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  1. #26
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
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    North Texas Mean Green
    fortunately, NJ gets the weaker Jose instead of Maria.

  2. #27
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
    Name
    noneya beezwax
    Location
    Austin, TX
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    Texas Longhorns
    Maria is going out to sea, bust this time.
    This household-based survey suggests that the number of excess deaths related to Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico is more than 70 times the official estimate.
    https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMsa1803972?

  3. #28
    Veteran
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    San Antonio Spurs

  4. #29
    Millennial Messiah UNT Eagles 2016's Avatar
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    North Texas Mean Green
    When I posted that comment I meant the mainland. The trough picked it up sparing Florida and the East Coast.

    I fully expect 2018 to be a weak hurricane season like 2013 or 2009.

    Very similar weather in TX to that year this summer to this point. We're coming off a decent La Niña. Normally around this point in time, there's a big monsoon trough parked over TX that leads to constant rain and flooding from mid May thru early June in TX that doesn't clear up until around mid June. Instead, there's a big dumb old heat high parked over TX like in 2013 which lasted thru September in 2013. Temps from SA to Dallas ran in the upper 90s and 100s for most of Summer 2013. I vividly recall Denton averaging around 107 degree highs in late August and early September 2013.

    How the rest of this year shapes up for Texas weather will depend largely on if we transition to a La Nada (Neutral ENSO -- no La Niña or El Niño) or a possible El Niño. In 2013 we had a La Niña transition to neutral whereas in 2009 we had a La Niña transition to an El Niño. The former transition means a very hot, dry summer, followed by a cool to cold and wet fall and then a cold winter with average to below average precip but an above average chance of ice and snow. The latter means the hot, dry summer will be followed by a cool, wet fall and a more mild but rainy winter.

    On the opposite spectrum you have the El Niño-neutral and El Niño-La Niña transitions. In both cases, in Texas you have a milder, wetter summer and a warmer fall, bu with the La Niña the winter is likely to be dry whereas the neutral winter leads to a higher chance of snow and ice, and the El Niño winter is generally warmer, rainier and more humid.

  5. #30
    bandwagoner fans suck ducks's Avatar
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    nothing

  6. #31
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
    Name
    noneya beezwax
    Location
    Austin, TX
    Post Count
    114,179
    NBA Team
    San Antonio Spurs
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    Texas Longhorns
    Killed by an incompetent government
    yep. a more robust federal response along the lines of Florida after Irma or Texas after Harvey would have saved many lives.

    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/study-p...mQ3MwMc4Og-cy0

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