The problem for the Spurs is going to be Splitter. He hasn't shown an ability to consistently make people pay for going small. It's not hard to gameplan for him defensively. Miller may not be some great defender, but Miami's defense is more based on quick help and rotations, as opposed to strong individual defenders. On the other hand, you can't have Splitter or Duncan out on the perimeter trying to guard Miller or Lebron.
As for Wade... he doesn't have to shoot his jumper quite as well as he did. All he needs to do is continue being aggressive. Instead of dribbling around and not attacking the paint for 20 seconds, then passing it out, he needs to keep driving into the paint and play with energy, even if his shot isn't falling. Good things will happen. See Bosh in game 7 against Indy. He didn't shoot a high percentage, but his aggression completely changed how that game went, put a lot more pressure on the Indy bigs, and that opened things up for everyone else.
I see adjustments coming by San Antonio, but I see a close game that Miami pulls away late for an 8-12 point win.

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