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That's why your Weatherman Manny™.
I could be wrong but I think over Cuba it went from moving 7 miles an hour, to 15 miles an hour.
Someone whos been watching this closely can correct me if I'm wrong.
That's why your Weatherman Manny™.
Two important things happened.
Gustav shifted to the extreme right of the forecasted storm tracks. Since the farther right he goes, the closer to the coast he is, it expedited his approaching landfall.
And yes, he sped up significantly. He's Gustav. He does what he wants.
+1I would be far more excited about watching this storm if it was out in the middle of the Atlantic ing with a bunch of fish. I can't speak for anyone else but I just have a huge fascination with weather in general. Its not just Hurricanes.
New Orleans is probably going to be spared a direct hit, quite lucky. Plus Hannah is being shredded up bu Gustav's trail.
The track I just saw had it slamming smack dab into New Orleans it seemed. Once again, I'm probobly wrong.
Two important things happened.
Gustav shifted to the extreme right of the forecasted storm tracks. Since the farther right he goes, the closer to the coast he is, it expedited his approaching landfall.
And yes, he sped up significantly. He's Gustav. He does what he wants.
+1
That made me laugh sorry
The worst case for NO isn't a direct hit, it's Gustav making landfall just to the the west of New Orleans and pushing the Gulf of Mexico over the levees. Parts of that city that stayed dry last time will be underwater.
A direct hit is right in the middle of best and worst case. Worst case is it hitting just west and that's exactly what it's doing.
The direct hit isn't the worst scenario, landfall West of NO is. The worst sides of a hurricane are the North and East sides, and that scenario hits NO with both of those.
You think what Katrina did and all the damage.
That was a Category 3, AND it hit direct.
This one is gonna be a "strong" 4, and hit west.
New Orleans might not even be there after this is over.
Is it just me, or do those latest satellite images show the storm veering to the west a little? Or are my eyes playing tricks on me? Or am I just misinterpreting the image wrong (which is most likely)?
I knew I should have gone to NOLA this past Mardi Gras. God, it is horrible thinking of all possible outcomes...city may be gone in a day's time. Thank goodness most people did evacuate.
"still comes down to human tendency"
yep
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2pe4XVVUbiA
Someone with the program dept of Encore movie station(ch 300 here in SA) has horrible sense of irony. The movie Deja Vu is on and the movie is set in NOLA
4PM advisory is out. It is forecast to go slightly further west, may go far enough south of NOLA to lessen the storm surge impact. Still 115mph, top gusts now 'only' 140 (v 150 earlier).
NWS: at 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...the Hurricane Warning is extended westward along the Louisiana and Texas coasts to just east of High Island Texas . A Hurricane Warning is now in effect from just east of High Island eastward to the Alabama-Florida border...including the city of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain.Two storm models now take it into central TX a couple of days after landfall.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/0..._n_122808.html
GOP Cancels Convention Opening Night
DAVID ESPO | August 31, 2008 04:42 PM EST |
ST. PAUL, Minn. — John McCain tore up the script for his Republican National Convention on Sunday, ordering the cancellation of all but essential opening-day activities as Hurricane Gustav churned toward New Orleans.
"This is a time when we have to do away with our party politics and we have to act as Americans," he said as fellow Republicans converged on their convention city to nominate him for the White House.
President Bush and Vice President Cheney scrapped plans to address the convention on Monday, and McCain's campaign chartered a jet to fly delegates back to their hurricane-threatened states along the Gulf Coast. Campaign manager Rick Davis said the first-night program was being cut from seven hours to two and one half.
The hasty reordering of an event months in the making underscored not only the risk posed by Gustav, but also an intense desire by McCain and Republicans to avoid the political damage that Bush suffered from his widely criticized response to Hurricane Katrina three years ago.
The formal business of the convention includes nominating McCain for president and Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his vice presidential running mate on Wednesday. McCain's acceptance speech, set for prime time on Thursday evening, is among the most critical events of the campaign for his chances of winning the White House.
McCain said he was looking forward to attending the convention but did not say when he would arrive. He spoke via satellite from St. Louis after he and Palin received a briefing on hurricane preparations in Jackson, Miss.
Campaign manager Davis told reporters inside the convention hall that the opening program on Monday would be "business only and will refrain from political rhetoric."
To help those in need, he said, "We are working with the delegations, financial people, finance committees, many other concerned individuals to do what we can to raise money for various charities that operate in the Gulf Coast region."
As for the convention schedule, he added that further adjustments would be made on a day-to-day basis.
McCain said of his briefing in Mississippi: "I'm happy to report to you that the coordination and the work that's being done at all levels appears to be excellent." He cited remaining challenges in communications and search and rescue operations, but emphasized that the response seemed to be going more smoothly than the one three years ago.
"I have every expectation that we will not see the mistakes of Katrina repeated," he said.
The Bush administration's handling of that storm contributed to a plunge in the president's approval ratings that helped the Democrats win control of Congress in 2006.
The uncertainty contrasted with a state of readiness inside the Xcel Center, a hockey arena transformed into a made-for-televison red-carpeted convention hall. Thousands of red, white and blue balloons nestled in netting high above the floor _ to be released during final-night festivities if the Republicans decide to go ahead with them.
Outside, police took nine people into custody for crossing a security barrier in an anti-war march. The nine, including two women in their 70s, were charged with trespassing, according to Doug Holtz, a St. Paul police commander.
Emphasizing their concern about the hurricane, McCain and his newly named running mate traveled to Mississippi for a tour of the state's emergency management center.
"I pledge that tomorrow night, and if necessary throughout our convention, we will act as Americans, not as Republicans," McCain told reporters moments later.
The events temporarily overshadowed a more traditionally political pre-convention debate over McCain's decision to name Palin to his ticket. She was mayor of small-town Wasilla, Alaska, for six years before she became governor in DecemDber 2006.
Responding to a question after his hurricane-related remarks, McCain made a ringing defense of Palin, who Democrats argue has less experience than their presidential candidate, Barack Obama.
"I thin Sen. Obama, if they want to do down that route, in all candor, she has far, far more experience than Sen. Obama does," McCain said.
He cited Palin's stint as governor of a "state that produces 20 percent of America's energy" as well as her previous membership in the PTA and her time spent on the city council and in the mayor's office in Wasilla,a town of fewer than 7,000 people outside Anchorage.
By contrast, he said Obama "was a community organizer when she was in elected office. He was in the state Senate and voted 130 times present. He never took on his party on anything. She took on a party and the old bulls and the old boy network and she succeeded."
Palin has frequently clashed with fellow Republicans in her state, and won office after denying an in bent GOP governor renomination to a new term in office.
But Democratic Sen. Chris Dodd of Connecticut said McCain's selection was merely designed to appease the hard-right conservatives in the Republican Party. "His knees buckled" when it came time to picking a running mate, Dodd said of McCain in an appearance on CNN.
McCain conferred by phone with Govs. Bobby Jindal of Louisiana, Bob Riley of Alabama and Charlie Crist of Florida during the day.
Crist, with a prominent speaking role at the convention, said he was staying in his home state to tend to hurricane business, and the others were staying home as well.
Democrats, too, decided to tone down their convention-week efforts.
Party spokesman Brad Woodhouse said the Democrats had canceled a "More of the Same" rally that had been slated for Monday.
Obama said he was ready to encourage his supporters to assist any victims of the hurricane.
"I think we can activate an e-mail list of a couple of million people who want to give back," he said.
Roger Villere Jr., Louisiana Republican Party chairman, said the chartered jet would fly delegates back to their home states and also fly back to Minnesota with family members who want to evacuate the Gulf Coast area.
"We got a large plane because we needed it. We'll take any delegate that would like to go back," Villere said.
"The McCain campaign has assured me this is the first priority," he said referring to the hurricane.
With millions of Gulf Coast residents fleeing the approaching storm, Chadwick Melder, a delegate from Baton Rouge, said he was taking advantage of an offer from the campaign to fly his family out of harm's way.
"I'm trying to get my family out of there and stay here for the week," said Melder, although he added, "I have responsibilities here as well."
The eye is trying to materialize..
Damn, so it strengthens right before hitting land.
It looks like we'll have TS Ike pretty soon. It's well organized:
Watching NBC Nightly News and one woman stated"This is my home, This is my life." "They made me leave NO for Katrina, but I'm staying here."
I hope that despite her stubborness, that woman and everyone too stubborn to leave will survive this storm.
One lady is upset that her mother refused to leave NO, she and her daughter boarded a bus to get out of town.
With the fast speed of the storm they are now forcasting the storm surge to be only approx. 10 to 16 ft. This will definitely be a different kind of destruction than Katrina. The fast movement should keep the storm from just power dumping water like Katrina, but the freaky high winds could just tear everything up.
Should get some rain here in Dallas by Thursday or Friday from this storm if it goes on the same path.
I wonder if she'll have the same thought as she's being pulled under water and can't breath anymore?
Would make for some wet weather late in the week here if that GFDL run verifies. We'll see.
Pressure is dropping which is problematic. If this storm manages to get its act together tonight it could strengthen a lot. Luckily theres not much time before it comes ashore. I hope it somehow weakens.
Believe it or not I think some people would rather die than leave. Its just a different thought process I guess.
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