Again, all they would need is Schwarzenegger to make the case for Bush on the basis of low taxes, low regulation and a strong national defense. His profile is enough to get the message out.
If a guy who is a socially liberal on some issues can support Bush because he is for low taxes and a strong defense that message might catch on.
The money the GOP would spend would be in GOP leaning parts of the states.
In '92 Clinton won thanks in no small part to the recession that hit the South Californian defense industry. '96 was with Clinton running against a weak candidate. 2000 had Gore running off the tech bubble. Times are significantly different now. If voters still blame Democrats for the mess the state is trying to deal with now and feel that Schwarzenegger has done a good job then that might just set the stage.
If Bush looks strong and polls start to narrow in California then perhaps the GOP in California will start to become energized. Also there is the matter of Californian polls being open three hours or so after Eastern polls close and exit poll results are known.

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