Popovich plays the odds as Spurs slip
Zach Lowe
The Point Forward
SI.com
I feel for fans who spend way too much money to attend NBA games and don’t get the product they thought they were buying, but if you purchase tickets for a Spurs game in late March, you assume the risk of seeing four of San Antonio’s starters in street clothes.
Gregg Popovich has coached this way for years, and there is nothing wrong with it. The regular season is already devalued; if you’re hoping that every veteran-heavy team is going to go all-out for 82 games, you have ignored decades of history suggesting otherwise. Success in the playoffs is what matters, and Popovich rightly prioritizes that above all else. Do you think Avery Johnson cares more about the 67 wins his Mavericks piled up in 2006-07 or the four games in six they lost in the first round of that season’s playoffs against the Warriors?
In any case, Popovich was at it again Monday night, adding Tony Parker and Antonio McDyess as surprise scratches to an injured list that already included Tim Duncan (sprained ankle) and Manu Ginobili (quad contusion). The Spurs lost at home to Portland, and their lead over the Lakers is down to three games in the loss column,
prompting some folks to wonder if Popovich understands just how close the red-hot Lakers are getting to stealing the top seed San Antonio has owned all season.
I’d wager Popovich knows exactly how close the Lakers are, which is why he is so comfortable playing the odds this way. Going into Monday night’s action, the Spurs had nine games remaining, five of which will come against teams either certain to miss the playoffs or extremely unlikely to qualify. If the Spurs had finished just 5-4 in those nine games, the Lakers would have had to win out — going 9-0 against a tougher schedule — just to tie San Antonio. Even today, fresh off another loss, if the Spurs merely play .500 ball over their last eight games, the Lakers will have to go 8-1 to pull even. And those eight wins will have to include a head-to-head victory over the Spurs on April 12, since San Antonio has taken two of the three meetings so far.
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