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  1. #276
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    I think Payne is the guard most likely to be cut.

    In fact this is how I'd rank the players from most likely to be cut to least:

    Birch
    Bullock
    Osman
    Payne
    Rice (two-way)
    Mamukelashvili
    Graham
    Wesley
    Bassey
    Cissoko (if Bruno is right)
    Barlow (if re-signed)
    McDermott
    Collins
    Champagnie
    Jones
    Branham
    Vassell
    Johnson
    Sochan
    Wembanyama

    If we were also talking about trades (including consolidation trades and trades for value), the list would look a bit different.
    thats probably about right. maybe payne a tad higher on the list, but who knows.

    ultimately might not matter barring a trade. if barlow/cissoko get real roster spots, all of those guys (payne/osman/bullock/birch) would have to be waived anyway to cut us down to 15.

    still not sure what's going on with barlow. the QO they've given him is for a 2-way deal. there doesnt seem to be any chatter of other teams approaching him for an offer sheet. my guess is he's trying to negotiate for an nba deal, and the spurs basically want to bend him over and lock him up cheap for 1-2 more years than he's willing, and that's the impasse they're currently at.

  2. #277
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    Don't the Spurs need Pay's contact to meet the salary cap floor? And why not keep the contract to facilitate a trade for assets if the opportunity arises down the road? I'd also say Payne is every bit as good as Jones so I don't see him doing anything other than competing for a roster spot.

  3. #278
    Machacarredes Chinook's Avatar
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    thats probably about right. maybe payne a tad higher on the list, but who knows.

    ultimately might not matter barring a trade. if barlow/cissoko get real roster spots, all of those guys (payne/osman/bullock/birch) would have to be waived anyway to cut us down to 15.

    still not sure what's going on with barlow. the QO they've given him is for a 2-way deal. there doesnt seem to be any chatter of other teams approaching him for an offer sheet. my guess is he's trying to negotiate for an nba deal, and the spurs basically want to bend him over and lock him up cheap for 1-2 more years than he's willing, and that's the impasse they're currently at.
    As Bruno mentioned, I think both Cissoko and Barlow are looking at contracts that will require cap space to sign. That means the Spurs probably do have a clock on them. I think SA is perfectly willing to have Barlow come back on a two-way deal though. I don't think most teams want to waste time negotiating for the Spurs, who would probably be okay matching any contract that another team would realistically offer. Complicating matters more is that offer sheets have to be for three or four years, and that means teams can't just offer a min deal. They'd need their own cap space or MLE to make the offer, and teams aren't willing to do that just for the Spurs to match.

  4. #279
    Body Of Work Mr. Body's Avatar
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    Supposedly New York, Phoenix, and Indiana were working on a deal that would have moved TJ McConnell to the Suns and the Knicks would have received Cam Payne in return. Not sure why the deal fell apart, perhaps because Phoenix wanted to shed salary instead to get the tax savings. It might suggest lingering Knick interest in Payne, however, and I believe they can absorb him into an existing trade exception.

    Evan Fournier is still an option for a consolidation-of-expirings trade. He was out of Thibodeaux' rotation this last year. They might be okay with breaking his large-ish salary into pieces.

  5. #280
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    You'd think that. But then I remember Kurt Thomas and how the Suns gave up two firsts to send his contract to Seattle before the Sonics got a third from SA to send him to the Spurs.
    Ah, the good old days when FRPs flowed like honey from the comb.

  6. #281
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    I'm not arguing against this point. Your examples aren't a game changer for me. Poole is grossly overpaid and they couldn't get off him fast enough. Herro is overpaid as well, for all the reasons you listed.
    They're clearly credible comps and the Warriors moved on Poole quickly because of their historic tax bill/poor chemistry.

    Even if closer to net negatives than not, the difference is likely to be negligible as the cap continues to rise an estimated 10% year over year during the life of their contracts.

  7. #282
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    I think Payne is the guard most likely to be cut.

    In fact this is how I'd rank the players from most likely to be cut to least:

    Birch
    Bullock
    Osman
    Payne
    Rice (two-way)
    Mamukelashvili
    Graham
    Wesley
    Bassey
    Cissoko (if Bruno is right)
    Barlow (if re-signed)
    McDermott
    Collins
    Champagnie
    Jones
    Branham
    Vassell
    Johnson
    Sochan
    Wembanyama

    If we were also talking about trades (including consolidation trades and trades for value), the list would look a bit different.
    Good list, i would just invert graham and payne, bullock and osman.

    I have a hard time understand why people value graham ( not you) over payne, really good 3pts shooter but that's it imo.

  8. #283
    Forum Official Personal Life Coach BacktoBasics's Avatar
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    Good list, i would just invert graham and payne, bullock and osman.

    I have a hard time understand why people value graham ( not you) over payne, really good 3pts shooter but that's it imo.
    I think they value Graham like that because volume 3pt shooters aren’t a bad thing to have deep on the bench of a championship run. Usually these guys are good for at least one game if not a series.

  9. #284
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    Good list, i would just invert graham and payne, bullock and osman.

    I have a hard time understand why people value graham ( not you) over payne, really good 3pts shooter but that's it imo.
    It’s double the cost to waive Graham over Payne.

  10. #285
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    Supposedly New York, Phoenix, and Indiana were working on a deal that would have moved TJ McConnell to the Suns and the Knicks would have received Cam Payne in return. Not sure why the deal fell apart, perhaps because Phoenix wanted to shed salary instead to get the tax savings. It might suggest lingering Knick interest in Payne, however, and I believe they can absorb him into an existing trade exception.

    Evan Fournier is still an option for a consolidation-of-expirings trade. He was out of Thibodeaux' rotation this last year. They might be okay with breaking his large-ish salary into pieces.
    That’s interesting, especially if they have a trade exception to fit him in. Will happy take another SRP lol.

  11. #286
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    It’s double the cost to waive Graham over Payne.
    doesnt really cost more or less. either way, no matter how we slice it, graham and payne are going to make 18.5 mil and count as that much against the cap

    whether we waive one, waive the other, or waive both, those numbers are basically static (unless they agree to buyouts to varying degrees)

  12. #287
    Make a trade steal
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    I don't expect any more player acquisitions. This is it. I expected a veteran PG addition and now that has happened, that is it.

    Just have to trim the roster down now.

    After Wemby very minor additions and really no big difference making upgrades to the roster.

  13. #288
    Machacarredes Chinook's Avatar
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    doesnt really cost more or less. either way, no matter how we slice it, graham and payne are going to make 18.5 mil and count as that much against the cap

    whether we waive one, waive the other, or waive both, those numbers are basically static (unless they agree to buyouts to varying degrees)
    It's true but not true. Graham being waived locks in his guarantee next year. If they don't waive him they can still trade him later. Payne being waived now or in February, on the other hand, wouldn't make a difference.

  14. #289
    Don't stop believin' Dex's Avatar
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    Third Two-Way spot doesn't open up until next year with the CBA, yes?

  15. #290
    Machacarredes Chinook's Avatar
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    Third Two-Way spot doesn't open up until next year with the CBA, yes?
    The new CBA kicked in this year. Some of the measures are being eased in -- particularly the financial ones. But most kicked in on July 1

  16. #291
    Don't stop believin' Dex's Avatar
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    The new CBA kicked in this year. Some of the measures are being eased in -- particularly the financial ones. But most kicked in on July 1
    Ah gotcha, thanks

  17. #292
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    I keep saying the trade hiding in plain sight is for Lonzo Ball + a CHI FRP.
    Dump 3 of our expirings there (including Graham) and eat ~18M next year.
    Likely the Spurs get the disabled player exception too.
    The Spurs brand is not the Big Ballah brand so no spurs named ball.

  18. #293
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    I keep saying the trade hiding in plain sight is for Lonzo Ball + a CHI FRP.
    Dump 3 of our expirings there (including Graham) and eat ~18M next year.
    Likely the Spurs get the disabled player exception too.
    The whisper grapevine is that he's never going to play again, AND he's got a hefty player option ($21M+) for 24-25 that he will most certainly exercise, so no.

  19. #294
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    The whisper grapevine is that he's never going to play again, AND he's got a hefty player option ($21M+) for 24-25 that he will most certainly exercise, so no.
    i think thats factored into the deal. we arent generally seeing FRPs traded anymore for 1 year salary relief

  20. #295
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    i think thats factored into the deal. we arent generally seeing FRPs traded anymore for 1 year salary relief
    We have enough draft picks to not need one more to take on $40M in dead salary.

  21. #296
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    We have enough draft picks to not need one more to take on $40M in dead salary.
    we're gonna have plenty of dead salary this year one way or another because we have to waive enough guys to trim down to 15. if we can unload some of those to chicago and consolidate, it makes sense for this year. like... if we were going to waive birch + bullock, thats already nearly 20 mil. no skin off our backs to replace that with lonzo

    we'd be eating 20 mil next year as an expiring in exchange for the pick, really. but could then also immediately apply for the DPE

  22. #297
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    Why would the Spurs trade for Lonzo if he has 3 years left on his contract? How does the DPE work?

    No. The first swap, with Washington, gives Phoenix the lesser of the two picks as payment for Beal. Then Phoenix sold swap rights to Orlando on the pick they get (the lesser of the 2 between Phoenix and Washington), so that Orlando gets the better between that one and their own. So Phoenix is guaranteed to get THE LESSER OF THE 3. Washington or Orlando may get the better or the one in the middle, depending on where they end up, they're just guaranteed to not get the worst of the 3. For instance, say this is the order before and after swaps take place:
    1) Before: WAS, ORL, PHO - After: WAS, ORL, PHO (neither swap)
    2) Before: ORL, WAS, PHO - After: ORL, WAS, PHO (neither swap)
    3) Before: WAS, PHO, ORL - After: WAS, ORL, PHO (only ORL swaps)
    4) Before: ORL, PHO, WAS - After: ORL, WAS, PHO (only WAS swaps)
    5) Before: PHO, ORL, WAS - After: WAS, ORL, PHO (only WAS swaps)
    6) Before: PHO, WAS, ORL - After: WAS, ORL, PHO (both swap)
    Suppose every prior scenario is equally likely (unrealistic, but indulge me for the purpose of clarity):
    Washington ends up with the better pick 2/3 of the time and the middle one 1/3 or the time
    Orlando ends up with the better pick 1/3 of the time and the middle one 2/3 or the time
    Phoenix always ends up with the worst pick.
    This seems complicated. When were these swaps of swaps made?

    As for the cash thing, how much cash are you allowed to send out in trades? Is the limit per transaction/trade?

    Also, when comparing/ranking players, do they majority of you guys think Graham is better than Payne? In other words, do you guys expect Devonte to be the backup PG to start the season?

  23. #298
    Veteran exstatic's Avatar
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    we're gonna have plenty of dead salary this year one way or another because we have to waive enough guys to trim down to 15. if we can unload some of those to chicago and consolidate, it makes sense for this year. like... if we were going to waive birch + bullock, thats already nearly 20 mil. no skin off our backs to replace that with lonzo

    we'd be eating 20 mil next year as an expiring in exchange for the pick, really. but could then also immediately apply for the DPE
    Lowry is a much better option for those players. We've already monetized them once for cash and the swap with Dallas, plus a residual SRP or two, and can probably get something on the back end for Lowry at the deadline, and his money ends this year. Oh, and he can actually play. Not dead money.

    If you look at the players we've taken into cap room this year, they're all serviceable guys who can defend and shoot. I'd rather let Chicago wither and die, and maximize the 2025 pick we already have from them, rather than sending them decent players in lieu of a cripple. That would improve their fortunes and make our existing pick worse. F the Bulls.

  24. #299
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    I agree with Exstatic. I'd much rather trade for Lowry.

  25. #300
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    i prefer lowry as well. but as we know with the westbrook thing last year, we dont always get in on the trades that we want. the lonzo one is just an additional route. lowry carries a higher salary than lonzo meaning we could potentially consolidate even more spots instead of making wasteful cuts

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