***** All Inclusive 2026 Election Night Thread *****

[Winehole23]

Ohio - 7th House Polling:

�� Poindexter: 47%
�� Miller: 33%

(Trump + 11 District)

co/efficient / Aug 6, 2026

(Republican Pollster)

(Current model result has OH-7 at DEM 51% - GOP 49%)

unitedstatespolling.com/p/the-republ...

[Millennial_Messiah]

No, it's not

No it isn't

Missourians understand that government pays for good stuff, without which people struggle and suffer more

The math isn't hard: the more public goodies, the more public good

so basically you're acknowledging that a large chunk of the Trump base are fairly openly socialists.


pretty sure the lack of a state income tax doesn't stop Texas from having nice roads, highways, etc, and Texas doesn't have nearly the tourism argument that Florida or even Tennessee does.

unitedstatespolling.com/p/the-republ...

yeah, I believe that poll though. Bernie Moreno is quite popular amongst the GOP in Ohio and it's his daughter and, sadly, baby granddaughter.

Miller is a punkhead. He needs to drop out or be expelled. I believe the deadline is next Wednesday in Ohio. I would just expel him. George Santos was expelled for far less, even though the Republicans in that situation knew that his seat was 99.99% likely to be replaced by Tom Suozzi and the Dems.

[Winehole23]

so basically you're acknowledging that a large chunk of the Trump base are fairly openly socialists.


pretty sure the lack of a state income tax doesn't stop Texas from having nice roads, highways, etc, and Texas doesn't have nearly the tourism argument that Florida or even Tennessee does.

Missouri said no

Get over it

yeah, I believe that poll though. Bernie Moreno is quite popular amongst the GOP in Ohio and it's his daughter and, sadly, baby granddaughter.

Miller is a punkhead. He needs to drop out or be expelled. I believe the deadline is next Wednesday in Ohio. I would just expel him. George Santos was expelled for far less, even though the Republicans in that situation knew that his seat was 99.99% likely to be replaced by Tom Suozzi and the Dems.

don't hold your breath

[Winehole23]

Justin Pearson has won the Democratic primary for Tennessee’s 9th Congressional District.

As part of the "Tennessee Three," Pearson gained national attention in 2023 when Republicans attempted to expel him for his gun control advocacy after the Covenant School shooting.

[Winehole23]

so basically you're acknowledging that a large chunk of the Trump base are fairly openly socialists.

taxation isn't socialism, dummy

[Winehole23]

bye, Andy Ogles

Republican Rep. Andy Ogles (Tenn.) is projected to fall short in a Thursday primary for the 5th Congressional District, delivering a blow to President Trump, according to Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ).


Former Tennessee Commissioner of Agriculture Dr. Charlie Hatcher. the lone Republican challenger in the race, is set to defeat Ogles, who was backed by the president.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaig...e-primary/amp/

[Winehole23]

Rep. Max Miller resists calls to drop reelection bid amid bitter custody battle

https://www.wosu.org/podcast/snollyg...custody-battle

[Winehole23]

"music man"

[Winehole23]

Knox County is Tennessee's 3rd largest county, and it voted for Trump by 20%. It has a GOP-run school board known for banning books & approving controversial charter schools.

Democrats last night flipped control of the school board in Knox County.

[Winehole23]

Maine Senate Race (Fox News):

��Jackson 48%
��Collins 46%

Aug 6-10, 2026

[Winehole23]

extreme enthusiasm gap

[Winehole23]

GOP pollster

[Winehole23]

59-40 Trump 2024 district

not over, but wild overperformance

[Blake]

59-40 Trump 2024 district

not over, but wild overperformance

I'm guessing a runoff is coming

[Winehole23]

Vindman loses to a progressive minnow with less than $1M in the bank

Angie Nixon, a progressive firebrand from Jacksonville who was arrested for staging a sit-in at the governor’s office to protest the state’s controversial congressional redistricting maps, defied the odds to win the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate.

She ran a come-from-behind, frugal campaign against Alex Vindman, a key witness in President Trump’s first impeachment who had a $16 million war chest, and defeated him 55-45% to go on to face Republican in bent U.S. Sen. Ashley Moody in November.

In the governor’s race, frontrunners Byron Donalds, the President Trump-endorsed congressman from Naples, and David Jolly, a former Republican-turned-Democrat who is one of Trump’s biggest critics, both easily won their primaries and will now face off against each each other to succeed Gov. Ron DeSantis. DeSantis is term-limited from seeking a third term.

https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2026...rnors-mansion/

[Winehole23]

[Blake]

Vindman loses to a progressive minnow with less than $1M in the bank

https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2026...rnors-mansion/

What a weird victory. Favors the Republicans there I think.

[Winehole23]

What a weird victory. Favors the Republicans there I think.

the in bent is Republican and would have been favored anyway

the most motivated Dem voters didn't like Vindman -- primaries are weird

[Blake]

the in bent is Republican and would have been favored anyway

the most motivated Dem voters didn't like Vindman -- primaries are weird

The whole Florida voting scene is weird. No idea what to expect from the governor's race.

[Winehole23]

in 2025-2026, Dems are outperforming 2024 by ~12% in legislative elections

In total since Trump’s return, Dems flipped 31 GOP seats in legislative elections (both regular and special). The GOP flipped zero.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...w4QNPivdhyWHw/

[Winehole23]

^^^ Bluemageddon in November if the pattern holds

[Winehole23]

Tight Senate race in Arkansas

Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Hallie Shoffner holds a slim lead over in bent Republican U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton, but the race is within the statewide survey’s margin of error of 4.7%.

The new Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College Poll of 1,217 likely voters shows Shoffner with 47.4% support compared to Sen. Tom Cotton’s 44% and Libertarian Jeff Wadlin’s 3%. Undecided voters stand at 5.6% in the latest statewide survey, which was conducted Aug. 11-12, 2026. Respondents were asked:

https://talkbusiness.net/2026/08/pol...tton-shoffner/

[Winehole23]

[Winehole23]

Katie Hobbs up by 13 points over Biggs in AZ polling

[Winehole23]

Hobbs gets 15% of Republicans in that poll