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but if it was in july of 02 it was after i grad and i was living by the northwoods theatre not in school, there was another flood before that in the schertz area
Huh?
Then my senior year,01/02. There was another big flood that i left school early for(like 1pm) just in time before cibolo creek flooded the area in full again and we had no school for like 3 days. I just know that couldn't have been in the summer.
but if it was in july of 02 it was after i grad and i was living by the northwoods theatre not in school, there was another flood before that in the schertz area
that 97 was what i remember then
If you left Schertz after your graduated then what the was all the crap you were saying about the flood happening in Oct. of 2002?
simply got school years confused
there were a lot of floods, we are both right
Dude, you're just completely confusing the out of me.
Rita Upgraded to Cat 3 Storm
Manny, you'd make a good weatherman. Early in this thread you said it would never be a cat 4, now you are saying its possible.
Bingo.
0400L advisory from the Hurricane Center...
000
WTNT33 KNHC 210832
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2005
...MAJOR CATEGORY THREE RITA MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO AND CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS IS DISCONTINUED EAST OF THE MARQUESAS KEYS...INCLUDING
KEY WEST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE MARQUESAS KEYS WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF RITA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LA UDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...
285 KM...WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 160 MILES... 255 KM...
WEST-NORTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.
RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS
MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF RITA FARTHER AWAY FROM THE
FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...195
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...AND RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE SOMETIME LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE
FLOODING ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD
SUBSIDE TODAY.
RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AC ULATIONS OF 1
TO 3 INCHES OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHWEST
CUBA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...24.3 N... 84.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
Current GFS model for right around landfall...
Last edited by travis2; 09-21-2005 at 06:53 AM.
On the other hand...current NAM model for landfall...
it's now a CAT 4 just announced at 6.45am ..
Nice call...here's the advisory...
000
WTNT33 KNHC 211137
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2005
...SATELLITE SUGGESTS THAT RITA HAS BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE MARQUESAS KEYS WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF RITA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LA UDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES...
WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 790 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.
RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD
BRING THE CENTER OF RITA FARTHER AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT RITA HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGHTEN AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. A NOAA PLANE WILL CHECK THE INTENSITY LATER THIS MORNING.
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...28.00 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE
FLOODING ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD
SUBSIDE TODAY.
RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AC ULATIONS OF 1
TO 3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ARE POSSIBLE OVER
NORTHWEST CUBA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...24.4 N... 85.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
Check out the GOES 1 floater loop...http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA...-ir4-loop.html
This thing is blowing up...
The NHC has their guidance on the northern edge of the models. I think the southern edge is more appropriate.
For Dan and Zombie:
I said it was a possibility. I didn't think it was a large possibility by any means, and I was wrong.
Now, if only we could get Dan to admit when he was wrong. That will be the day.
'sup Manny?
damn...I've got relatives on the bay in the Galveston/Houston area and on the island at Port Aransas. Naturally everyone is coming to my house...so far the animal count alone is two horses, 4 (inside) dogs, and 18 (inside) cats. Promises to be an interesting weekend.
Need any cat recipes?
Hey Manny, shoulda listened to my fellow AgsSATELLITE SUGGESTS THAT RITA HAS BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE.
Someone should tell XTRP (whoever that is) to put down the bong on their track
that is just an extension of the exact direction the hurricane is heading right now. thats not a model.Someone should tell XTRP (whoever that is) to put down the bong on their track
AHF, I should have. The good news is that in the last discussion they mention the outflow channel to the south isn't looking as good. Hopefully that precludes this monster from reaching catagory five status.
The only thing positive that came from Katrina, is that people are starting to get out early.. Texas hasn't had a hurricane of this magnitude in awhile..I hope everyone's family will be safe that is in the path of Rita.
After watching the satellite animation, she is actually moving a bit south of due west. Not much, but it might affect the forcast some to the shouth.
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