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  1. #5176
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    The Dems have done better on the deficit historically as well -- Republican tax cuts tend to blow it up without much effect on GDP. They never trickled down.

    [/url]

    https://x.com/SundaeDivine/status/1845979495612002444

  2. #5177
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    How many of those accounts are Russians lol
    Don Lemon travels around the country asking Russian men who they are voting for.


  3. #5178
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Russian bots flood Charlamagne The God's comment section

  4. #5179
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Do you think crime is going up, ducks?


    When the FBI originally released the “final” crime data for 2022 in September 2023, it reported that the nation’s violent crime rate fell by 2.1%. This quickly became, and remains, a Democratic Party talking point to counter Donald Trump’s claims of soaring crime.

    But the FBI has quietly revised those numbers, releasing new data that shows violent crime increased in 2022 by 4.5%. The new data includes thousands more murders, rapes, robberies, and aggravated assaults.

    The Bureau – which has been at the center of partisan storms – made no mention of these revisions in its September 2024 press release.

    RCI discovered the change through a cryptic reference on the FBI website that states: “The 2022 violent crime rate has been updated for inclusion in CIUS, 2023.” But there is no mention that the numbers increased. One only sees the change by downloading the FBI’s new crime data and comparing it to the file released last year.

  5. #5180
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Don Lemon travels around the country asking Russian men who they are voting for.



    Russian bots flood Charlamagne The God's comment section

  6. #5181
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    When the FBI originally released the “final” crime data for 2022 in September 2023, it reported that the nation’s violent crime rate fell by 2.1%. This quickly became, and remains, a Democratic Party talking point to counter Donald Trump’s claims of soaring crime.

    But the FBI has quietly revised those numbers, releasing new data that shows violent crime increased in 2022 by 4.5%. The new data includes thousands more murders, rapes, robberies, and aggravated assaults.

    The Bureau – which has been at the center of partisan storms – made no mention of these revisions in its September 2024 press release.

    RCI discovered the change through a cryptic reference on the FBI website that states: “The 2022 violent crime rate has been updated for inclusion in CIUS, 2023.” But there is no mention that the numbers increased. One only sees the change by downloading the FBI’s new crime data and comparing it to the file released last year.
    "Without the increase, the drop in violent crime in 2023 would have been less than half as large – only 1.6% instead of the reported drop of 3.5%."

    Violent crime down in 2023.

  7. #5182
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Don Lemon travels around the country asking Russian men who they are voting for.

    Do you not believe at all in fake Russian accounts?

  8. #5183
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Russian bots flood Charlamagne The God's comment section
    "Felon4Trump" is an awesome user name.

  9. #5184
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    YouTube comment section

    Social media has destroyed TSAnon's brain and he claims he doesn't use it.

  10. #5185
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    "Without the increase, the drop in violent crime in 2023 would have been less than half as large – only 1.6% instead of the reported drop of 3.5%."

    Violent crime down in 2023.
    “I have checked the data on total violent crime from 2004 to 2022,” Carl Moody, a professor at the College of William & Mary who specializes in studying crime, told RealClearInvestigations. “There were no revisions from 2004 to 2015, and from 2016 to 2020, there were small changes of less than one percentage point. The huge changes in 2021 and 2022, especially without an explanation, make it difficult to trust the FBI data.”

    "The actual changes in crimes are extensive. The updated data for 2022 report that there were 80,029 more violent crimes than in 2021. There were an additional 1,699 murders, 7,780 rapes, 33,459 robberies, and 37,091 aggravated assaults. The question naturally arises: should the FBI’s 2023 numbers be believed?"

    Of course ChumpDumper believes the 2023 numbers

    "Another problem with FBI crime data is its reliance on reported crimes. Most crimes go unreported, with only about 45% of violent crimes and 30% of property crimes brought to the police’s attention, according to the National Crime Victimization Survey. Since the FBI only tracks reported incidents and this gap is so large, researchers argue that when the media discusses crime rates based on FBI data, they should clarify that it reflects “reported” crime, not give the impression that total crime is changing.

    A half-century ago, the DOJ provided a total crime measure, including both reported and unreported crime. The results of the department’s Bureau of Justice Statistics 2023 National Crime Victimization Survey, released in mid-September, tell a very different story from the FBI data.

    The NCVS interviews 240,000 people each year about their personal experiences.

    Instead of the FBI’s 3.5% drop in the reported violent crime rate in 2023, the NCVS found a 4.1% increase in the reported violent crime rate. Even with the revised FBI numbers, in 2022, the FBI’s 4.5% increase pales in comparison to the NCVS’s 29.1% increase.

    While the FBI claims that serious violent crime has fallen by 5.8% since Biden took office, the NCVS numbers show that total violent crime has risen by 55.4%. Rapes are up by 42%, robbery by 63%, and aggravated assault by 55% during Biden’s term. Since the NCVS started, the largest previous increase over three years was 27% in 2006, so the increase under Biden was slightly more than twice as large.

    The increases shown by the NCVS during the Biden-Harris administration are by far the largest percentage increases over any three years, slightly more than doubling the previous record."

    https://www.realclearinvestigations....s_1065396.html

  11. #5186
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    Do you not believe at all in fake Russian accounts?
    Of course I believe there are fake Russian accounts. But your idiotic comment I quoted was in response to these tweets.








    Do you believe these are fake Russian accounts? yes or no.

  12. #5187
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    “I have checked the data on total violent crime from 2004 to 2022,” Carl Moody, a professor at the College of William & Mary who specializes in studying crime, told RealClearInvestigations. “There were no revisions from 2004 to 2015, and from 2016 to 2020, there were small changes of less than one percentage point. The huge changes in 2021 and 2022, especially without an explanation, make it difficult to trust the FBI data.”

    "The actual changes in crimes are extensive. The updated data for 2022 report that there were 80,029 more violent crimes than in 2021. There were an additional 1,699 murders, 7,780 rapes, 33,459 robberies, and 37,091 aggravated assaults. The question naturally arises: should the FBI’s 2023 numbers be believed?"

    Of course ChumpDumper believes the 2023 numbers

    "Another problem with FBI crime data is its reliance on reported crimes. Most crimes go unreported, with only about 45% of violent crimes and 30% of property crimes brought to the police’s attention, according to the National Crime Victimization Survey. Since the FBI only tracks reported incidents and this gap is so large, researchers argue that when the media discusses crime rates based on FBI data, they should clarify that it reflects “reported” crime, not give the impression that total crime is changing.

    A half-century ago, the DOJ provided a total crime measure, including both reported and unreported crime. The results of the department’s Bureau of Justice Statistics 2023 National Crime Victimization Survey, released in mid-September, tell a very different story from the FBI data.

    The NCVS interviews 240,000 people each year about their personal experiences.

    Instead of the FBI’s 3.5% drop in the reported violent crime rate in 2023, the NCVS found a 4.1% increase in the reported violent crime rate. Even with the revised FBI numbers, in 2022, the FBI’s 4.5% increase pales in comparison to the NCVS’s 29.1% increase.

    While the FBI claims that serious violent crime has fallen by 5.8% since Biden took office, the NCVS numbers show that total violent crime has risen by 55.4%. Rapes are up by 42%, robbery by 63%, and aggravated assault by 55% during Biden’s term. Since the NCVS started, the largest previous increase over three years was 27% in 2006, so the increase under Biden was slightly more than twice as large.

    The increases shown by the NCVS during the Biden-Harris administration are by far the largest percentage increases over any three years, slightly more than doubling the previous record."

    https://www.realclearinvestigations....s_1065396.html
    So what's your conspiracy theory this time?

    Please just answer without your usual histrionics.

    Also, you never said why you want this guy back in power:


  13. #5188
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Of course I believe there are fake Russian accounts. But your idiotic comment I quoted was in response to these tweets.








    Do you believe these are fake Russian accounts? yes or no.
    I already answered. "I don't have any clue." If you want to go on a tweet by tweet basis, I can give you my probability percentage if you really really want that.

    Also again: My comment you quoted was a question, not a statement of fact. Sorry I left off the question mark at the end, but the comment did begin with the words "How many" to which even the slowest of 3rd grade grammar detectives probably would have caught that.

  14. #5189
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    If black men are as insecure as white men when it comes to women leaders, I am not surprised.

  15. #5190
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    I already answered. "I don't have any clue." If you want to go on a tweet by tweet basis, I can give you my probability percentage if you really really want that.

    Also again: My comment you quoted was a question, not a statement of fact. Sorry I left off the question mark at the end, but the comment did begin with the words "How many" to which even the slowest of 3rd grade grammar detectives probably would have caught that.
    Sure go tweet by tweet there are only 3 of them. Give me your probability percentage of those actual black men speaking being Russian accounts.

    Or you can just admit that you picked the absolute worst post in all of hater's posting history to bring up the fake Russian accounts he constantly posts.

  16. #5191
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    How is it a "dramatic shift" when everything is within the margin of error in both polls?

    Please explain.


    oof

  17. #5192
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    oof
    TSA folds.

  18. #5193
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    If black men are as insecure as white men when it comes to women leaders, I am not surprised.


    "No matter how you splice the data, Trump seems to be the strongest Republican with Black voters since 1960. Young Black men in particular have trended right during Trump's runs (cutting the Dem margin by 40 pts from 2012).

    But Trump's doing historically well with Black women too"

    What's your excuse for black women?

  19. #5194
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    "No matter how you splice the data, Trump seems to be the strongest Republican with Black voters since 1960. Young Black men in particular have trended right during Trump's runs (cutting the Dem margin by 40 pts from 2012).
    I'll splice it this way.

    OH NOES KAMALA LOST TEH BLACKS


    lol polls
    lol polls

    But Trump's doing historically well with Black women too"

    What's your excuse for black women?
    Define "historically well" compared to actual 2020 results.

    Be specific and post the MoE for any poll you post.

  20. #5195
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    Sure go tweet by tweet there are only 3 of them. Give me your probability percentage of those actual black men speaking being Russian accounts.

    Or you can just admit that you picked the absolute worst post in all of hater's posting history to bring up the fake Russian accounts he constantly posts.
    Those 3? Looking at them now, they look 99.9% legit, 99.9% pure attention whoring instead.

    "LoOk aT mE iM a gAY blAck guY voTinG 4 TruMp!!"

    So as of now, my guess is that 99% of haters tweets are either attention s that will get attention any way they can or bots. They're all really that ridiculous.

  21. #5196
    right about pizzagate Blake's Avatar
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    "No matter how you splice the data, Trump seems to be the strongest Republican with Black voters since 1960. Young Black men in particular have trended right during Trump's runs (cutting the Dem margin by 40 pts from 2012).

    But Trump's doing historically well with Black women too"

    What's your excuse for black women?
    Link?

  22. #5197
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    I'll splice it this way.



    lol polls



    Define "historically well" compared to actual 2020 results.

    Be specific and post the MoE for any poll you post.
    Harry's words, not mine. Feel free to reach out.

    https://x.com/ForecasterEnten

  23. #5198
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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  24. #5199
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Harry's words, not mine. Feel free to reach out.

    https://x.com/ForecasterEnten
    TSA folds.

  25. #5200
    wrong about pizzagate TSA's Avatar
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    "No matter how you splice the data, Trump seems to be the strongest Republican with Black voters since 1960. Young Black men in particular have trended right during Trump's runs (cutting the Dem margin by 40 pts from 2012).

    But Trump's doing historically well with Black women too"- Harry Enten

    https://x.com/ForecasterEnten

    Again feel free to reach out and ask Harry Enten how he defined historically well compared to 2020 poll results, or fold and try to claim another make believe victory.

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