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  1. #376
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Good.

    So if I were to be able to follow a molecule of water for a billion years in this glass of water, would that molecule always be H2O, or would it occasionally break apart and then become an OH-, float around for a while, then bump into an H30+ and go back to its former iden y as an H2O molecule? --RG


    Yes or no, is this or is this not an accurate description?

  2. #377
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    We should live a just and moral life regardless of the existance of a God. God helps justify this life, but is not required. If he exists, it reinforces my statement. If he doesn't, my statement still stands, as is argued by Plato on why a just life is worth living. It matters what be believe regardless, otherwise people would walk around killing eachother and just doing whatever pleasures them the most.
    I agree.

  3. #378
    Corpus Christi Spurs Fan Phenomanul's Avatar
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    So this assumes that

    1) The sequence for self replication uses all 4 nucleotides, and
    2) is 200 bases long.

    An interesting aspect of the coding for amino acids is that many of them can be coded for using only two nucleotides.

    Let's go with the assumption that self-replication is simpler by half than the prion given, and that this molecule uses only two nucleotides.

    What would the number 2^100 be in base ten?

    --RG




    So by changing the two basic assumptions in your calculation, most of those zeros that made this "infinitesmally small" just went away.

    Fascinating.

    I gotta get to work, but I will get back to this bit later.

    My you are stubborn. I was refraining from having to say it.

    Molecular genetics, or reaction kinetics cannot be constrained to a model of statistical chance and probability. And yet you keep insisting on trying to define those fields with that language alone... tsk, tsk, tsk....


    Example A.

    Polyurethane... does this compound exist. Yes. Does it exist in nature... No. Can one assume then that given all the time in the universe that this polymer would arise on its own? No. There is no natural mechanism for it. The polymer was designed and created by humans...

    Your model however wishes to imply that many planets out there have just the right conditions to make it happen... it's pure speculation on your part. You then insist that having infinite universes to do it in will increase your odds... you think so without realizing how unique and improbable this universe actually is, and how the use of said factor in your calcs is again speculative. You further wish to simplify the problem by assuming that reaction kinetics are not relevant. Your simple 'poker' model in no way reflects the reality of the subjectmatter at hand.



    So when I read,

    ["but"... part of answer truncated--RG]
    The message I'm really reading is that you are reluctant to address the flaws in your model.

  4. #379
    I don't really care... Yonivore's Avatar
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    My you are stubborn. I was refraining from having to say it.
    Yeah, well, you'll be saying much worse if you continue trying to reason with him. That's why I have Random Guy on ignore.

  5. #380
    Corpus Christi Spurs Fan Phenomanul's Avatar
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    Temporary answers while I think and sleep.

    If God does exist, how does your life fit?
    This depends on one of two things. Either God does not care what you do, or he expects something of you. If it is the first, it is as if he does not exist. There is no meaning to life and there may or may not be an afterlife. Thus, it does not matter if this is the truth. Your life is as you define it and you must find something to please yourself.

    If there is no God?
    Then we die, there is no afterlife, there is no reason to life or to live or for anything to exist. This does not matter if this is the truth. Your life is whatever you define it to be, and only you can find your own personal truth to get the most pleasure from life.

    So if there is a God and he expects something? What does he expect?
    To live a moral life? To just believe in him? To prove his existance and find the meaning of life?

    The problem with this subject is that it branches off in a thousand directions.

    So to get to the original question.
    We should live a just and moral life regardless of the existance of a God. God helps justify this life, but is not required. If he exists, it reinforces my statement. If he doesn't, my statement still stands, as is argued by Plato on why a just life is worth living. It matters what be believe regardless, otherwise people would walk around killing eachother and just doing whatever pleasures them the most.
    That's nice and all... but none of this addresses the afterlife... nor does it factor in the fact that if GOD did exist, and has revealed enough of His Nature to establish a moral code, that we are and would be held accountable for our actions according to said code.

    Without an establishment of moral guidelines... what is 'just' and 'moral' for one man, may not be for another. Moralistic relativism is inherently incompatible with the existence of GOD... think about it.

    The interpretation of GOD's 'moral code' therefore, is what should be (and is) subject for much debate.

    Also, Plato's thinking was incomplete because it ignored the above permutation; one that should have been derived by that very same logic.

  6. #381
    I Got Hops Extra Stout's Avatar
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    Good.

    So if I were to be able to follow a molecule of water for a billion years in this glass of water, would that molecule always be H2O, or would it occasionally break apart and then become an OH-, float around for a while, then bump into an H30+ and go back to its former iden y as an H2O molecule? --RG




    Yes or no, is this or is this not an accurate description?
    They would exchange protons once every 11 hours.

    Actually, dissociation and association are taking place constantly every few femtoseconds because of electrical field fluctuations, but on great occasion this fluctuation will coincide with the disruption of a hydrogen bond network, so that rapid recombination cannot occur.

    This is assuming ambient pressures, of course.
    Last edited by Extra Stout; 09-12-2006 at 05:22 PM.

  7. #382
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    The message I'm really reading is that you are reluctant to address the flaws in your model.
    Honestly, I would love to, had I the time to adequately do so. I have to fit this in when I can, and since the beginning of the semester, and since my wife has gone back to work, requiring me to pull more weight around the house, that time is limited.

    Honestly, economics interests me more than this thread, so I have thus far limited myself timewise for this thread, for that you have my sincere apologies. You deserve better.

  8. #383
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    They would exchange protons once every 11 hours.

    Actually, dissociation and association are taking place constantly every few femtoseconds because of electrical field fluctuations, but on great occasion this fluctuation will coincide with the disruption of a hydrogen bond network, so that rapid recombination cannot occur.

    This is assuming ambient pressures, of course.
    Once every eleven hours, now we are getting somewhere. So following this molecule around would be something that I could set my watch by? Like a radium clock? It would exchange protons every 11 hours for a billion years?

  9. #384
    I Got Hops Extra Stout's Avatar
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    Once every eleven hours, now we are getting somewhere. So following this molecule around would be something that I could set my watch by? Like a radium clock? It would exchange protons every 11 hours for a billion years?
    No. The 11 hours is an average.

  10. #385
    I don't really care... Yonivore's Avatar
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    This has got to be one of the most entertaining threads in the history of this forum.

  11. #386
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    No. The 11 hours is an average.
    An average then. That would imply a mean would it not?

  12. #387
    I Got Hops Extra Stout's Avatar
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    An average then. That would imply a mean would it not?
    As opposed to a mode? OK. (Since this would be a perfect normal distribution, it would be the median too.)

  13. #388
    Corpus Christi Spurs Fan Phenomanul's Avatar
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    As opposed to a mode? OK. (Since this would be a perfect normal distribution, it would be the median too.)

    And here are the properties which RG has yet to factor in....

    Temperature, Pressure, Electric Field Strength, Radiation Field Strength (gamma, x-ray, ultra-violet etc...)

    Unless all of these parameters are fixed, every one of those glasses of water will be different.

  14. #389
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    As opposed to a mode? OK. (Since this would be a perfect normal distribution, it would be the median too.)
    A perfect normal distribution. Doesn't that only happen in random phenomena?
    Last edited by RandomGuy; 09-13-2006 at 09:01 AM. Reason: Corrected a grammatical error.

  15. #390
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    And here are the properties which RG has yet to factor in....

    Temperature, Pressure, Electric Field Strength

    Unless all of these parameters are fixed, every one of those glasses of water will be different.
    Then when the parameters are changed, will each glass of water have a mean time too, depending on those factors?

  16. #391
    Corpus Christi Spurs Fan Phenomanul's Avatar
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    Then when the parameters are changed, will each glass of water have a mean time too, depending on those factors?
    There will be a mul ude of permutations you would have to consider... many of which would change the state of the water into ice, or vapor. Not surprisingly, upon conversion to vapor the molecules would never behave the same. Which reminds me... I forgot to mention time.

    The dynamics of these parameter permutations would probably yield more non-steady states than steady ones. Only the steady ones would subscribe to your 'normal distribution' theory.

  17. #392
    I Got Hops Extra Stout's Avatar
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    A perfect normal distribution. Doesn't that only happen in random phenomena?
    It has to do with the sample size as opposed to the "randomness." In 11 hours, that water molecule will have undergone something like 1E19 electron field fluctuations, and 1E16 hydrogen bond rearrangements.

  18. #393
    Corpus Christi Spurs Fan Phenomanul's Avatar
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    Which beckons the question??? Is anything in nature completely steady?

  19. #394
    I Got Hops Extra Stout's Avatar
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    Oh, all these numbers are assuming standard temperature and pressure. As pressure increases, the mean time for dissociation decreases.

  20. #395
    I Got Hops Extra Stout's Avatar
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    Which beckons the question??? Is anything in nature completely steady?
    Scientists make simplifying assumptions.

  21. #396
    Corpus Christi Spurs Fan Phenomanul's Avatar
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    Scientists make simplifying assumptions.

    And why simple statistical models don't reflect reality.

  22. #397
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Then when the parameters are changed, will each glass of water have a mean time too, depending on those factors? --RG

    There will be a mul ude of permutations you would have to consider... many of which would change the state of the water into ice, or vapor. Not surprisingly, upon conversion to vapor the molecules would never behave the same. Which reminds me... I forgot to mention time.

    The dynamics of these parameter permutations would probably yield more non-steady states than steady ones. Only the steady ones would subscribe to your 'normal distribution' theory.
    I will take that is "yes", right?

  23. #398
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    A perfect normal distribution. Doesn't that only happen in random phenomena? --RG

    It has to do with the sample size as opposed to the "randomness." In 11 hours, that water molecule will have undergone something like 1E19 electron field fluctuations, and 1E16 hydrogen bond rearrangements.
    And these field fluctuations are perfectly predictable phenemona?

    Each field fluctuation represents a seperate occurance that may or may not produce an OH- or H3O+ ?

  24. #399
    I am that guy RandomGuy's Avatar
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    Which beckons the question??? Is anything in nature completely steady?

    Nope. They are subject to random variations. There is that "random" word again.

  25. #400
    I Got Hops Extra Stout's Avatar
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    And these field fluctuations are perfectly predictable phenemona?
    Well, to the degree that quantum theory can explain them, yes.

    Each field fluctuation represents a seperate occurance that may or may not produce an OH- or H3O+ ?
    Well, strictly speaking, each field fluctuation does produce an OH- and and H30+. The hydrogren bonds create sort of a "wire" where the electrons can flow back and forth analogous to what they do in metal. The bonds along the "wire" are kind of a hybrid between a covalent bond and a hydrogen bond shared among all the molecules in that "wire." You know how in a benzene ring the bonds are neither single nor double, but a hybrid?

    So all the molecules in that "wire" are halfway between being ions and not. But then every picosecond or so, the hydrogen bond networks shift, and one of the molecules somewhere in the middle of the old wire ends up either with an extra proton or ends up a proton short.

    And all these "shifts" are caused by the excitement of electrons by their interaction with the environment.

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