The global economy is expected to shrink by 1.7% in 2009
1
Gross domestic product (GDP) growth .
in developing countries is expected to slow to 2.1%, and recessions are projected in Europe and
Central Asia (-2.0%), and Latin America and the Caribbean (-0.6%). This global recession is coming
at a time when the impact of the rise in food prices between 2005 and the beginning of 2008 is
estimated to have increased. For example, the proportion of the population of East Asia, the Middle
East, and South Asia living in extreme poverty has risen by 1 or more percentage points. Impacts
in some parts of Africa were less pronounced than others partly because of variation in the linkage
between local and global market food prices. Overall the number of extremely poor is estimated to
have increased by between 130 and 155 million globally between 2005 and 2008, with 53 million
more expected in 2009. Moreover, cash inflow to developing countries will decrease as result of
reductions in foreign direct investment (FDI), foreign aid and migrant workers remittance.