Heat

[Xevious]

Yeah, Orlando and Florida in general is generally a humid and tropical mess in summer, but less so in strong El Nino type of years. Because of the prevailing westerly winds which also serve double as to causing wind shear that tears apart any potential tropical storm or hurricane threat. Makes the monsoonal storms from the southwest less frequent and the overall air less humid. But it's still humid because it's Florida.

Yeah it's humid obviously and uncomfortable when the sun is blazing, but there has been a lot of cloud cover and occasional light showers that keep it cooled off. I'm coming home tonight though.

[baseline bum]

Looks like the all time streak for most 100+ days in a row will be set at exactly 23 for 2023 before the drought-buster rain day on Tuesday. Kind of neat. Probably won't happen again for hopefully a long time.

Ugh 19 days into this month the average high is 104.159. The hottest month we have ever had by average high was July 2022 at 101.7 average high. It's virtually certain this month will be the hottest in San Antonio's history and by a large margin since we'd need to average a high of 97.7 or lower for the remaining 12 days of the month to get below 101.7. NOAA's 7 day forecast gets us to 103.538 average high for the month by the 26th with 5 days left in the month which would mean the final 5 days of the month would need to average 92 or below for the high to not set a new record.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Ugh 19 days into this month the average high is 104.159. The hottest month we have ever had by average high was July 2022 at 101.7 average high. It's virtually certain this month will be the hottest in San Antonio's history and by a large margin since we'd need to average a high of 97.7 or lower for the remaining 12 days of the month to get below 101.7. NOAA's 7 day forecast gets us to 103.538 average high for the month by the 26th with 5 days left in the month which would mean the final 5 days of the month would need to average 92 or below for the high to not set a new record.

Ugh, weather forecast for Tuesday, the "cool" day has changed from 90 and just rainy to 94 and THUNDERSTORMS, which is bad because that could up the power grid when we can't afford for that to happen

[Millennial_Messiah]

I believe today is now officially day number 22 in a row of 100, baseline bum ?

[Millennial_Messiah]

Looks like the last bit of August and early September is going to be loaded with hot, dry weather over 100 once more. Will it ever end? I thought this was supposed to be an El Nino. When does the rain start in El Nino's?

[baseline bum]

Looks like the last bit of August and early September is going to be loaded with hot, dry weather over 100 once more. Will it ever end? I thought this was supposed to be an El Nino. When does the rain start in El Nino's?

Looks like a real chance to hit 70+ days of 100+ this year.

[baseline bum]

Ugh, weather forecast for Tuesday, the "cool" day has changed from 90 and just rainy to 94 and THUNDERSTORMS, which is bad because that could up the power grid when we can't afford for that to happen

Now they're forecasting 100 for Wednesday too

[baseline bum]

I believe today is now officially day number 22 in a row of 100, baseline bum ?

Yeah new record

[Millennial_Messiah]

No ing way

yes, based on the previous year being the first year of a stronger El Nino like this year's

those are the correct recent analog years.

[Millennial_Messiah]

also, might want to bump your 105 degree thread on the poly forum, because it's 105 right now baseline bum tbh

[Millennial_Messiah]

TD9 officially declared by NHC.

Next name on the list is Harold, which will hit Texas, which is the name that replaced Harvey in 2017, which also hit Texas. Maybe this one won't be as bad for Texas.

The pattern of in bent (D) presidents getting lucky with hurricanes and hurricane seasons continues. 8 years of [BHO] and no major US landfalls. [GWB] faced 11 in 8 years. In [DJT]'s first year of only half the amount of time in office, he gets hit by three cat 4's.

[baseline bum]

also, might want to bump your 105 degree thread on the poly forum, because it's 105 right now baseline bum tbh

Only see 104 at the airport

[baseline bum]

yes, based on the previous year being the first year of a stronger El Nino like this year's

those are the correct recent analog years.

Meh and El Nino was supposed to be cooler than average and yet we're way hotter than last year's triple dip La Nina. Wouldn't be at all surprised to see another year of 50-60 days of 100+ again for 2024.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Meh and El Nino was supposed to be cooler than average and yet we're way hotter than last year's triple dip La Nina. Wouldn't be at all surprised to see another year of 50-60 days of 100+ again for 2024.

Or we could have uno like in 2021 or zero like in 2007. Ya never know.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Only see 104 at the airport

Now it just went back down to 104 but right at 5pm it was 105.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Also, TWC is showing as that it's currently cloudy in SA, but outside my house here the sky is still very blue here on the far west side.

[GAustex]

King Ranch getting all the rain

[baseline bum]

Now it just went back down to 104 but right at 5pm it was 105.

Yeah 105 confirmed today

https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KSAT.html

[Extra Stout]

So I went back and read some of the climate prediction reports for Texas written by people connected to the IPCC. Based upon those, one of two things is true:
A. 2022-23 are anomalously hot years even given the reality of climate change.
B. The climate models grossly underestimated the impact on Texas and we are even more ed than the more alarmist scientists say we are.

That’s it. I’m getting the out. Texas is going to burn down. Time to look for a job up north.

[Millennial_Messiah]

King Ranch getting all the rain

Hurricane Bret 1999. Category 4 landfall but one of the tiniest cyclones ever seen. San Antonio barely got any wind. Sarita/King Ranch and Kenedy County took a direct hit, but it's extremely sparsely populated. Apparently it blew a herd of cattle into the gulf and another few cows a couple counties inland.

[Millennial_Messiah]

So I went back and read some of the climate prediction reports for Texas written by people connected to the IPCC. Based upon those, one of two things is true:
A. 2022-23 are anomalously hot years even given the reality of climate change.
B. The climate models grossly underestimated the impact on Texas and we are even more ed than the more alarmist scientists say we are.

That’s it. I’m getting the out. Texas is going to burn down. Time to look for a job up north.

Work from home FTW, but looking for a more permanent residence up north is the goal for sure

[Millennial_Messiah]

B. The climate models grossly underestimated the impact on Texas and we are even more ed than the more alarmist scientists say we are.

Texas is going to be basically south India in a generation

[Millennial_Messiah]

ing 105 again. And we'll probably get there again another couple of times at least this year.


1. 16 days and counting in 2023 as of August 21st, 2023
2. 4 days in 2022
3. 3 days in 2011
3. 3 days in 1962
3. 3 days in 1909




Also puts the August 2023 average high as 104.191 more than 2/3rd through the month. We'd have to average 96.5 or less for the remaining ten days of the month to not set a new record for hottest month ever recorded here.

Hey, look on the bright side. At least SA's homeless population can fry H-E-B eggs and cook their own breakfast on public sidewalks now! They couldn't previously do that before.

[Millennial_Messiah]

Tomorrow will knock down that average quite a bit, though.

[Millennial_Messiah]

.

Wanted to go to Sea World tomorrow due to the lower temp, but it'll probably be closed or at least the rides all shut down due to the wind. Even if it doesn't rain until late afternoon. Ugh.