No, it doesn't. It depends on two things: 1) If you subscribe to the theory that they won't pay him as much or more than Duncan, is he willing to take less than he could get on the open market? 2) If not, are they comfortable paying him more than Duncan?
Either way, it's not about whether they can afford him. Even if he got the max he can receive (which I believe is 4 years/$58-60M . . . and what are the odds he get's that?), they'll still have the flexibility to match and avoid the tax. Of course, they probably couldn't do much in the way of upgrading the team then, but it's probably unlikely they do anything big in that respect anyway.

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