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Manny --
What do you make of those two patches of low heat potential in the western Gulf? They seem to be directly in Rita's path and would knock her down if she went over either one.
You don't need to leave tonight. You just need to watch the news carefully over the next few days. The only thing that is going to determine where this storm goes is the movement of the high pressure system right over Houston right now.
Leaving right now is too early. You still have a good amount of time, just pay attention to the news.
Manny --
What do you make of those two patches of low heat potential in the western Gulf? They seem to be directly in Rita's path and would knock her down if she went over either one.
What's the difference between a thunderstorm and a thundershower? The latest forcast on TWC said thundershowers for Friday.
Hey 2pac what's the name of the girl in your bouncing banner? hahah
I want to check her "weather" on the internet.
I am guessing a tstorm is thunder/lightning/higher wind, and a tshower is thunder, lighting, rain, but not high wind.
sexy big boobs
search for that.
ES,
I think they are likely to not allow her to strengthen into a cat 4 or above, but I really dont' think they'll weaken her. They surface is pretty warm, and as long as the storm is moving at a decent rate that will be enough to sustain her at a cat 3 status.
CNN or something just said they expect it to become Cat. 4 by tomorrow.
Correction, it was MSNBC I think.
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Wtnt73 Knhc 202048
Spfat3
Hurricane Rita Probabilities Number 13
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
5 Pm Edt Tue Sep 20 2005
Probabilities For Guidance In Hurricane Protection
Planning By Government And Disaster Officials
At 5 Pm Edt...2100z...the Center Of Rita Was Located Near
La ude 24.0 North...longitude 82.2 West
Chances Of Center Of The Hurricane Passing Within 65 Nautical Miles
Of Listed Locations Through 2pm Edt Fri Sep 23 2005
Location A B C D E Location A B C D E
24.2n 87.0w 45 1 X X 46 New Orleans La X X 3 8 11
24.5n 89.5w 5 24 1 X 30 New Iberia La X X 2 10 12
25.0n 91.5w X 13 8 2 23 Port Arthur Tx X X X 12 12
Muha 230n 824w 99 X X X 99 Galveston Tx X X X 13 13
Muan 219n 850w 4 X X X 4 Freeport Tx X X X 13 13
Mmso 238n 982w X X X 6 6 Port O Connor Tx X X X 12 12
Mmtm 222n 979w X X X 3 3 Corpuschristi Tx X X X 11 11
Mmtx 210n 974w X X X 2 2 Brownsville Tx X X X 11 11
Mmmd 210n 897w X 1 1 1 3 Gulf 29n 85w X X 1 1 2
Marathon Fl 99 X X X 99 Gulf 29n 87w X 3 2 3 8
Key West Fl 99 X X X 99 Gulf 28n 89w X 10 5 2 17
Marco Island Fl 8 X X X 8 Gulf 28n 91w X 3 10 5 18
Panama City Fl X X 1 1 2 Gulf 28n 93w X X 7 10 17
Pensacola Fl X X 1 3 4 Gulf 28n 95w X X 1 14 15
Mobile Al X X 1 5 6 Gulf 27n 96w X X 1 13 14
Gulfport Ms X X 2 6 8 Gulf 25n 96w X X 2 11 13
Buras La X 1 5 6 12
Column Definition Probabilities In Percent
A Is Probability From Now To 2pm Wed
Following Are Additional Probabilities
B From 2pm Wed To 2am Thu
C From 2am Thu To 2pm Thu
D From 2pm Thu To 2pm Fri
E Is Total Probability From Now To 2pm Fri
X Means Less Than One Percent
Forecaster Avila
Right now, San Antonio has about a 30 percent chance of seeing sustained tropical storm force winds.
Who that things hauling some ass now...
When are they going to do voluntary evac of Nueces and Aransas co's?
Last edited by Vashner; 09-20-2005 at 05:27 PM.
Not a Cat 4 no but a Cat 3 is very likely.
Im calling a cat 4 at landfall.. (We need Rita Vbookie)
The sunspot activity will compensate for any water temp problems ...
Damn this thing is starting to freak me out. My mother can't find a hotel room, she even asked motels in lockhart. Turns out hotels are booked all the way to dallas. My dad can't stay or drive away with her cuz of his job, he has to stay in the city. I hope this ing hurricane loses power.
I hope it does too CBF.
Jennifer Broom was just on the news pimping the BAMM model which is HORRIBLE with strong hurricanes. I hate her so damn much.
When was the last time we've had a hurricane season like this one? Or are they all completely different. I just read how they're almost sure they will run out of storm names soon...I don't remember that ever happening.
The last time was in the 30s. We had a pretty active season a few years ago, but all of the storms stayed out in the Atlantic. This is easily the worst hurricane season in American history. Katrina alone made sure of that.
You know you want teh Jennifer pooo
The last few frames show a great eye. Let the intensification begin.
the most important thing to watch over the next 24 hours is how far north or south she goes. The further south, and of course you increase the chance of a South Texas landfall.
We'll see.
hey manny whats a good site to check out the latest radar or whatever its called
What happens is when the eye closes off, the 'vacuum' can run without a leak. You the storms fuel the lower preassure which then fuels the storms and you have yourself a hurricane. As long as the ocean stays warm enough to support those storms, the preassure won't rise and the system will function.
I just got an e-mail bulletin from CNN that says Cat#4 by 2 P.M. tomorrow eastern time. It looks like the most likely spot of landfall at the moment is matagorda bay. Still a long way off though.
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