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  1. #1376
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    • America faces a four-pronged credit crunch: commercial real estate, corporate, consumer, and government debt all peaking simultaneously, risking severe market disruption.
    • CRE debt maturities in 2025 threaten regional banks, with 'extend and pretend' tactics delaying inevitable losses and raising the risk of more bank failures.
    • Corporate and consumer debt refinancing at higher rates, alongside rising delinquencies and slowing spending, signal mounting economic stress and potential market drag.
    • U.S. government debt refinancing needs and deficit growth risk crowding out liquidity, raising rates, and triggering a sharp stock market downturn by late summer.
    https://seekingalpha.com/article/478...ch-coming-soon

  2. #1377
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    ing idiots. ing. Idiots.

  3. #1378
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Billionaire Warren Buffett just sold about $3.23 billion of Berkshire Hathaway’s stake in Citigroup, Bank of America and Capital One.

    After eliminating Berkshire Hathaway’s stake in JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo in recent years, new filings show Buffett continues to place US banks on the chopping block.
    https://dailyhodl.com/2025/05/17/war...p-to-zero/amp/

  4. #1379
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    Where is this Trump stock market crash at that democrats said was coming?

  5. #1380
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Where is this Trump stock market crash at that democrats said was coming?
    Not sure any democrats said the stock market was crashing. The OP is a Trumper. Post #2 Bum even stated the market won't crash and nobody disagreed.

    Did you lose your password for your Hemisfair account?

  6. #1381
    Veteran velik_m's Avatar
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    30-year Treasury yield jumps above 5% after Moody’s downgrades U.S. credit rating

    ...

    In April, Treasury yields jumped after U.S. President Donald Trump implemented sweeping “reciprocal tariffs” on international trade partners. The 10-year yield moved above 4.5% and the 30-year rate hit 5%, causing the Trump administration to back off the stiffest tariffs on fears they was causing a financial panic and would raise rates for consumers.

    But now following the move by Moody’s, the long-term Treasury yields have returned to these levels. Loans for houses, cars and credit cards track these rates. Stock futures were lower as yields surged, with Dow futures down more than 300 points early Monday.

    House Republicans were pushing ahead with Trump’s tax and spending bill this week, with the legislation making it past the House Budget Committee Sunday evening. The bill, however, is estimated to add trillions to the budget deficit.

    Moody’s warned about the lack of the country’s fiscal restraint in its downgrade: “Successive U.S. administrations and Congress have failed to agree on measures to reverse the trend of large annual fiscal deficits and growing interest costs. We do not believe that material multi-year reductions in mandatory spending and deficits will result from current fiscal proposals under consideration.”

    ...
    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/19/us-t...it-rating.html

  7. #1382
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Not sure any democrats said the stock market was crashing.

  8. #1383
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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  9. #1384
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    TSA ecstatic Trump is still underwater.

  10. #1385
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Trump keeps backing down on his tariffs and the market goes back up. Pretty simple.

  11. #1386
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Americans' View of the Economy Reverses Four-Year Trend in New Poll

    A majority of Americans view the state of the economy as "strong" for the first time in nearly four years, according to a new Harvard University/HarrisX poll.
    Why It Matters

    The poll marks the first time in years that optimism has outpaced pessimism on the economy in one of the pollster's surveys, representing a significant reversal in public sentiment during a period of inflation, interest rate hikes and pandemic aftershocks. A stronger view on the economy could reshape consumer spending and investment confidence after years of turmoil caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

    A return to net-positive views of the U.S. economy could have political implications for President Donald Trump, whose administration has faced criticism over some of his economic policies such as tariffs.
    What to Know

    The poll, conducted by the Harvard University Center for American Political Studies and HarrisX, found that a slim majority of Americans now view the economy as strong.

    Fifty-one percent of respondents said they view the economy as strong, while 49 percent view it as weak. While this represents a small majority, it is the first time more Americans than not view the economy a strong since July 2021, according to the pollster.

    https://www.newsweek.com/americans-v...-trend-2074261

  12. #1387
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    The majority of Americans are stupid.

  13. #1388
    Veteran velik_m's Avatar
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    U.S. Banks' Ratings Cut by Moody's on Rising Sovereign Debt Concerns

    Moody's has downgraded a few major banks' long-term credit and deposit ratings, after it lowered the U.S. sovereign credit ratings.

    Major banks, including JPMorgan JPM, Bank of America BAC, and Wells Fargo WFC, had their long-term deposit ratings downgraded by Moody’s from Aa1 to Aa2. The rating agency also downgraded to Aa2 from Aa1 the long-term senior unsecured debt ratings and issuer ratings for certain rated subsidiaries and branches of BAC and The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation BK.

    Additionally, Moody’s downgraded the long-term counterparty risk ratings for certain rated subsidiaries and branches of BAC, BK, JPM, State Street Corporation STT, and WFC to Aa2 from Aa1. Further, it downgraded to Aa2 from Aa1 the long-term counterparty risk assessments for the rated subsidiaries and branches of BAC, JPM and WFC.

    ...
    https://www.tradingview.com/news/zac...debt-concerns/

  14. #1389
    Veteran velik_m's Avatar
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    Dow slides more than 800 points as ing Treasury yields and deficit fears spur a sell-off

    Stocks sold off on Wednesday, pressured by a sharp e higher in Treasury yields as traders grew worried that a new U.S. budget bill would put even more stress on the country's already large deficit.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    lost 816.80 points, or 1.91% to 41,860.44. The S&P 500 shed 1.61% to 5,844.61. The Nasdaq Composite

    slid 1.41% to 18,872.64.

    The 30-year Treasury
    bond yield last traded around 5.09%, touching the highest level going back to October 2023. The benchmark 10-year Treasury

    note yield traded at 4.59%.

    Long-dated bonds sold off as traders worried a new budget bill would worsen the U.S. deficit. The measure is expected to pass as lawmakers reach a compromise on state and local tax deductions heading into Speaker Mike Johnson's Memorial Day deadline. Yields ed even higher after a poor afternoon auction for 20-year debt, raising fears investors may be losing their appe e for funding America's deficits.

    ...
    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/05/20/stoc...e-updates.html

  15. #1390
    Veteran velik_m's Avatar
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    Jamie Dimon says investors are actually being way too chill about tariffs

    ...
    Speaking at his bank’s annual investor day meeting, Dimon warned that Wall Street is underestimating the risks of rising deficits, tariffs, and geopolitical tensions — describing the market’s current optimism as “an extraordinary amount of complacency.”

    “We have huge deficits. We have what I consider almost complacent central banks,” Dimon said. “You all think they can manage all this. I don’t think they can.”

    Dimon, the longtime CEO of America’s largest bank by assets, sees more turbulence ahead, and he thinks markets are priced for a reality that doesn’t exist. One of Dimon’s more pointed warnings came on the macroeconomic front. He believes the odds of stagflation — a mix of high inflation and stagnant growth (or even a recession) — could be much higher than what the market is currently predicting.
    ...
    https://qz.com/jamie-dimon-jpmorgan-...ign=2025-05-21

  16. #1391
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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  17. #1392
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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  18. #1393
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    the Trump mega dole in the wake of COVID changed our debt trajectory

  19. #1394
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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  20. #1395
    Independent DMX7's Avatar
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    It's ing crazy. It's been a bipartisan show for the past 25 years when it comes to fiscal responsibility.

    Bush really laid the groundwork for the mess with two wars, a financial crisis, spending and tax policy that was a disaster and more.

  21. #1396
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    It's ing crazy. It's been a bipartisan show for the past 25 years when it comes to fiscal responsibility.

    Bush really laid the groundwork for the mess with two wars, a financial crisis, spending and tax policy that was a disaster and more.
    The ol "both sides" bull lol

  22. #1397
    Independent DMX7's Avatar
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    The ol "both sides" bull lol
    Republicans haven't had total control of congress and the White House for the past 25 years, lol.

  23. #1398
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Republicans haven't had total control of congress and the White House for the past 25 years, lol.
    Post the deficit by year since WWII, lol.

  24. #1399
    Veteran DarrinS's Avatar
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    Hard to know what to believe. MSM told me dead Joe was sharp. And covid was natural. And Trump colluded with Russia. And Hunter's laptop was Russian disinfo.

  25. #1400
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Hard to know what to believe. MSM told me dead Joe was sharp. And covid was natural. And Trump colluded with Russia. And Hunter's laptop was Russian disinfo.
    You don't watch MSM.

    Fox had to pay close to a billion dollars for what they said.

    Do you believe what your Trump says?
    Last edited by ChumpDumper; 05-21-2025 at 09:49 PM.

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