***** Official 2018 Election Night Thread *****

[baseline bum]

[SnakeBoy]

PA wins are important for the Dems going into 2020... would be interesting also to look at how the Rust belt voted...

I don't think this election transfers to a Presidential race. Just like 2010 didn't mean against Obama. Dems need to find a decent candidate. If it's Kamala, as I predict, they ed.

[DMC]

wish the caravan would invade tonight, tbh... just to add to the drama...

With automatic weapons

[baseline bum]

I don't think this election transfers to a Presidential race. Just like 2010 didn't mean against Obama. Dems need to find a decent candidate. If it's Kamala, as I predict, they ed.

Less ed than if they pick Booker.

[ducks]

I am glad I did not live in Texas not sure I could vote for Cruz

[spurraider21]

PA wins are important for the Dems going into 2020... would be interesting also to look at how the Rust belt voted...

michigan and illinois both have their governorships flipped blue

[DMC]

CNN's Van Jones: "This is heartbreaking"

Brownlash

[SnakeBoy]

[spurraider21]

With automatic weapons

AK-15's and AR-47's with extended clips

[baseline bum]

NATE SILVER10:21 PM
Colin Allred just beat Pete Sessions in the Texas 32nd. BIG pickup for Democrats — and one you can maybe give a lot of credit to Beto O’Rourke for.

[SnakeBoy]

Less ed than if they pick Booker.

True

[spurraider21]

good to see you follow high thinkers

[DMC]

Includes almost all of OKC. Does NOT include the Norman college town area. But, lots of minorities have moved into OKC over the past decade.

Paul George tbh

[baseline bum]

you're a bas

[DMC]

AK-15's and AR-47's with extended clips

And flash suppressors with bayonet lugs. That would pretty much be it for us.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Less ed than if they pick Booker.

No, Booker would be better but not by much.


Dems need to nominate Bernie, Biden or maybe Beto to win. Any female candidate would lose. And the mainstream old candidates aren't much better.


Hillary... would be laughable.

[Splits]

NATE SILVER10:21 PM
Colin Allred just beat Pete Sessions in the Texas 32nd. BIG pickup for Democrats — and one you can maybe give a lot of credit to Beto O’Rourke for.

Now let's see Hurd go down. Played pee wee football with that got

[baseline bum]

MEREDITH CONROY10:22 PM
That’s right, Nathaniel. In the Texas 23rd, a majority Hispanic district, Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones is challenging in bent, Rep. Will Hurd. Ortiz Jones, an openly gay, Air Force veteran, won a Democratic primary run-off race with 67 percent of the vote, and could pull off an upset — it’s a race I am watching closely.

Propublica shows that both candidates raised a lot of money — $5.4 million for Ortiz Jones, and $4.7 million for Will Hurd. The Deluxe version of our forecast gives Jones just a 1 in 5 chance at winning her race. Right now, with 24 percent of the votes counted, they are neck and neck tied at 49 percent each.

[DMC]

No, Booker would be better but not by much.


Dems need to nominate Bernie, Biden or maybe Beto to win. Any female candidate would lose. And the mainstream old candidates aren't much better.


Hillary... would be laughable.

They'd be ed with Biden. Beto might have some momentum.

[Millennial_Messiah]

NATE SILVER10:21 PM
Colin Allred just beat Pete Sessions in the Texas 32nd. BIG pickup for Democrats — and one you can maybe give a lot of credit to Beto O’Rourke for.

South Dallas metro area. Enormous Hispanic population and most of the blacks in DFW area as well.

[Robz4000]

Cruz gonna get to keep det summer home.

[SnakeBoy]

No, Booker would be better but not by much.


Dems need to nominate Bernie, Biden or maybe Beto to win. Any female candidate would lose. And the mainstream old candidates aren't much better.


Hillary... would be laughable.

Honestly, Beto is the best choice I see at the moment. I can't stand him but he's a good politician. And the last two POTUS have tossed the experience thing right out the window.

[baseline bum]

NATHANIEL RAKICH10:26 PM
Pretty striking: All the party flips in the House so far have been by Democrats. All the party flips in the Senate have been by Republicans.

[baseline bum]

DAN HOPKINS10:26 PM
In Montana, it’s early, but Democratic Sen. Jon Tester is on pace with his 2012 margin in Yellowstone County (Billings), and he is outperforming his 2012 margin in Lewis and Clark County, home to Helena.

[Millennial_Messiah]

MEREDITH CONROY10:22 PM
That’s right, Nathaniel. In the Texas 23rd, a majority Hispanic district, Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones is challenging in bent, Rep. Will Hurd. Ortiz Jones, an openly gay, Air Force veteran, won a Democratic primary run-off race with 67 percent of the vote, and could pull off an upset — it’s a race I am watching closely.

Propublica shows that both candidates raised a lot of money — $5.4 million for Ortiz Jones, and $4.7 million for Will Hurd. The Deluxe version of our forecast gives Jones just a 1 in 5 chance at winning her race. Right now, with 24 percent of the votes counted, they are neck and neck tied at 49 percent each.

No chance IMO. Hurd was winning by double digits in exit polls.