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107 planned high today, expected to be the hottest day of the year today. And I have to walk around downtown SA which is an urban heat island that adds 5+ degrees and more heat index, too. Yippee.
ouch.Looks like we shouldn't write off getting some 100s in September
Well just like the past 2 years I plan on spending late August and all of September and October in the blue shaded part of the country
107 planned high today, expected to be the hottest day of the year today. And I have to walk around downtown SA which is an urban heat island that adds 5+ degrees and more heat index, too. Yippee.
Ugh already 100 at noon
I've been in central Florida all week. Was worried it would be uncomfortable here. But compared to SA, this is a breeze.
You're missing the fun. ERCOT is forecasting a 160MW shortfall at 8PM.
Hurricane going to make landfall in California... cat 4 now, probably won't be that strong when it makes it to CA, but nonetheless could be the Hurricane Sandy for high populated areas from San Diego to LA metro.
Hurricane's name....? HILARY. Yes, one L, but still funny.
This one turned out to be fake news. No power outage here last night.
Yeah, Orlando and Florida in general is generally a humid and tropical mess in summer, but less so in strong El Nino type of years. Because of the prevailing westerly winds which also serve double as to causing wind shear that tears apart any potential tropical storm or hurricane threat. Makes the monsoonal storms from the southwest less frequent and the overall air less humid. But it's still humid because it's Florida.
Next year should be a reprieve year after these past two awful summers.
1998, 2002, 2007, 2010, and 2016 are all "analog" years for 2024, based on the current timing and pattern of this year's El Nino, PDO and other interrelated thermohaline systems.
All of those featured well-below average temperatures in the San Antonio area as well as above-average precipitation. Instead of the heat, I predict next year we'll be talking about the floods and blaming that on global warming as well.
It's not fake news. They were literally forecasting a shortfall on their website.
Ocean temps are in the mid 60s near California. That storm is going to fall apart fast once it gets there.Hurricane going to make landfall in California... cat 4 now, probably won't be that strong when it makes it to CA, but nonetheless could be the Hurricane Sandy for high populated areas from San Diego to LA metro.
Hurricane's name....? HILARY. Yes, one L, but still funny.
Sandy in late October... ocean temps in the mid 60s near NJ, all it does is amplify the winds and make the storm larger and expand the wind field and storm surge, even with the max winds reduced it will be a terror, even if the hurricane can't realistically maintain higher than category 1 strength with baroclinic processes involved.
ERCOT is a disaster, no question
The Texas Public Utility Commission is the disaster. The grid operates exactly as Abbott and Perry designed it to since they personally chose every member of the PUC that sets the rules ERCOT operates under.
Hard to get the same kind of storm surge we saw with Sandy since the CA coast is unlikely to take a direct hit from the NE side of Hilary the way NYC did with Sandy.
Last edited by baseline bum; 08-18-2023 at 04:20 PM.
CA will be on the N-NE side for sure. How far west it tracks of the Baja peninsula, e.g. Cabo, will determine SoCal's fate largely.
only 104 today, not 105
Starting to look like the rain next week will be a bust. Wonder if we'll even get a second day in the 90s next week.
Yeah officially confirmed only got to 104. God I hope we don't have any more days of 105+ this year. Though that might be asking a lot since the next three days are forecast 104-105 and that ing heat dome is coming right back next Thursday.
Looks like the all time streak for most 100+ days in a row will be set at exactly 23 for 2023 before the drought-buster rain day on Tuesday. Kind of neat. Probably won't happen again for hopefully a long time.
It's from that little potential tropical cyclone that got upgraded to orange during my mid-evening nap today:
However, one must not forget instances like Tropical Storm Don of 2011 in similar analog years where there's a big heat high parked over Texas. It could literally dry up as it moves ashore. We'll see, baseline bum.
Yeah probably a whole year. Not buying the drought busting talk. KENS was saying expect maybe 1/2 an inch next week.
This high is supposed to move to the midwest though for a couple of days opening a door for rain to creep in. Then the er comes right back nearly as strong in the forecasts.
Ugh could have a 70 days of 100+ year this year. Beating 59 should be no problem if that high is coming back Wednesday or Thursday.
Just got upgraded to 50-50. Was 30-70 last night. Also looks like we might only get 1/4 inch now though.It's from that little potential tropical cyclone that got upgraded to orange during my mid-evening nap today:
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