Thinking of taking Washington -3.5 at home today. They're still fighting for a playoff spot and Dallas for all intents and purposes is dead. What do you think?
Dallas is 1-9 ATS last 10 on MNF. But as a HF the Skins are a woeful 5-10 in that "spot" on MNF. If I had to play the game I'd lay the number but since I don't I can't play a 5-10 trend.
I do get where you're coming from however. The motivation thing is huge, the Cowboys know it's over for them in 2015.
I'm like you in that I like some action on these games, that's why I played the Steelers last night, but there all the numbers screamed...STEELERS IN A ROUT. That isn't the case tonight.
The 1-9 sold me. Doing it...
I can see the play, I'm just too cautious for my own good and I know it. I need too many stars in perfect alinement.
Ok, plus $1050
What the ? The trends tell me the Vikes are the play, my gut tells me it's the Cards. Being I'm playing with their $$$$ I'll lay the 7.5 and go with the Cards tonight.
If I lose it will because I ignored the fact Arizona sucks ATS on TNF. If I win I will feel a little lucky.
What am I bucking?
Cards 1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS on TNF. At home..0-2. As a fav...0-2.
Vikes 3-0 ATS TNF coming off a loss.
I never go against numbers that strong. I just have a feeling.
Last edited by Avante; 12-10-2015 at 06:21 PM.
nice play
Why ignore what I said? The play was Minnesota as I mentioned. Now tell me little man, how many Vikings were out of that game? As you saw the Cards did what I said they would, they suck on TNF. I just thought the fact the Vikes were without 4 starters would make the difference.
Where were you when I was winning 1050? and now $940? And where will you be when I end up having "another" winning week?
Since last season (here) plus $ 3040. HA~~~~~~~~~~~
It was funny watching you last season..."ok ok ya won again"....in a thread you made to poke fun at my picks, ha~~~~~~~
I went from-330 the first week to plus $2100. Yep, a master at work.
Last edited by Avante; 12-11-2015 at 01:43 PM.
Ok plus $ 940
Will play 220 to win 200.
GB -7
Packers are one of the best December teams in the league. Dallas on the road again. Now add GB 3-1 ATS last 4 vs Cowboys. Knowing the Vikes lost already some added motivation for the Packers.
Only game where the home team has a number I like. Don't like playing road teams in December.
GB 47-26 as a December fav since 1990, that is the best in the league. Cowboys as a dog 22-21.
Now add the favorite when these two meet is 15-5 ATS last 20.
So we have a GB 83--53 trend, that is very strong.
Also...Matt Cassell vs Aaron Rodgers
And....GB played last Thursday, the Cowboys on MNF. That's a biggie at the NFL level.
Last edited by Avante; 12-13-2015 at 12:58 AM.
Thomas Rawls!!!!!!!!!!!!
This just too easy.
Ok ANOTHER winning week, so plus $1140.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
How many TD's has RW thrown for in the last 4 games? How in the is he doing that without BEAST MODE, ha~~~~~~
It's looking like...
Pats vs Steelers
Cards vs Seahawks
..to me.
This is ridiculous
Out due to injury
Tony Romo
Gronk
Arian Foster
Andy Dalton
Joe Flacco
La' Veon Bell
Big Ben
Chris Johnson
Julian Edelman
Dion Lewis
Jamaal Charles
Marshawn Lynch
Thomas Rawls
Darrell Revis
Justin Forsett
Matt Forte
Carlos Hyde
Jimmy Graham
Andrew Luck
Dez Bryant
Jordy Nelson
and all those I'm forgetting.
Last edited by Avante; 12-14-2015 at 01:13 AM.
So here I sit plus $ 1140 and RW looking fantastic, hahaha~~~~~ Anyone still not getting it?
Russell Wilson is 50-18 in his career, no QB in history compares to that in their first 68 games.
Just think, he won a playoff game as a rookie, won it all in his second season. a yard away from winning it all in his third and now in his 4th season he's looking better than ever. Whoa~~~~~
RW career
comp %...64.7
TD/INT...98/33
QB rating...101.3
rushing yards...2, 333 and 12 TD's
What QB in NFL history compares to that in their first 68 games?
Last edited by Avante; 12-14-2015 at 02:35 AM.
The only QB to be in the Heisman race was black.
The number one NCAA team has a black QB.
Last seasons NCAA champion had two black QB's.
The only undefeated NFL team has a black QB.
The only QB to play in the last two SB was a black QB.
As of right now RW has a career passer rating of 101.3, curious what the greats have.
Joe Montana 92.3
Dan Marino 86.4
Brett Favre 86.0
Tom Brady 96.4
Peyton Manning 96.5
Drew Brees 95.6
Last edited by Avante; 12-15-2015 at 02:40 AM.
The last three weeks of the reg season start looking at the weather and teams where winning means little as far as playoff seeding goes. Ya want home teams in decent weather who must have the game and are laying less than 8, if ya can find them. The weather a big deal (obviously talking outdoors) from here on out.
A potential play I'm looking at....
Detroit at NO next Monday night. The Lions are out of it, the Saints have gone 10-2 SU in this "spot" the last 12, as we know the Lions suck on the road. The Saints are also 5-0 last 5 ATS vs the Lions.
The Seahawks have brought Christian Michael back, smart move. He averaged 4.6 as a Seahawk, that will work. And they have the worst run defense in the NFL this week to get him back up to speed.
Just another tool in your box.
http://www.nfl.com/standings
Check out points scored/given up and home/road.
Check out the Jets vs Cowboys numbers. Notice the Jets are better on the road than the Cowboys are at home? Notice the Jets score far more than they give up while the Cowboys give up more than they score.
I will lay the 3 with the Jets tomorrow night, play 110 to win 100.
The game is a ..MUST WIN...for the Jets, the Cowboys are done and know it.
Jets 3-3 on the road, Cowboys 1-5 at home.
Jets plus 69, Cowboys minus 75
Jets 4-2 last 6, Cowboys 2-4
All the numbers say the same thing.....JETS!
Last edited by Avante; 12-19-2015 at 02:04 AM.
Andrew Luck has 12 INT's this season in far less games than RW who has ...7.
Anyone still think this is a legit debate?
A missed extra point, sheesh~~~~~~ Ok, that was a push.
So plus $1140 and will play 110 to win 100
Buff - 1
Pitt-6
Seattle - 14.5...This is the largest number I have ever played in the NFL. The Browns on the road vs a Seattle team that has been red hot looking for playoff seeding I got no problems seeing....Seahawks 32 Browns 10.
Seattle a plus 110 team, the Browns a minus 117.
ANOTHER winning week.
So that's plus $1230.
A master at work, ha~~~~~~~~
Will play the minumin 60 to win 50 with the Saints tomorrow night. It's either win 140 or win 30. Bottom line...I win~~~~
NO - 3
Last edited by Avante; 12-20-2015 at 08:06 PM.
I was thinking the Saints still had a very remote shot at the playoffs. nope. So I won't be playing this game, can't play a game where neither team has any reason to win a game.
So plus $1230
So ya wanna lay off all those teams assured of a playoff spot, they will begin to sit people.
You wanna search out "spots" where one of the teams MUST have the game.
Look at yesterday, the Seahawks needed one more win to get in, and the Steelers at home in a must win situation. Both winners for me. Buffalo had to have it but so did the Redskins, why I went with the road team.....DUH~~~~~~
Pitt, KC and the Jets all in MUST WIN situations, as are all the teams in the NFC East except Dallas.
Last edited by Avante; 12-21-2015 at 07:26 AM.
I was just a little kid when I first saw the huge difference between blacks and whites. As fast as I was, they were faster. They are fantastic athletes if it takes, speed, agility and leaping ability. BUT....they make some of the dumbest decisions ever seen. So many totally stupid penalties, and just dumb moves in everything they do. It's as if they aren't thinking at all.
Doesn't Odell Beckman know about cameras? Did he really think he could pull all that stupid and nobody would see it a thousand times on TV? What will all those companies he's hawking think? Where is RGIII when it comes to endorsements?
I'm sure I'm not the only one who has thought....."but we have to have them because they can run, but damn they make some stupid mistakes".
It appears Calvin Johnson is questionable, which means he will play but how effective can he be?
it.
Ok will lay the 3 with NO and wimp out 60 to win 50. Don't like the game but since I'm playing with house $$$$ (as I have for the last 20 years)...might as well.
I can see some of you are back to playing this....one game so let me over react.....hahahahaha!!!!!!! Come on people ya haven't learned anything by now?
Pay no attention (other than injuries) of any kind to teams that are in the playoffs, ok? OK? You should know this. Notice how...
Tom Brady
Aaron Rodgers
Cam Newton
RW
...all lost today? Now think just a little bit, ok?
The Panthers lost the last game of this...
road
road
home
road
road
....only a moron would criticize that.
There is a reason Aaron Rodgers is a future HOFers, Cam Newton has only lose twice in his last 20 games and RW has been in a playoff game in each of his 4 seasons. And Tom Brady might be the best QB ever.
It is funny watching some of you act stupid over ....one game....hahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Those of us who understand the game give things some time and never let...a..game get in the way of the body of work.
Remember me saying....
Looking ahead to week 14.
First thing ya do is get off Carolina, they are in and anyone nursing any ailment at all will sit. Never bet a team in the playoffs those last few weeks.
Last edited by Avante; 12-28-2015 at 03:25 AM.
Did Belichick see an opening to rid the playoffs of the Steelers by letting the Jets have the ball?
No no and no, he would never tell his team to lay down, he'd keep it to himself.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
The Panthers are a good team just not 14-1 good. They could easily be 11-4 which is more realistic. They did get a little lucky and they did play a rinkydink schedule. They are not on a par with Arizona and it's obvious. And there is a reason Seattle has owned them with the exception of a blown coverage.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Tom Brady vs....
A.J.McCarron
Old Peyton/youngster
Ryan Fitzpatrick
Alex Smith
Houston?
I like his chances.
Last edited by Avante; 12-28-2015 at 01:05 PM.
No they're 14-1 good and AZ is going to get stomped in Charlotte
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