on this it appears GS isn’t wanting to include Kuminga, but Utah isn’t budging for only two FRPs.
    End this madness Warriors, please!

  16. #1166
    Veteran vy65's Avatar
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  17. #1167
    Veteran RC_Drunkford's Avatar
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    SA 27, MIN 31, CHI 25, CHA 25. That's 2 unprotected and 2 protected ones, although the CHA is likely 2 second rounders, but who cares. That + Keldon is the absolute max I would offer them.

  18. #1168
    Veteran vy65's Avatar
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    Article is behind a paywall, but it sounds like Stein checked with the league office and confirmed 8/6 is the beginning date of when Lauri can sign his extension.

    Chinook

  19. #1169
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    It would be highly dumb to deal with Utah until that 08/06 date, unless you are truly desperate (Warriors with Steph) or the price comes way down (tbd).

    Call Ainge’s bluff.

  20. #1170
    Believe.
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    Utah almost has to trade Lauri this summer if that deadline info is true. Hopefully they settle on something shortly after the holiday. 2030 swaps, 2031 Minny pick, Bulls pick and CHA pick plus Sochan?

  21. #1171
    Believe. Wilt Chamberlain's Avatar
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    He definitely does

    Just saying Ainge won’t let him go unless he gets a grewt return
    Ainge says that but he just added 2 more PF on top of Collins and Hendricks.

  22. #1172
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Getting tired of this saga at this point but fwiw Based on this it appears GS isn’t wanting to include Kuminga, but Utah isn’t budging for only two FRPs.
    Damn if GSW can only offer two unprotected FRP the Spurs might be able to swing this deal with only one of the ATL picks, the 2030 SAS + MIN/DAL swaps, the 2031 MIN, and a lesser pick like the 2025 CHI plus salary filler.

  23. #1173
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    It would be highly dumb to deal with Utah until that 08/06 date, unless you are truly desperate (Warriors with Steph) or the price comes way down (tbd).

    Call Ainge’s bluff.
    What about the Graham's dealine? (the 8/7)?

    It could be the Spurs's too

  24. #1174
    Veteran scott's Avatar
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    What about the Graham's dealine? (the 8/7)?

    It could be the Spurs's too
    We're using American methodology on these dates. Graham's date is 7/8 (July 8), Lauri's is 8/6 (Aug 6)

  25. #1175
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    It would be highly dumb to deal with Utah until that 08/06 date, unless you are truly desperate (Warriors with Steph) or the price comes way down (tbd).

    Call Ainge’s bluff.
    You lose the ability to include Graham as cheap salary cap fodder after July 7th.

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