One of Aldridge and Leonard is likely and the other is 50/50; Duncan and Parker are closer to none than slim; Ginobili and West have no chance.
Locks: Durant, Davis, Curry, Harden, Paul, Griffin, Westbrook
Likely: Bryant (only because of Lakers/casual fans, of course), Cousins (should be a lock, but volatile personality, inability to get along with most coaches, bad team, hurt his cause), Gasol, one of Aldridge/Leonard
On the bubble: The other of Leonard/Aldridge, Howard, Thompson
Outside chance/Injury replacements: Nowitzki (should be no chance, but coaches love him and with no clear better player on roster, if they hang in playoff race, he'll get majority of credit, along with Carlisle), Green, Jordan, Randolph, Conley, Ibaka, Lillard, Duncan/Parker (coaches love them and if Spurs have ridiculous record or either has had to carry a heavier than expected load due to injuries, they'll get a lot of credit)