People put too much emphasis on the record and rough/hot stretches.
A few weeks ago I was possibly the only person in this forum sustaining that the Spurs were the only legit contenders in the WC besides the Lakers, I was more optimistic than Spurs fans themselves...
I don't think they're better than the Lakers (they lack top wing defenders) - the most I can see is that they may have the upper-hand in the matchup, although I'm not sure of that yet. Need to see more of both teams and how the season develops.
The reasons provided by the OP are kind of lame/bogus though. The biggest advantages I see for the Spurs is:
- the Lakers are one of the most permeable teams in the league to dribble penetration and they aren't a shot-blocking team. They force misses with the length of their interior defenders.
- the Spurs have two excellent finishers at the rim off penetrations, Parker and Ginobili. Plus, they're very good with the drive'n'kick game. They have a big to spread the floor. They have enough size inside to stop the Lakers post game and to make a wash of the rebounding battle.
The downside for the Spurs is the lack of someone other than Keith Bogans (an offensive liability) to throw at Kobe.