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  1. #176
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    LOL the last Republican presidential candidate who will actually go to the convention is Dole.
    Great find.

    So much for the unity. We really may be watching a party split. This will be amazing.

  2. #177
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    What does the establishment think is driving Trump's popularity, the increase in republican primary turnout, interest in this election cycle/ratings? Disgust with them. Ryan talks the conservative line about limited government, reduced spending, en lement reform and turns around and gets THAT budget through the House - what a hypocrite.

    It will be a good thing that the Bushes don't go to the convention - will bring over more democrats and independents.

  3. #178
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    Great find.

    So much for the unity. We really may be watching a party split. This will be amazing.
    The majority will get on board eventually. the elected elite are a lot more pissed off about it than average Republican voters.

  4. #179
    Independent DMX7's Avatar
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    What does the establishment think is driving Trump's popularity, the increase in republican primary turnout, interest in this election cycle/ratings? Disgust with them. Ryan talks the conservative line about limited government, reduced spending, en lement reform and turns around and gets THAT budget through the House - what a hypocrite.

    It will be a good thing that the Bushes don't go to the convention - will bring over more democrats and independents.
    George W. Bush has been a liability for republicans the last two presidential elections. He won't be this time around because Trump has totally repudiated him, and to top that, Hillary actually went along with his war. The tables have turned.

  5. #180
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    The majority will get on board eventually. the elected elite are a lot more pissed off about it than average Republican voters.
    The Republican voters I know are very pissed.

  6. #181
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    What does the establishment think is driving Trump's popularity, the increase in republican primary turnout, interest in this election cycle/ratings? Disgust with them. Ryan talks the conservative line about limited government, reduced spending, en lement reform and turns around and gets THAT budget through the House - what a hypocrite.

    It will be a good thing that the Bushes don't go to the convention - will bring over more democrats and independents.
    Ryan's not conservative enough

  7. #182
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    The majority will get on board eventually. the elected elite are a lot more pissed off about it than average Republican voters.
    seems like there's about 20% Dems and Repugs who will vote for the Repug or Dem candidate, since they dislike their party's candidate intensely.

    Trump vs Hillary is already an UNpopularity contest which is about as rational a issues-free Pres popularity contest.

    like "I'll vote dubya, because my main criterion is that I could drink a beer with him"

    or

    "I'm a feminist and voting for Hillary only because she's a woman and I want to avoid "that special place in "
    Last edited by boutons_deux; 05-06-2016 at 12:36 PM.

  8. #183
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Trump has been running his campaign so Hillary would get elected. I can't believe all the blind faith dumbasses came out of the woodwork to support it.
    I wonder. What if the mad dog catches the car?

  9. #184
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    whos going to be attending this bad boy in person fellas???
    Wow. It takes a special kind of stupid to make a thread like this so early on, for either candidate.

    When it goes the other way, this thread will be the albatross around your neck.


  10. #185
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    I wonder. What if the mad dog catches the car?

  11. #186
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    did he?

    Hillary Clinton effectively sealed her nomination last night. And Donald Trump almost certainly did the same, winning five states by larger margins than the polls and the pundits expected.

    Why did Trump exceed expectations?

    Probably lots of small reasons added together. But I’ll call out a few from the field of persuasion.

    1. Trump’s “lyin’ Ted” linguistic kill shot is working its magic.

    2. The so-called “rigged” nomination process has energized voters against the establishment. (Calling the primary system “rigged” was one of Trump’s best persuasion moves of all time.)

    3. Trump’s dominant win in New York state made him seem inevitable for the first time. Voters like to be on the winning side.

    4. Trump’s “crooked Hillary” and “stamina” linguistic kill shots tell Republican voters that Trump already has a harpoon in Clinton. She’ll bleed out before November. Republicans are warming to the matchup, despite polling that says Clinton beats Trump in a general election.

    5. The “Tale of Two Trumps” story has convinced nearly everyone that Trump modifies his approach to the situation. Trump at a Trump rally is mostly stand-up comedy. Trump in a serious interview is a different character. Trump is completely transparent about his different personas, and people are starting to see it as strategy, not insanity.

    6. Cruz’ approach to winning delegates without winning the popular vote looks smart and effective. But it also makes him look like the lawyer that he is. That’s not a good look.

    7. The weather was agreeable (I think?), and big turnouts are good for Trump.

    8. The hiring of Paul Manafort gives Trump top-shelf credibility as a serious contender. The number of people who believe Trump secretly does not want to win has now dropped to zero. (He wants to win.)

    9. The invulnerability of Trump to every type of civilized attack is hard to ignore. He’s a winner in the process of winning. People like that.

    10. Trump rolled out the “woman card” attack on Clinton. Expect lots of backlash and hollering about sexism. Also expect that 100% of the voting public knows that the “woman card” accusation is a persuasion death blow to Clinton’s campaign. And Trump is the only candidate alive who would dare say it out loud.

    Trump’s “woman card” strategy is weapons-grade persuasion. It is a “high ground” maneuver with an “iden y” angle. Either one of those approaches can be a kill shot. But together?

    Holy sh*t.

    I’ve not seen anything like it. The engineering is superb.

    Trump will probably win with men for all the obvious reasons. But winning with women has until lately seemed impossible. So the “woman card” kill shot is aimed at women voters, not men. And what it does is flip the framing, as Trump likes to do.

    Clinton framing: It is time for a woman president.

    Trump framing: Gender is not a job qualification

    I remind you that this is the year 2016. Trump’s message recognizes that gender should not be a hiring criteria. That’s the high ground. You can’t get higher.

    And it gives women an iden y choice. Do they pick the leader who says the “woman card” is a qualification for a good job? Or do they pick the leader who has a long record of promoting and mentoring women because he thinks gender should not be a qualification?

    Landslide.


    Adams makes some very interesting points, that are hard to dismiss out of hand. I like his paradigm. We'll see.

    I like to have some confidence in the overall intelligence of the voting public. Trumps negatives are going to be exploited by some very savvy operators.

  12. #187
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Get ready for Crooked Hillary. By November people won't hear one without thinking about the other.
    Meh.

    Canceled out by crooked real estate developer.

    That only plays to the faithful.

    Remember the election is decided by the morons in the middle who think the two parties are somehow equal.

  13. #188
    Veteran hater's Avatar
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    Wow. It takes a special kind of stupid to make a thread like this so early on, for either candidate.

    When it goes the other way, this thread will be the albatross around your neck.

    You sound scared.

  14. #189
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    Ryan's not conservative enough
    My point is that Ryan is pretending to be a conservative and DOING something completely opposite. He's telling Trump that he wants to make sure Trump represents conservative values and yet Ryan authors that budget deal.

  15. #190
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Ryan isn't a conservative

  16. #191
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    Ryan's just pissed that Trump blocked him from getting the 'savior" nomination at the convention.

  17. #192
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    My point is that Ryan is pretending to be a conservative
    why is Ryan not a conservative? have you seen his last 4 or 5 budgets?

  18. #193
    my unders, my frgn whites pgardn's Avatar
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    My point is that Ryan is pretending to be a conservative and DOING something completely opposite. He's telling Trump that he wants to make sure Trump represents conservative values and yet Ryan authors that budget deal.
    What?

    Then Bernie is not a liberal.

  19. #194
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  20. #195
    Baltimore Spurs Fan florige's Avatar
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    Meh.

    Canceled out by crooked real estate developer.

    That only plays to the faithful.

    Remember the election is decided by the morons in the middle who think the two parties are somehow equal.



    I saw a poll this week that read they both are almost equally disliked. I think Trump was polling somewhere around 65% overall dislike, while Hillary was polling somewhere in the 50% range. I think she will probably wind up beating Trump, I just think it's going to be a whole lot tighter than the Obama 08 steam roll.

  21. #196
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    Iirc, the last budget deal will increase the debt by $2 trillion. How can one talk about limited government and reduced spending when one is INCREASING the debt? The republicans got their military spending increase to match the democrats' social program spending. “If you would have told me this year that we’d be standing here celebrating the passage of an omnibus bill,” (Chuck) Schumer claimed. “I wouldn’t have believed it, but here we are.”

    My hubby brought home a fully functional printer/fax machine/scanner combination yesterday saying that it had reached "full life" at work and they were going to throw it away. They had had extra money in their department and decided to buy toner with it - 3 months later, the printers that used that toner reached "full life" - yep, gonna get rid of all those printers and all that toner and replace with different printers. And that's just hardware, not software. Now multiply that by the stories he's come home with since he started working for them in March and multiply that by the number of departments in the federal government - the waste is mind-boggling.

  22. #197
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    You sound scared.
    What are you, 12?

    That is the kind of rejoinder my 9 year old might come up with.

    A: "Your prediction seems seriously premature, it may come to haunt you"
    B: "You sound scared."

    The only thing missing is a "neener neener".

  23. #198
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Iirc, the last budget deal will increase the debt by $2 trillion. How can one talk about limited government and reduced spending when one is INCREASING the debt? The republicans got their military spending increase to match the democrats' social program spending. “If you would have told me this year that we’d be standing here celebrating the passage of an omnibus bill,” (Chuck) Schumer claimed. “I wouldn’t have believed it, but here we are.”

    My hubby brought home a fully functional printer/fax machine/scanner combination yesterday saying that it had reached "full life" at work and they were going to throw it away. They had had extra money in their department and decided to buy toner with it - 3 months later, the printers that used that toner reached "full life" - yep, gonna get rid of all those printers and all that toner and replace with different printers. And that's just hardware, not software. Now multiply that by the stories he's come home with since he started working for them in March and multiply that by the number of departments in the federal government - the waste is mind-boggling.
    The plural of anecdote is not "data". Anybody can find some story or another about something that makes them mad. But if all that spending on the printers amounts to .04% of the overall budget for the department, so what?

    What waste?
    Where?
    Define waste?

    People about that, but when you start trying to flesh it out, there is less there than one might think.

    I am sure there is waste. I am also 100% certain that there is generally less than many on the right think there is, and not in the places that they think the waste is.

    The big ticket waste is in the DOD.

    Lastly, the size of the debt, by itself, is a pointless bit of data.

    What matters is the size of the debt relative to GDP. Further US bonds qualify as debt, and getting rid of that would have a LOT of people ing, because they form the basis of many investment portfolios.

    There is so much demand for US federal debt, they are issuing it at super low rates. So all the 30 year bonds that were issued at 7 or 8% are being replaced by 2-3% bonds.

    We should be borrowing more, and building/repairing our infrastructure that is, literally, falling down around our heads in places. Our debt is so cheap that our GDP would end up far larger in the long run for having done so.

  24. #199
    Believe. spankadelphia's Avatar
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    I hope Trump realizes how much good it does him to visit liberal strongholds and get protested at. Hillary's supporters crave social consensus and huge Trump rallies in their home states will demoralize them on election day. Also, national polls are what get reported on TV, so they matter.

  25. #200
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    I can't believe we are at a point in American History where the choices for President are a clown and a sociopath. I will let you the reader determine which is which.

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