o Spurs fans!
I signed up two days ago waiting for this moment. I have a lot of respect for your team, your fans, your city, your organization. So does Suns management, who often mentions the San Antonio Spurs as the model of organization they would most like to model. I'll use this post to introduce you to the Suns rotations and some general observations.
Mike D'Antoni generally uses an 8-man rotation ...
PG Nash/Barbosa
SG Bell/Barbosa
SF James Jones/Diaw
PF Marion/Diaw
C Amare/Kurt Thomas
D'Antoni will use multiple amalgamations of the above 8 players. There's also a chance will we see Jumaine Jones, Pat Burke (in the shortest of spurts), and Marcus Banks, but that would be a sign things are going badly for this team. Banks, especially. I think the Spurs would have to win the first two games for D'Antoni to bust his short rotation.
The Suns are deeper than they were when the Spurs faced the Suns two years ago. The combination of James Jones (also referred to as Junior) and Boris Diaw at SF and Raja Bell at guard is actually a more effective trio of players than Joe Johnson and Quentin Richardson. More than anything, Bell is a better defender at the 2 than Johnson while providing consistent offensive punch when needed, and Junior and Diaw are ten times more efficient at both ends of the court than Richardson (who shot a poor % and was completely useless as a defender).
Diaw is also the defacto offensive facilitator off the bench when Nash sits. Barbosa will sometimes handle those duties, but they generally like Diaw to create and set up the offense. It's also when you're most likely to see Stoudemire set up on the low-post as a newer look in the Suns' half court offense.
The gradual improvement on defense for Stoudemire and the addition of Thomas (finally) allows the Suns to gamble less. You will see them occasionally mix in some zones, but they mostly play man with a lot of help in the paint. Generally speaking, the Suns do not extend their defense to the 3 pt line unless they have to, partially because they want opponents to shoot 3s for long rebounds to kick start the break. That would, of course, change if/when the opponent starts hitting the long ball.
I don't think there's any doubt the Spurs start this series with the mental advantage. Let me add they probably have the emotional advantage, too. The Spurs have had the Suns' number for awhile, and you in tonight's post-game quotes you could already hear a slight bit of fear. When asked if he was looking forward to his match up with Duncan, Stoudemire replied: "No. I can't deny it." Furthermore, the Lakers series had the look-and-feel of a regular season match up most of the time. Both teams knew the Suns were better, the Lakers have been prepping for a major roster overhaul since March, and the Suns' system doesn't work without a lot of energy. It was the sleepiest 4-1 series win I've seen in about 20 years. The Suns enter this second-round match up with a lot of questions whether they can crank up the fire a little bit. I'm having my doubts, and expecting the machine that is your team to win at least one game in Phoenix ... probably the first one.
The Suns' biggest concerns are Nash on Parker and getting Marion involved in the offense against Bowen. I'd say Duncan, but the Suns would likely prefer him to shoot more, fearing most what he does as a distributor. They would probably gladly give Duncan 30 if they could limit other contributions, but I'd say that's unlikely. In addition, Ginobli has always preferred playing the Suns because of the tempo and I look for him to be more productive on a game-to-game basis in this series. The Spurs look deeper on the bench, but the Suns have been getting much better production from Barbs, Thomas, and Diaw the last month. In terms of scoring of the bench, I think the Suns might have an advantage there.
So those are my initial thoughts. I look forward to interacting with you and watching (finally!) great playoff basketball!