I disagree strongly and feel this could be a worse trade than Scola, and for a reason that I haven’t seen on this entire thread.
And that is that the pick in the reports I've read is not protected.
There is a reason Presti wanted the pick in 09 and it’s probably not because of the 09 class or having multiple picks to bundle, it’s because he knows that in this season the Spurs are guaranteed locks to make the playoffs based on the amount of games remaining and them finishing the RRT strong without Parker (and Parker’s impending return).
Because in 2009 there is a realistic chance the Spurs are in the lottery. And it’s not a far-fetched gamble, it would be a reasonable long term wager that it happens.
Consider that next season no matter who they sign the Spurs will still be one of the oldest teams in the league, and will be even more vulnerable to age-related breakdowns. The injury risk becomes much higher when you factor in that Parker and Ginobili and Splitter will all be playing all summer with their national teams, and maybe Udoka and Mahinmi might spend time with Nigeria and France.
If any of the Spurs big 3 go down for say a third of the season, that’s a Spurs team that I think would be more likely to miss the playoffs than make.
Why?
Because the rest of the west is so stacked now. It’s not like before when you could guarantee a Duncan-team at least 50 wins and a playoff shot.
In the west right now, the Warriors are 9th and on pace to win 50 games. The Blazers are 10th and on pace to win 43, and that’s without adding in Oden and whoever else they bring in next year along with their youth improving. Every other western playoff team is not in any serious danger of falling off next year, , a bunch are poised to be even better.
The Spurs could win 50 games next year and miss the playoffs.
Again, notice that the first round pick has no lottery protection.
The trade is a disaster waiting to happen, all just to have an old Kurt Thomas for 3-4 months.
IF the Spurs win the le this year and only if it's thanks to Kurt Thomas having huge games or a huge series, then who cares, right?
But that is a big risk. Maybe too big.