First off i have to agree Rasho does get disturbingly low number of FTA per game. I think his last year in Minnesota he was lowest in the league at FTA per FGA. I'm not so sure this is due to his softness though. There is another interesting offensive stat that is overlooked here, and that he was 10th in the league in offensive rebounds a game, averaging nearly as many as Tim does. So i don't think he could do that if he was THAT soft. Maybe the problem with his low FTA is due to fears of getting blocked, or fears of having to shoot actual free throws since he doesn't do too well in that category. Going through his game log it's interesting to note he shot a lot more of them in the first half of the season than he did in the half. 1.5 in november, 1.9 in december and 2.7 in january, then he got 0.4 and 0.8 in february and march, and didnt even shoot one in the 7 games in april. In fact, he closed the regular season with an 11 game streak without shooting a three throw, and didn't go to the line at all during the entire Grizzlies series, extending that streak to 15 games.
As for the expectation of him going 10, 10, 2. I think 10 points should be a very realistic target for him. Even if his minutes stay the same as last season, he should be a little bit more comfortable on the offense, get a couple of more shots with a realistic goal of going over .50% from the field. I don't think his FT% will ever be 70%, but he gets to 60% (he shot 64% last year at Minnesota), i think for a Spur that will be ok.
I also expect him to get those 2 blocks a game next season. He managed this last season while adapting to a fairly complex Spur's defensive scheme so i don't see a reason why he shouldn't at least match that. If he plays 32, 33 minutes a game maybe he can even get to 2.5bp. Last year he was closer to 2.2 until the late season slump.
Rebounds though is another story. I have argued that, the same as with points scored, individual rebounds depend a lot on the overall team rebounding capabilities. If you put Kobe, McGrady, Tim, KG and Shaq on one team, they are not going to get 25ppg, even if you play them for 40 minutes a night. There are just so many shots a team can make during a game, and if you have one guy (or a couple of guys) shooting more, the other's are gonna get less. I think it applies to rebounds too. There are just so many there for a team to get (even if they outrebound the opposing team badly), so when you put Tim Duncan on a team, the other players numbers will get dwarfed. If you don't believe that, go check the stats for last year's rebounding leaders.
In the top 25 in rpg, there are 25 players from 22 different teams. The only teams who have more than one player in the top 25 are the Cavs, Hornets and .. the Spurs. I think a stat that says a lot is the one which puts Tim and Rasho 2nd (or was it 1st, not sure) in the league in rebounding tandems. Now i'm not trying to suggest Rasho is in the same league as Tim when it comes to rebounding, i'm just saying he pulls his own weight quite adequately and is often done injustice in that category.
So with Tim on the Spur's team i don't think Rasho is ever going to get 10 rebounds, unless you start playing 38-40 minutes a game. I think if he does something like last season (the Spur's WERE 3rd in the league in RPG) the team will be ok. His numbers depend on playing time though. If he gets 34 mpg, which i doubt he will, he might go for 9 rebounds a game. But that's as good as he'll do on this team. Put him on a team with a poor rebounding power forward and he gets 10 rebounds a game easily. I think he got over 12 last year for the games Tim was out.
