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  1. #301
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    republicans are holding the ohio governorship and looks like florida as well... those are still the 2 most determinative states in presidential races. florida was a complete nailbiter tho

  2. #302
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    That's the point. Large cities mostly end up voting Dem in the long run... it's the rural areas that are missing the manufacturing jobs, and the gig is up, they're not coming back.
    Voters vote with their wallets... Ohio is demographically GOP but were enamored with Obama for some reason. Trump did better than Bush did both times, though. Rural will still be largely GOP in 2020, whereas the suburban whites who got new office jobs will be majority GOP. The Hillary vote will still be there for the Democratic candidate, but it won't be enough.

  3. #303
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    republicans are holding the ohio governorship and looks like florida as well... those are still the 2 most determinative states in presidential races. florida was a complete nailbiter tho
    Florida will be a nailbiter in the Year 2100.

  4. #304
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    NATE SILVER10:52 PM
    According to The Upshot, Democrats are likely to win the popular vote for the House by somewhere in the range of 6 to 10 points — which is right where polls had the generic ballot.

  5. #305
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    KRISTEN SOLTIS ANDERSON10:49 PM
    Earlier this year, Rick Scott ran an ad, led “Quien Es Bill Nelson,” suggesting that Nelson had failed to engage with the Hispanic community in Florida. And the exit polls in Florida seem to support that view. Nelson is now +11 among Hispanics, which trails Hillary Clinton’s margin with Latino voters in the state from 2016.

  6. #306
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    GEOFFREY SKELLEY10:47 PM
    Florida is looking good for Republicans. The races for Senate and governor are very close, but the GOP leads in both. Republican Gov. Rick Scott leads Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson by 0.8 points, and Republican Ron DeSantis leads Democrat Andrew Gillum by 1.0 points. Both of those leads are outside the 0.5-point margin required for an automatic recount.

  7. #307
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    NATHANIEL RAKICH10:54 PM
    Democrats are doing VERY well in Iowa. In the 1st District, Abby Finkenauer is leading GOP Rep. Rod Blum 58 percent to 40 percent. In the 3rd District, Cindy Axne is leading Rep. David Young 55 percent to 42 percent. And … wait for it … in the 4th District, J.D. Scholten is leading Rep. Steve King 51 percent to 47 percent.

  8. #308
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    steve king might actually lose in iowa. i know cruz is a turd but king might be the most detestable person in congress tbh

  9. #309
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    NATE SILVER 10:55 PM
    ABC PROJECTS THAT DEMOCRATS WILL WIN THE HOUSE

  10. #310
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    steve king might actually lose in iowa. i know cruz is a turd but king might be the most detestable person in congress tbh
    Hopefully Rohrabacher goes down too

  11. #311
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Gillum conceding

  12. #312
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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  13. #313
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    NATHANIEL RAKICH10:54 PM
    Democrats are doing VERY well in Iowa. In the 1st District, Abby Finkenauer is leading GOP Rep. Rod Blum 58 percent to 40 percent. In the 3rd District, Cindy Axne is leading Rep. David Young 55 percent to 42 percent. And … wait for it … in the 4th District, J.D. Scholten is leading Rep. Steve King 51 percent to 47 percent.
    Another state that won't go for the Dem. presidential candidate in 2020, so these new Democrats are likely one-termers unless something drastic happens.

  14. #314
    Machacarredes Chinook's Avatar
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    First time I've actually heard him speak. His accent is weird, like he's trying really hard not let a Southern/AAVE accent show through.

  15. #315
    Independent DMX7's Avatar
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    The house and senate are going almost exactly the way I expected them to but the governor races are pretty disappointing. The Florida loss is painful even though it was within like 1%.

  16. #316
    Veteran Th'Pusher's Avatar
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    Voters vote with their wallets...
    No they don’t. You have a bunch of farmers in the midwest that are getting ed by Donald’s tariffs but contintinue to support them. Voters, republican voters in particular, vote with their emotions, fear being the most prominent.

  17. #317
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    the world will be a better place if king is ousted

  18. #318
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    NATE SILVER 10:55 PM
    ABC PROJECTS THAT DEMOCRATS WILL WIN THE HOUSE


    This is why Fox News has the most watched election coverage.

  19. #319
    Savvy Veteran spurraider21's Avatar
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    This is why Fox News has the most watched election coverage.
    yep. fox news, king of the MSM

  20. #320
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Booker would lose by a little.. Kamala by a lot... Hillary by a landslide... Beto would have a chance if he played his cards right.

    Trump is definitely the favorite in 2020 due to economics and job growth. People vote with their wallets #1. Logos always wins over pathos for the most part. Dems will have to prove they can do better on the economy than Trump.

    As far as the idiotic tweets and bile from his mouth goes, he'd have to be insanely bad... beyond imagination... to do worse than 2016 in that regard. And, he won in 2016.
    Dems did way better with the economy than the previous two GOP presidents. If anything, Trump has managed (so far), not to screw it up. He's been a pretty ineffectual president, and is a weak candidate, IMO, the whole unhinged lying will come home to roost at some point.

    His best chance is to declare a war before the election, get the country to line up behind him under the national pride mantra...

    That said, never underestimate the Dems putting an even more terrible candidate out there... (ahem, Joe Biden).

  21. #321
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    No they don’t. You have a bunch of farmers in the midwest that are getting ed by Donald’s tariffs but contintinue to support them. Voters, republican voters in particular, vote with their emotions, fear being the most prominent.
    Democrats are much more likely to vote with emotions.. omg they're not human!


    The tariffs suck, but most of the farm produce is not exported out of the US... it's mostly taken state to state.

  22. #322
    SeaGOAT midnightpulp's Avatar
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    My primary concern this election is what we're going to do about the impending caravan?

    - Do I care that they're "brown people?" No.

    - Am I concerned that blood thirsty criminals are using the caravan as cover in order to enter this country and thus rape and pillage white neighborhoods? No.

    - Do I care if they "steal" jobs (er jerbs) from Cletus? No.

    - Do I care about them having anchor babies? No.

    The most pressing issue with this caravan is that means there will be 14 thousand more soccer fans in the country.

  23. #323
    🏆🏆🏆🏆🏆 ElNono's Avatar
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    Voters vote with their wallets... Ohio is demographically GOP but were enamored with Obama for some reason. Trump did better than Bush did both times, though. Rural will still be largely GOP in 2020, whereas the suburban whites who got new office jobs will be majority GOP. The Hillary vote will still be there for the Democratic candidate, but it won't be enough.
    Even Bill Clinton won the rust belt.. it's not an Obama thing. Shillary was a terrible candidate that kept pushing the globalist/outsourcing agenda, whereas Trump was bull ting his way through bringing manufacturing jobs back. Dennison played the right cards there (credit to him), but that gig is up, those jobs ain't coming back. We'll see what the reaction to that is. If today is any indication (and GOP voters generally mobilize more for the mid terms), it's not a good look.

  24. #324
    Erryday I'm Hustlin' Robz4000's Avatar
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    My primary concern this election is what we're going to do about the impending caravan?

    - Do I care that they're "brown people?" No.

    - Am I concerned that blood thirsty criminals are using the caravan as cover in order to enter this country and thus rape and pillage white neighborhoods? No.

    - Do I care if they "steal" jobs (er jerbs) from Cletus? No.

    - Do I care about them having anchor babies? No.

    The most pressing issue with this caravan is that means there will be 14 thousand more soccer fans in the country.
    It's time to ban divegrass imo. It's a hard line but it needs to be done.

  25. #325
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    Dems did way better with the economy than the previous two GOP presidents. If anything, Trump has managed (so far), not to screw it up. He's been a pretty ineffectual president, and is a weak candidate, IMO, the whole unhinged lying will come home to roost at some point.

    His best chance is to declare a war before the election, get the country to line up behind him under the national pride mantra...

    That said, never underestimate the Dems putting an even more terrible candidate out there... (ahem, Joe Biden).
    Biden would be better than Harris or Warren or any other radical left female... but this is a silly post. Trump is not ineffectual and his policies and deregulation have skyrocketed the economy... maybe a bubble? But it won't pop until at least halfway through Trump's second term, like the late Bush era bubble, which of course will lead to a Democratic White House victory in 2024.

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