Risk repeating myself but with some new stuff.
- Dude apparently shot 21/45 contested on threes, 21/43 uncontested on threes. That's 46.7% contested/guarded on threes, 48.8% on open threes. This means... it had absolutely no effect on him when he was guarded. That's completely wild to me.
- Talk about him being like Trae Young or whatever, but he shot way, way better in college than Trae did. It's not even close. (Sheppard, too, of course.)
- He's an instant advantage creator. His handling and quickness, the hesitations, spins, feints, step-backs, give him space very, very quickly. With his (in college) ability to hit even with defenders, he's potentially a big threat.
- He lobs the out of the ball. He loved lobbing to Kentucky's bigs on rolls, in transition, on cuts. He was always tossing lobs. His chemistry with Ivisic was particularly great. If you're complaining about guys not getting Wemby looks or not trusting themselves on delivery, that's not a problem here. If he sees Wemby around the rim, I imagine the ball's going up.
- He's clutch. Numerous games, he was digging Kentucky back. In the famous loss against Oakland he seemed like he could do it again, nailed a really tough 3 at the 1:03 mark to cut it to one, and... never saw the ball again.
- The defense... Honestly, it's horrible, ing terrible. I've never seen such bad rotations, decisions, not knowing what the to do. But he did improve. His high school experience was with Kanye West Academy and Overtime Elite, no place where he got a lick of defensive coaching. It was absurd the things he was doing earlier in the season. But he did get better. Honestly, he did. And he's active, like, calling switches and chattering. He's just still bad at it. Worst, to me, is that he ball-watches, disengages, gives up on plays. That is horrible. When he nearly beat LSU on a dagger shot (after multiple dagger plays), his ball-watching cost them the game because his man secured the offensive rebound on LSU's subsequent miss.
That's horrible. BUT... if you can get him to buy-in, get that he's losing possessions and games because he's not fully in... I honestly, dear-to-God, think he can be okay on defense. The size is not great, but below a threshold it doesn't really matter. What DOES matter for him is that he's quick. Against Oakland, he was actually their only decent defender (still was helping off of Gohlke for some ing reason), because of his quickness. Screens don't really seem to affect him. He's like a water bug getting around them. It's... the rest.
Verdict: Best player in the draft, to me. Very easily, and then there's some talent behind. His ceiling is very high, if you can teach him to become alright on defense. His handles are elite, his quickness is elite, his shooting is elite, and he's clutch. If, at worst, you have a guy who can only come off the bench, a guy who you throw in there for a complete change of pace from Wembanyama-centric offense, a guy who when you're down twelve points can maybe start reeling off threes and getting into the lane, then that's still worth a #8 or even a #4 pick in this draft to me.