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I don't think you can say it's above 60% after seeing the past 2 games and knowing the post-prime Duncan Spurs' history, tbh..
Silver lining is Westbrook shooting well for the first time in the series, as he'll continue chucking next game..
5%
I don't think you can say it's above 60% after seeing the past 2 games and knowing the post-prime Duncan Spurs' history, tbh
Silver lining is Westbrook shooting well for the first time in the series, as he'll continue chucking next game..
Last edited by Malik Hairston; 05-30-2014 at 12:38 AM.
Yeah, 40% is about right. The next 2/3 are at home, but everything else seems to be in OKC's advantage.
53% tbh. I had Spurs in 7 with a healthy Ibaka so no reason to change now. I did say its a toss up seies with Spurs slight edge due to home court.
no suprises here so far.
60-65%. HCA is a big, big deal.
45% chance to win the series imo
50%. That's about all you can predict with a tied series. Although the Ibaka-less wins could bring the percentage down I'll stick with it.
CIA Pop knows what he's doing. Spotting OKC 2 games will allow the Spurs to rest enough to finish them off. May as well had the starters rest in SA and not bother with the trip.Damn I really think the Spurs needed this game to have a good shot at taking the series
Wow, you're so brilliant, I was unaware that these teams were the same as the ones that played in 2012. Thanks for the info!
30%
As an Aussie I hate to admit that if Mills, Baynes or any player on the team who played last 10 minutes of Game 4 is put on the floor by POP then the game is lost. Time for Duncan, Ginobli and Parker to earn their massive salaries - Pop knows this
The same odds I'd give Harlem for getting his original account back.
If Daye starts... Spurs in 6, easy.
If soft ass Splitter starts, and Pop puts Belinelli on KD again... OKC in 2
The odds are actually in our favor. What's the chances they'll continue to dominate us with Ibaka in the lineup? They have to lose a game at some point.
Exactly the same odds I give to Parker having a 30pt game against Ibaka in the paint.
60-65%. Not based off the past 2 games, but because it's 2-2, which makes it a 50-50 tossup series. However, I give the Spurs the extra 10-15% because of homecourt advantage. The Thunder still need to win one in SA. And for those who are saying they won the 2 regular season games in SA with Ibaka, guess what? Regular season means now. Kawhi missed both games at home against the Thunder. One due to a dental procedure and the other time he left early when he broke his hand..
Solid chance if they take Game 5. Chances drop to less than zero if they lose Game 5.
i doubt anyone has accurate odds for this, since Spurs record vs Ibaka is so skewed in OKC's favor. it looks like what you would get if you calculated '96 Bulls vs '12 Bobcats based on recent history
the math I get factoring home court, beating Ibaka ONCE is 16%. beating him twice is way less than that, I don't even wanna try. whether you think those odds are reflective of what happens on the court is up to you.
that said the odds of OKC coming back even with Ibaka, after game 2, were pretty low. something's gotta give between two statistically very unlikely events.
Spurs success in home game 5's elevates the above number of 16%, but not much above 35%. That's just for one game. Again skewed by their general overall record vs OKC w/Ibaka. I doubt chances of winning the series exceeds 15%. Again it's how much stock you put into their record vs Ibaka historically.
it, it's just numbers. Go Spurs Go tbh.
If spurs win game5 %100 if they lose %0
I trust Timmy, Parker, and Kawhi. That's about it... Pop can go get drunk like usual
Stop being a ...Spurs are winning this in 6.Damn I really think the Spurs needed this game to have a good shot at taking the series
Did you think this was going to be a sweep before the series started? If not would you rather the Spurs lose these games any other way?
Last edited by SnakeBoy; 05-28-2014 at 03:17 AM.
I'd still be very surprised if the Spurs lose this series. In these playoffs, except for that crazy Vince buzzer beater, when they've lost, they've lost horribly, and it's because they just didn't compete. When they've actually competed, they've destroyed their opponents. I can't believe that the team will just not compete in another game in these playoffs. In spite of these last two horrible games, I think they'll win this series in 6.
~35%. Spurs just can't beat Meth with Abaka, he literally shuts down Parker and Duncan at the same time.
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