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  1. #2901
    Veteran cutewizard's Avatar
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  2. #2902
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    Danny Wolf is a second round pick yall.

  3. #2903
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    Yeah I cooled on Wolf. Still think he is super intriguing though.

  4. #2904
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Starting to think that unless the Spurs end up in the top 4 or they're ready to trade Vassell/Keldon, they should trade their pick tbh. Draft Fleming with the Hawks' pick and work the FA market.
    FA market is pretty much just MLE, which will be used on CP3 if he stays.

  5. #2905
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    We're picking too high for Wolf.

  6. #2906
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    Curious about measurements with Wolf

    If that guy is really only 6-10, with like a 6-11 wingspan, that'll drop him.

    7 foot is the magic hype number that sticks in people's heads.

  7. #2907
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    I think our first pick will be either Fears or Kon and Hawks pick if we don’t trade it will be Fleming or Bryant

  8. #2908
    Forum Official Personal Life Coach BacktoBasics's Avatar
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    I think our first pick will be either Fears or Kon and Hawks pick if we don’t trade it will be Fleming or Bryant
    Im not as warm to Kon as most are but a Kon/Fleming draft would really address holes if both work out. I think Fears would interest me much more.

  9. #2909
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    Also Fleming plus Wolf is intriguing
    I'm not sold on Fleming or Wolf.

    Fleming is rather one-dimensional in his offence. It's either spotting up for 3s or setting up at the dunker's spot. There's almost no shot creation or facilitation to set up Wemby or Fox.

    Wolf is a big dude who does not play all that big. Good facilitator but also racks up lots of turnovers.

    If you merge the two together, you'll get Yaxel Lendeborg: a good rebounder, defender and facilitator who shoots the 3 at an only slightly lower percentage than Fleming.

  10. #2910
    Veteran ginobilized's Avatar
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    Only a month to wait for the lottery.

    I'll have to trust the Spurs to pick with the same insight they used to get Castle. I'm as concerned about getting rid of current players as adding new ones.

    If I had to pick today, it's Kon/Fleming & a wildcard 2nd rounder. If those 2 are not on the board either Fears, Tre Johnson or Murray-Boyles and Sorber or Bryant with the second pick. Condon might be useful with the 2nd round pick, but likely gone by then.
    Maybe it's my bias against white guys with headbands, but, Liam McNeely doesn't seem worth either pick.

  11. #2911
    Veteran mo7888's Avatar
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    I'm not sold on Fleming or Wolf.

    Fleming is rather one-dimensional in his offence. It's either spotting up for 3s or setting up at the dunker's spot. There's almost no shot creation or facilitation to set up Wemby or Fox.

    Wolf is a big dude who does not play all that big. Good facilitator but also racks up lots of turnovers.

    If you merge the two together, you'll get Yaxel Lendeborg: a good rebounder, defender and facilitator who shoots the 3 at an only slightly lower percentage than Fleming.
    I don't see any issue with Fleming, with the Atlanta pick, as being problematic. The things he does well, as you cited plus his Defensive potential, is good value at that point. If he could do, or had the potential to do, all of the things you just listed, then he be a top 5 or 6 guy in this draft. He projects as a solid role player with a fairly high floor and lower ceiling.

    So, really, it depends on what you're looking for with that pick. If you want a guy ready to contribute early on then go with Fleming. If you prefer a higher ceiling, but lower floor guy, then go with Carter Bryant.

  12. #2912
    Make a trade steal
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    Only a month to wait for the lottery.

    I'll have to trust the Spurs to pick with the same insight they used to get Castle. I'm as concerned about getting rid of current players as adding new ones.

    If I had to pick today, it's Kon/Fleming & a wildcard 2nd rounder. If those 2 are not on the board either Fears, Tre Johnson or Murray-Boyles and Sorber or Bryant with the second pick. Condon might be useful with the 2nd round pick, but likely gone by then.
    Maybe it's my bias against white guys with headbands, but, Liam McNeely doesn't seem worth either pick.
    Spurs are higher on McNeeley than most in here are. I expect him to be drafted with one of the picks.

  13. #2913
    Ford is the Best in Texas scottspurs's Avatar
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    San Antonio SpursSouthwest Division
    Team Info & Stats




    Rank spurs league Avg
    Team Bench Points per Game 1 44.1 35.5
    Opp. FTA Per Game 3 18.5 21.7
    Blocks Per Game 4 5.5 4.9
    Assists Per Game 6 28.6 26.5
    Opp. Blocks Per Game 7 4.3 4.9
    3PA Per Game 7 39.6 37.6
    3PM Per Game 9 14.1 13.5
    Fast Break Points Per Game 10 16.1 15.5
    Turnovers Per Game 10 13.9 14.3
    Steals Per Game 12 8.2 8.2
    2PT% 15 .551 .545
    Opp. Steals Per Game 15t 8.1 8.2
    Best Record - One-Possession Games 16t .500 .500
    Team Points per Game 16 113.9 113.8
    FG% 17 .465 .467
    Turnover Differential per Game 17 -0.2 0.0
    Offensive Rebounds Per Game 17 10.9 11.1
    Points in the Paint Per Game 18 47.8 49.0
    True Shooting % 19 .575 .576
    Rebounds Per Game 19 43.7 44.1
    3PT% 20 .357 .360
    Point Differential Per Game 21 -2.8 0.0
    FT% 21 .774 .780
    Defensive Rebounds Per Game 21 32.7 33.0
    FTA Per Game 21 21.0 21.7
    Opp. Points Per Game 23 116.7 113.8
    Opp. Assists Per Game 23 28.0 26.5
    Opp. 2PT% 23 .554 .545
    Opp. 3PT% 24 .365 .360
    Opp. FG% 24 .474 .467
    2nd Chance Points Per Game 25 12.6 14.1
    Opp. FT% 26 .790 .780
    Opp. Defensive Rebounds Per Game 27 34.1 33.0
    Rebound Differential per Game 27 -2.5 0.0
    Opp. Offensive Rebounds Per Game 28 12.1 11.1

    This is where the Spurs ended up in most important stats. It’s pretty clear they need to improve rebounding which will in turn improve their defense.

  14. #2914
    Veteran mo7888's Avatar
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    Spurs are higher on McNeeley than most in here are. I expect him to be drafted with one of the picks.
    I agree with this. The question is, how much he rises after individual workouts? Will we have to take him ar 8 or will the ATL pick get it done?

  15. #2915
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    I agree with this. The question is, how much he rises after individual workouts? Will we have to take him ar 8 or will the ATL pick get it done?
    McNeeley at 8 would be as good as any pick there. Depending on how you feel about Malauch, the draft m really nosedives at 7.


    It’s why I’m not terribly sad about the ATL pick being where it (likely) will be.

  16. #2916
    Ford is the Best in Texas scottspurs's Avatar
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    Analytics deep dive


    Defensive Bayesian Performance ranking among nba prospects


    Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating reflects the defensive value a player brings to his team when he is on the court. This rating incorporates a player’s individual efficiency stats and on-court play-by-play impact, and also accounts for the defensive strength of other teammates on the floor with him, along with the offensive strength of the opponent’s players on the floor. DBPR is interpreted as the number of defensive points per 100 possessions better than (below) D1 average expected to be allowed by the player’s team if the player were on the court with 9 other average players. A higher rating is better.





    • Cooper Flagg - 4.26
    • Thomas Sorber - 4.19
    • Danny Wolf - 3.41
    • Alex Condon - 3.09
    • Derik Queen - 3.02
    • Johni Broome - 2.97
    • Collin Murray-Boyles - 2.78
    • Miles Byrd - 2.78
    • Ryan Kalbrenner - 2.76
    • Kon Knueppel - 2.65
    • Nique Clifford - 2.58
    • Vladislav Goldin - 2.55
    • Boogie Fland - 2.47
    • Sion James - 2.43
    • Carter Bryant - 2.36
    • Adou Thiero - 2.34
    • Khaman Maluach - 2.32
    • Milos Uzan - 2.27
    • Jase Richardson - 2.11
    • VJ Edgecombe - 2.08
    • Rasheer Fleming - 2.06
    • Kam Jones - 2.05
    • Walter Clayton - 2.05
    • Darrion Williams - 1.98
    • Liam Mcneely - 1.95





    According to this particular analysis of defense for prospects these are the top 25 prospects when it comes to defense.


    Notes


    The top 2 defensive prospects in this class far and away are Flagg and Sorber according to this analysis.


    Shocked by some of the names on here but one thing is clear. Rebounding matters. Derik Queen rates as an effective player on defense because of his rebounding. Same as Mcneely. 6 rpg from a wing is good. High IQ matters. Most would not consider Kon Knueppel a top 10 defensive player in this draft. Analytics say otherwise. You watch the film and he doesn’t stand out on that end but the numbers say otherwise.


    Also pleasantly surprised to see two smaller players in particular on this list in Fland and Richardson.

  17. #2917
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    Most players don’t change too much of who they are from when they were in college. Don’t confuse that with me saying they don’t develop or become better players. You watch tape like this and you can identify really quick who Bassey is even if the video didn’t have him in the le. The reason I’m saying this is because a lot of folks project a lot onto players like Malauch and someone like Newell due to their physical characteristics.

    I also don’t see the value in going for a player whose archetype is a dime a dozen. These 3 pt only shooter types like McNeeley may address a team need (which according to scottspurs it isn’t even a team need), but I don’t see him being any better than what Champagnie brings… and worse yet, knowing this coaching staff I don’t think he’s talented enough to beat Julian out from the rotation.

    Anybody who is brought in has to either be definitely better than current rotation players or brings something else that would justify their minutes.

  18. #2918
    Forum Official Personal Life Coach BacktoBasics's Avatar
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    Analytics deep dive


    Defensive Bayesian Performance ranking among nba prospects


    Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating reflects the defensive value a player brings to his team when he is on the court. This rating incorporates a player’s individual efficiency stats and on-court play-by-play impact, and also accounts for the defensive strength of other teammates on the floor with him, along with the offensive strength of the opponent’s players on the floor. DBPR is interpreted as the number of defensive points per 100 possessions better than (below) D1 average expected to be allowed by the player’s team if the player were on the court with 9 other average players. A higher rating is better.





    • Cooper Flagg - 4.26
    • Thomas Sorber - 4.19
    • Danny Wolf - 3.41
    • Alex Condon - 3.09
    • Derik Queen - 3.02
    • Johni Broome - 2.97
    • Collin Murray-Boyles - 2.78
    • Miles Byrd - 2.78
    • Ryan Kalbrenner - 2.76
    • Kon Knueppel - 2.65
    • Nique Clifford - 2.58
    • Vladislav Goldin - 2.55
    • Boogie Fland - 2.47
    • Sion James - 2.43
    • Carter Bryant - 2.36
    • Adou Thiero - 2.34
    • Khaman Maluach - 2.32
    • Milos Uzan - 2.27
    • Jase Richardson - 2.11
    • VJ Edgecombe - 2.08
    • Rasheer Fleming - 2.06
    • Kam Jones - 2.05
    • Walter Clayton - 2.05
    • Darrion Williams - 1.98
    • Liam Mcneely - 1.95





    According to this particular analysis of defense for prospects these are the top 25 prospects when it comes to defense.


    Notes


    The top 2 defensive prospects in this class far and away are Flagg and Sorber according to this analysis.


    Shocked by some of the names on here but one thing is clear. Rebounding matters. Derik Queen rates as an effective player on defense because of his rebounding. Same as Mcneely. 6 rpg from a wing is good. High IQ matters. Most would not consider Kon Knueppel a top 10 defensive player in this draft. Analytics say otherwise. You watch the film and he doesn’t stand out on that end but the numbers say otherwise.


    Also pleasantly surprised to see two smaller players in particular on this list in Fland and Richardson.
    I find it hard to take this seriously with Queen up on that list. A traffic cone is a better defender.

  19. #2919
    Ford is the Best in Texas scottspurs's Avatar
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    I find it hard to take this seriously with Queen up on that list. A traffic cone is a better defender.
    Rebounding matters. He helps any team he is on day 1 as a very good rebounder. Check the spurs rebounding numbers and it’s not hard to see that the spurs biggest weakness is getting the ball back into their possession.

  20. #2920
    Ford is the Best in Texas scottspurs's Avatar
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    Most players don’t change too much of who they are from when they were in college. Don’t confuse that with me saying they don’t develop or become better players. You watch tape like this and you can identify really quick who Bassey is even if the video didn’t have him in the le. The reason I’m saying this is because a lot of folks project a lot onto players like Malauch and someone like Newell due to their physical characteristics.

    I also don’t see the value in going for a player whose archetype is a dime a dozen. These 3 pt only shooter types like McNeeley may address a team need (which according to scottspurs it isn’t even a team need), but I don’t see him being any better than what Champagnie brings… and worse yet, knowing this coaching staff I don’t think he’s talented enough to beat Julian out from the rotation.

    Anybody who is brought in has to either be definitely better than current rotation players or brings something else that would justify their minutes.
    If you look at the numbers shooting is luxury for the Spurs. What they need is defense and rebounding. The Spurs will be picking in the lottery again next year if they don’t rebound a lot better.

  21. #2921
    Ford is the Best in Texas scottspurs's Avatar
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    Analytics deep dive 2



    • Box DBPR: Box Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating is an estimate of a player’s defensive value, based only on his individual box stats. This serves as a prior starting point when calculating DBPR.



    Top Box DBPR players in this draft class



    • Johni Broome - 3.53
    • Collin Murray-Boyles - 2.93
    • Cooper Flagg - 2.88
    • Carter Bryant - 2.71
    • Danny Wolf - 2.65
    • Labaron Philon - 2.65
    • Alex Condon - 2.62
    • Miles Byrd - 2.58
    • VJ Edgecombe - 2.54
    • Adou Thiero - 2.44
    • Trevon Brazile - 2.31
    • Ryan Kalkbrenner- 2.28
    • Derik Queen - 2.27
    • Vladislav Goldin - 2.23
    • Thomas Sorber - 2.21
    • Jeremiah Fears - 2.00
    • Walter Clayton - 1.92
    • Chaz Lanier - 1.91
    • Asa Newell - 1.87
    • Tahaad Pettifoed - 1.79
    • Khaman Maluach - 1.75
    • Dylan Harper - 1.74
    • Maxime Raynaud - 1.67
    • Darrion Williams - 1.65
    • Koby Brea - 1.59



    This is a defensive analysis that is based solely off the box score and rates these players as the top defensive prospects in this class. I don’t take this analysis model very seriously because it doesn’t factor in a lot but it’s still interesting to look at. Taking notes of the guys like Flagg and Murray-Boyles that keep showing up at the top of these analytics defensively

  22. #2922
    Veteran cutewizard's Avatar
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    Wemby
    Fox
    Castle

    -------------------------

    Fleming
    Wolf

    -----------------------

    Reid
    Cameron.....

    ------------------------

    Barnes
    Champagne

  23. #2923
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    Been watching CMB more and I’m afraid I have to drop him a bit down again. His offense is more rudimentary than I realized— the way he scores reminds me very much of Keldon. He drives seeking physical contact (not a bad thing in itself) but when he throws it up it almost looks like a prayer every time. He may be exceptional on defense but if his offense is as basic as it appears then I think next year’s offense won’t be significantly improved.


    Tier 1 - No brainer
    Flagg
    Harper


    Tier 2 - Exciting picks
    Kon
    Jase Richardson
    Sorber
    Queen


    Tier 3 - Talented, but I have serious concerns
    VJ Edgecombe
    Fleming
    Bailey
    Tre Johnson
    Saraf


    Tier 4 - Talented, but the fit is terrible
    CMB
    Wolf


    Tier 5 - High risk, high reward
    Carter Bryant
    Demin
    DeLarrea
    Hugo
    Noa


    Tier 6 - Safe picks
    Riley
    Kasparas
    Fears


    Tier 7 - Meh
    Asa Newell
    Traore
    Malauch


    Tier 8 - Bust
    McNeeley

  24. #2924
    Veteran cutewizard's Avatar
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    Wemby
    Fox
    Castle

    -------------------------

    Fleming
    Wolf

    -----------------------

    Reid
    Cameron.....

    ------------------------

    Barnes
    Champagne

    >>>>>>>>>>>>> this is already a complete deck guys

    we can start The Beautiful Game 2.0 2025 Edition

  25. #2925
    Veteran cutewizard's Avatar
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    Wemby at center
    Reid and Cameron at forward
    Fox and Castle at guard

    ---------------------------------------
    Wolf
    Barnes
    Fleming
    CP3/Wesley
    Champagne

    ----------------------------

    Biyombo
    Mamu....!!!!
    Minix, plus others

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