Since the other thread where I posted this derailed into a big argument about something else:
The rumor that Rasheed was in SA, whether true or not, has likely just driven up his price. If anyone out there was willing to go over the MLE to get him, they're more likely to do so now, which puts the Spurs at a disadvantage.
BUT
Orlando just got Vince Carter, and is probably going to lose Hedo. As a result, they are more likely than ever to be willing to throw money at Rasheed if he's indeed their target. Since Rasheed played in college with Carter, and has said he wants to play for a contender in the EAST, that puts Orlando at the top of his wish list.
The above combination of factors could make matching for a Gortat very expensive for Orlando. Making Gortat a QO could be a great chess move if everything lines up just right. Committing the entire MLE is a risk, but Gortat is young, athletic, smart, a good defender and a big body. He'd be a steal for the Spurs even if they're in luxury tax territory.