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  1. #2626
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  2. #2627
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    US not at the table with our regional allies

    Pakistan’s army chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, Saudi Arabia’s Defence Minister Prince Khalid bin Salman and Turkiye’s intelligence chief Ibrahim Kalin are meeting with Iran’s top military official, Major-General Mohsen Rezaei.


    Pakistani Senator Sehar Kamran posted on X that the meeting “underscores a shared recognition that lasting stability must be shaped by the region’s own powers through dialogue, not external imposition”.


    She said constructive engagement by Iran could help address threats to Saudi Arabia’s security and reduce risks to vital energy chokepoints – from Bab al-Mandeb to the Strait of Hormuz – as oil prices continue to rise.
    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveb...es-raid-hebron

  3. #2628
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    Liar and a dunce



    "We didn't start the war with Iran. Iran started the war with us."

  4. #2629
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  5. #2630
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    do you offer your enemy ransom money when you're winning?

  6. #2631
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    COP Keating (Gen. Randy George), Mosul and Diyala (Lt. Gen. Brett Sylvia), and the 82nd Airborne / JSOC (Gen. Chris Donahue) were the literal tip of the American combat spear, not lazy "woke" flag rank.

    So why is Pete Hegseth's influencer ecosystem (Rob Maness, Kurt Schlichter, Sean Parnell, and E-Ring accounts) suddenly flooding the zone with narratives about a "dishonest officer corps", "leakers", and "checking boxes on readiness slides"?

    Because it is a coordinated 4-part political inoculation campaign. Here is why they are pushing that script right now:

    1. SHIFTING BLAME FOR THE $29B MUNITIONS BURN TO THE GENERALS

    Washington Post and CENTCOM figures confirmed Iran Round 1 cost $47.0B total and burned $29.0B in munitions (with 81+ U.S. aircraft lost or damaged and Patriot stocks depleted ~66% down to 759-827 rounds).
    • That depletion happened because Hegseth and Pentagon CTO Emil Michael cut CENTCOM targeting oversight by 93.75% (from 16 to 1) and pushed 1,000+ AI targets/day while pricing scarce multi-year interceptors as free goods.
    • If the public and the President realize Hegseth, Michael, and Colby broke the U.S. missile shield right before Iran Round 2, Hegseth gets fired. Pushing the "officers lie on readiness slides" narrative sets up the uniformed military as the fall guys.

    2. REBRANDING MILITARY PUSHBACK AS "SUBVERSION" OR "LEAKING"Hegseth has built his brand on a populist grievance against commissioned flag officers, painting Joint Staff planners as risk-averse bureaucrats.

    • Lt. Gen. Brett Sylvia (Joint Staff J-5) shattered that cartoon: West Point '94 infantry combat commander, Purple Heart, two Valor devices, Presidential Unit Citation in Diyala, cleared IEDs in Helmand, and led the brigade that broke ISIS in Mosul.
    • Because Sylvia is the second J-5 war planner Hegseth has purged (alongside firing Joint Staff Director LTG Douglas Sims and ousting Army Chief Gen. Randy George, which caused Trump's own Army Secretary Dan Driscoll to resign), Senate Republicans are asking why every 3-star planner who looks at the Iran war plan gets fired
    .• So the E-Ring runs a two-track smear: Parnell claims an "Air Force OSI leak probe" on an Army 3-star (hours after the Joint Staff thanked Sylvia for 32 years of service), while influencers prime the base to believe senior officers are inherently dishonest.

    3. INOCULATING AGAINST LTG SYLVIA'S SENATE TESTIMONY

    Hegseth, Colby, and Dan Scavino know what happens next when you fire the Joint Staff J-5 days before the midterms and right before Iran Round 2:
    • Lt. Gen. Sylvia is going to be called to testify under oath before Senate Armed Services and Senate Intelligence
    .• Under 10 U.S.C. 153, the J-5 is the exact officer who had to tell Colby and Hegseth that after burning $29B in munitions in Round 1, subtracting the 500-round Indo-Pacific/NATO reserve floor leaves ONLY 3 TO 5 JORDAN-SCALE PATRIOT RAIDS (3.70 to 5.45 packets) for Iran Round 2.
    • Smearing Sylvia now as a "leaker" is a preemptive attempt to poison the well with GOP voters before he sits down at a Senate witness table.

    4. COVERING FOR N=1 VENDOR CAPTURE

    Look at what actually leaked over the last 7 days that triggered Hegseth's polygraph dragnet:

    • It wasn't battle plans given to the enemy. It was internal Pentagon alarm over (a) the $47B/$29B Iran munitions burn and Russian targeting data going to Tehran, and (b) Musk's Oct 13-24 Starshield throttle and the frozen European-paid Patriots for Ukraine.
    • When an incompetent leadership team outsources sovereign C2 to a single conflicted vendor (QRR = 0.00) and burns the physical missile shield down to 3-5 raids, their only survival move is to make "leakers" and "the officer corps" the story instead of the math.This is a coordinated operation destroying the exact experienced combat warriors we need at the Pentagon, all to hide the incompetence, corruption, and failures inside Hegseth's circle at the direct expense of our military.
    https://x.com/LibertyLynx/status/2115873909757386991

  7. #2632
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    “If Iran is bringing limpet mines back out of the wardrobe I would be worried for ships across the Gulf,” said Martin Kelly, chief executive of the maritime security consultancy Orbital Risk Intelligence, who is advising three ships due to pass through the strait this weekend.

    Kelly said that Iran was “doing everything they can to stop ships getting through”, including issuing false information campaigns about ships being hit by mines, increasing the geographical area in which its forces attack ships and increasing the tempo of strikes.

    The first two weeks of October were the heaviest period of strikes against shipping since the war began.“Shipowners will begin to say, ‘ , there are now limpet mines, we’re not going through’,” he said, adding that ships in local anchorages could be particularly at risk.

    Iran has also used cruise missiles against shipping in recent weeks, as well as using drones to target the vessels’ funnels, because that increases the damage by focusing the blast on a part of the ship connected to the engine room, maritime security experts said.

    Because most ships are sailing through Omani territorial waters, they are not permitted to have armed guards on board but typically sail with response officers from security consultancies on the bridge who advise crews as they transit the strait.Dubai’s PRY Shipping, the owner of Louise 1, did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

    Another tanker and a dhow in the strait suffered fires on Thursday after being hit by missiles.
    https://www.ft.com/content/66ba3e98-...syn-25a6b1a6=1

  8. #2633
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    Kriegsminister Pete lied his ass off

    After the war began on Feb. 28, Iranian missiles and drones pounded bases across the Persian Gulf. In the first two weeks, at least 119 buildings at 13 installations, mostly in nearby Kuwait, showed damage—more than in any other stretch of the war.


    Naval Support Activity Bahrain, home of the Navy’s Fifth Fleet, took heavy fire in those two weeks. Central Command evacuated most personnel from the base.


    On March 13, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth declared Iran’s missile program all but finished. “Iran’s entire ballistic missile production capacity, every company that builds every component of those missiles, has been functionally defeated, destroyed,” he said at a Pentagon press briefing.


    But Iran kept striking. Over the rest of the month, damage appeared at six more installations, the Journal’s analysis found.
    https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-eas...3224?st=LZKnbx

  9. #2634
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    When the ceasefire collapsed on July 7, Iran focused its fire west, to bases hundreds of miles farther from its borders. Through the war’s six-month mark, the Journal found damage from at least 11 separate attacks, five of them in Jordan. The Gulf installations neighboring Iran that had borne the brunt of earlier strikes now only saw sporadic damage.


    Within days of the deadly July 17 strike at Muwaffaq Salti, the Journal found damage at three other installations to buildings that current and former U.S. servicemembers said resembled base housing. That same week, U.S. officials privately expressed worry about Iran targeting troops where they sleep.



    At Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait, buildings resembling housing units damaged in July. Airbus DS/AP

    Iran was also hitting smaller buildings, one sign of the precision that has increasingly alarmed U.S. officials. Structures damaged after the ceasefire collapsed were less than half of the size of the ones hit earlier, the Journal found. Base housing—often converted shipping containers or even tents—tends to be small, some of the current and former servicemembers said.


    Iran’s own public statements reflected this shift. From July 7 to Aug. 28, Iran claimed more than 40 strikes on U.S. installations, according to a Journal analysis of four Iranian state-affiliated media outlets. More than three-quarters of those claims described specific types of buildings at named installations, compared with less than half earlier in the war—and claims of strikes targeting housing doubled.


    “There’s definitely been an effort by the Iranians to inflict casualties on U.S. forces,” said Brian Carter, an Iran-focused defense analyst at the American Enterprise Ins ute, a conservative-leaning think tank.

  10. #2635
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    more braindead US aggression on deck

    The week of October 19, Trump was presented with a menu of options for a renewed war on Iran. The plans were not drawn up by the Joint Staff’s J5, the Pentagon’s chief planning directorate, but by the J5 at Central Command, the headquarters that will actually fight the war. Trump, my source says, chose the option of seizing one or more islands. Murphy’s “insane” comment, after his briefing, fits that choice. Murphy has not publicly named the targets. Analysts discussing his briefing have mentioned Kharg, Iran’s main oil export terminal, and Qeshm, the large island that sits across the Strait of Hormuz.


    And then, on October 29, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth fired Lieutenant General Brett Sylvia, the Joint Staff’s J5. The Pentagon says he was removed for leaking classified information and failing polygraph tests. Two other Pentagon sources told CBS those accusations are false. What I am told, and what other analysts have heard from their own sources, is that Sylvia opposed the island plan. If that is right, the administration just fired the general whose job was to tell it which plans were bad, a week before it intends to carry out one of them. That is not leadership. That is shooting the smoke detector.
    https://larrycjohnson.substack.com/p...he-cant-finish

  11. #2636
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  12. #2637
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    Iran rocked our

    Iran’s strikes on more than two dozen US bases in the Middle East focused on early-warning systems before hitting aircraft and buildings, causing billions of dollars in equipment damage, according to an Associated Press analysis.

    The AP independently verified damage to American targets using satellite imagery from multiple providers and spoke to four regional officials who were briefed or have firsthand knowledge of what was hit. The AP found that, through August, more than 115 drone or missile strikes claimed by Iran or Iranian-backed militias damaged or destroyed structures on 26 military bases and other sites with US equipment.

    The AP found that Iran initially focused its attacks on aircraft hangars and systems that detect incoming strikes, clearing the way for further strikes on warehouses, troop housing and more.
    https://www.timesofisrael.com/iran-s...nalyses-finds/

  13. #2638
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    The damage has significantly reshaped the American foothold in the Middle East, with two regional officials saying the US has moved many of its assets out of the Persian Gulf. That includes aircraft, air defense systems, communications systems and other equipment crucial to base operations, one of those officials said.


    The impact of the damage raises questions about American defenses in the region as President Donald Trump considers new strikes after Tuesday’s midterm elections and Tehran has vowed major retaliation.

  14. #2639
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    if I had to guess, we'll have a politically timed announcement of a deal over the weekend or on Monday

  15. #2640
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  16. #2641
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    thanks for reminding everyone why he's so popular a day before the election

    The U.S. attacked Iran’s Qeshm Island on Monday, U.S. officials said, in the latest of a series of limited strikes Washington has secretly carried out against the country in recent weeks as President Trump touted the possibility of a diplomatic deal.-WSJ

  17. #2642
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  18. #2643
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  19. #2644
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  20. #2645
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    Some Trump aides predicting Pete Hegseth will be a target of some of the president's blame, noting the midterm results would have been altered minus the Iran war. Also Centcom head Brad Cooper and chairman of the joint chiefs Dan Caine, who both played big roles in guidance on Iran war.-CBS News

  21. #2646
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    power of the purse

    Schumer implies in his presser they're willing to cut off DoD funding to end the Iran War.

  22. #2647
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  23. #2648
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  24. #2649
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    incoming chair of the House Armed Services Committee



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