I don't think the Heat want Danny Green to shoot, as either a 41% 3 point shooter or a 44% 3pt shooter are people you want to stop shooting. I just thought it was an interesting point. If you trust that as indicative of how Green shoots, then the difference between guarded and unguarded is ~.09 points per possesion. If you get an extra turnover every 11 possessions trying to force a Spurs turnover, it's worth it as a strategy, even though it has failed so far.
I don't think all the Open DG threes have been strategy(Mario Chalmers lost him on that run along the baseline), and in general I think that they don't want him to shoot(His TS in the Spurs starting unit entering the series was an insane 67.7, per nbawowy.com, You want that guy to shoot as little as possible). I do think it adds to DG's value if his %'s are relatively unaffected by a close contest, and looking at the fact that some shooters are more effected defensive presssure than others is a generally interesting point.

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