The coaches have to vote for 1 backup center, 2 backup forwards, 2 backup guards, and 2 "wild cards." You can do some of the math at this point.
For instance, Yao is going to be the starting center for the West, two of Garnett/Duncan/Nowitzki will be voted to start at forward for the West, and two of Kobe/McGrady/Iverson will be voted to start at guard for the West.
Figure that Stoudemire will be the backup center voted by the West coaches. At the very least, whoever among Garnett/Duncan/Nowitzki isn't voted to start will be one of the 2 backup forwards. Likewise, at least one of the backup guards will be Nash.
That gives you all-star cinches of:
1. Yao
2. Stoudemire
3. Garnett
4. Duncan
5. Nowitzki
6. Bryant
7. McGrady
8. Nash
Assuming that there's no great groundswell of support for Iverson as a West All-Star (which would make him a no-brainer, too, I think), you need one more forward, one more guard, and then two wild cards. Getting those slots will be amazingly difficult.
At forward you have a number of candidates with solid credentials, like Marion, Boozer, Howard, Anthony, Brand, and Randolph (to name a few). At guard you have, perhaps fewer candidates, but some strong arguments: Allen, the Iverson/McGrady loser, Parker, and D. Williams.
If you give a West forward spot to Josh Howard, you're telling either Carlos Boozer or Shawn Marion that this just isn't his year. I think I'd do that in a basketball sense, but are Howard's numbers sufficient to put him ahead of either Boozer or Marion? It's not like there's a monsterous disparity in records among those candidates and one could argue that each is about as valuable as the other to his team's success. Is Howard's 19.3, 7.0, 1.8 better than Marion's 19.4, 9.4, 1.8 or Boozer's 21.7, 11.6, 3.1? Difficult call, I think.
The same problems exist with Tony Parker's candidacy (or Manu Ginobili's, if you really want to be optimistic). Assume that Nash and Iverson/McGrady are the two backup guards -- can anyone truly justify sending Parker to Vegas in front of guys like Marion, Howard, Boozer, Randolph, or Anthony?
In the end, I think there are going to be a lot of guys who are going to throw down the "disrespected" card when the All-Star rosters are announced.

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