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The Warriors should be favored over the Spurs, but I see it as more 60/40 or 65/35 than 80/20 or 85/15.
ppl who think I compared gsw to the 07 Mavs are ing illiterate.
I compared the mismatch situation between 07 Mavs and 07 gsw. Similar mismatch situation between the 11 spurs and 11 grizz. Imo
Hopefully both teams will meet healthy in the playoffs
The Warriors should be favored over the Spurs, but I see it as more 60/40 or 65/35 than 80/20 or 85/15.
At the end of the day, I'm confident in my Spurs but I really can't blame anyone for picking the Warriors.
I don't understand how anyone could say that. Green and Leonard are basically built to stop the kind of play that the GSW 1 and 2 guards feed from. They're both 3 point shooters which is heavily negated by the length of our defenders.
Additionally, we're a very disciplined unit on defense, so a lot of the stuff Golden State runs to get players open, dangerous forays across the lane and trick passes included, doesn't really work on the Spurs.
One of Golden State's strengths is the interior presence of Bogut. But he's going to struggle against Duncan on both sides of the ball. The Spurs can also pull him out of the paint, and I don't think he has the ability to shut down penetration from Leonard and Manu. Maybe not even Tony though a lot of that could go the way of the whistle.
Overall it's not unwinnable for the Dubs but if you were to draw up a matchup that they would be scared of, it would be: A stout defensive team with speed and length on the perimeter, bigs who can play pace and space, and a team that can generate turnovers on the fly to limit GSW's freewheeling offense. The Spurs are, as fate would have it, tailored almost to exact specifications to be a team that gives the Warriors trouble.
If we do play in the WSF/WCF, it'll be interesting to see the lineups Kerr tries. I almost think he should play small ball against us to try to isolate speed matchups on the perimeter. But I doubt a 65 win team is going to go away from what got them to the dance.
Diaw is likely going to get the lion's share of minutes until Splitter is healthy. Boris would be another big that could give GSW fits on that end. They really don't have anyone to guard him in the post other than Bogut, and I'd love seeing GSW put someone else on Tim. He would eat them alive.
Yup pretty much agree with that.
Worriers see going to have to adjust to us and not vice versa. Anytime that happens. They team is ay a disadvantage.
Nobody is saying the Spurs can't beat the Warriors, of course they can, it's probably a 60/40 series IMO..if the Spurs had homecourt, they would be 60/40 favorites IMO..I'm just saying, there's a reason that the Warriors just had one of the most historic regular seasons of all-time, they are legit..
Anybody that thinks any team other than the Spurs can challenge them is delusional, tbh
They're going to have an extremely easy series vs. either Portland or Houston or Memphis in the 2nd round, sadly..
These Warriors are not the 05 Suns. They actually play defense. That being said, Spurs still win if healthy.
Spurs can take them at full health, winning in Oakland will be tough.
Baynes has stepped it up lately, he is huuuge for us, especially against GS. Spurs really depend on Splitter against GS, but Baynes' production helps lighten the load.
GS is a pretty small team without Bogut, they have a tough time fighting through screens against our big players, Spurs have one of the biggest teams in the league. Spurs can get great position to rebound, defend, do what they need to do, that's why I like our chances, I see a lot of high % shots for us.
Belli needs to be limited as much as possible or something, Pop needs to not around with the lineups and go 100%. I can see him getting destroyed out there.
The Spurs definitely have a shot. GS should be favored for all the reasons listed- Home Court, 65+ wins. Good defense. Loaded with young talent.
If Steph/Klay get hot, there's just pretty much nothing you can do tbh. If they're hitting contested 25 footers, you just tip your cap and wish them luck in the Finals.
But if Klay reverts back to playoff Klay, then they're gonna be in trouble against the Spurs....
I'm fairly embarrassed that my fellow Spurs fan don't all consider us the OBVIOUS favorite. We are getting very near the level we played at 10 months ago which was all time historic. We just destroyed GSW.
The defending champion, in that situation, is the OBVIOUS favorite. "But, but GSW won so many regular season games by a lot of points blah blah blah...."
Effin' ludicrous!
I will grant that it is close enough that Spurs dropping to the 6th seed with a loss tonight could turn the tide. But to pick against your own team (tonight or otherwise) when we have seen what said team is still capable of, that's idiotic. GTFO off the board you are no fan.
Green did a fine job on Bobo in the last matchup..Diaw is likely going to get the lion's share of minutes until Splitter is healthy. Boris would be another big that could give GSW fits on that end. They really don't have anyone to guard him in the post other than Bogut, and I'd love seeing GSW put someone else on Tim. He would eat them alive.
Yes, he did. I though diaw was going to best green.
This year's Warriors team reminds me of the Chicago Bulls during Rose's MVP season: a successful, super-hyped regular season team that finishes as the first seed with their MVP point guard, but ends up getting blown out by an elite team come playoff time. Lebron shut down Rose, and I think Kawhi, Danny, plus whoever else can similarly shut down, or at least limit, Steph and Klay. Thoughts?
Maybe so, but you know full well that if the Lakers, Heat, etc. were the Spurs, they'd absolutely (rightly or wrongly) be favored. The Warriors being favored has little to do with having a historic regular season, history being on their side or anything else.People that compare the Warriors to the 2007 Mavs are ing stupid, tbh
Anyways, the Warriors should be favored, history is on their side, and more importantly, they will have an extremely easy bracket, while the Spurs will have a tough series vs. the Clippers in the 2nd round, or even worse, could be the 6 seed..
Spurs also have the huge question mark of Splitter's injury, of course..
Sure, of course the Warriors being the most beloved and popular non- le team I've ever seen has a lot to do with it, too..
With their regular season success + Curry's ability + HCA + the Spurs going on their 3rd consecutive attempted run into June, GS has to be the favorites..
are your fingers crossed?
strong post
From a fan perspective, the reasoning is sound. I'm just saying, from a media perspective, given the way they'd normally operate in this situation, they'd favor the in bent, out of respect more than anything. The only time they don't is when it's the Spurs and that's not right.
How do you see the probable matchups of the starting five? I've been playing around with them and it's tough except the Duncan/Bogut pairing.
One thing is sure. Their only weaknesses are rebounding and turnovers. Our rebounding and defense will have to stop their fastbreak offense. Can't let them have second shots when they miss.
Let's not forget that should this series materialize, Hack-a-Bogut is definitely a strategy that can be employed (given Andrew's meager 52.4 FT% for the season)....
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