This is only my gut instinct, but I think the US is just too hot for any AQ operations of that magnitude. I agree with the plausibility of your worst case scenario, and while unlikely, I think that scenario is exactly where our intelligence has to get. We have to assume that that scenario is EXACTLY what they will try. No less. We can't get complacent. Cannot let ourselves into a false sense of security.
Even though we are all on the same page to be sure, I'm a little more on the optimistic side of the terror ledger. Our progess has been steady. We're taking hits abroad, and will most likely take hits at home, but my own personal prediction is that we just grind out terrorism through doing exactly what we're doing. Standing up. Not bailing out. Getting leverage on the previously mentioned countries, Iran, Syria, Saudi Arabia. The ball is definitely in our court.

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