Political prediction #5,295

[RandomGuy]

Where's the list anyway? I'd like to look up # 4265.

Yikes! Is this actually an attempt at humor?

Let's see, that would have been, um, "the mets will win the world series".. no wait that was sports prediction #4,265

[admiralsnackbar]

Anyone think Bloomberg runs?

... if Perry is going to run, I hope to God Bloomberg does, too. Beyond his experiential and fiscal qualifications, the guy came to politics from a ridiculously successful career in business, whereas Perry is a lifelong capital-building bull ter without a clue.

[Wild Cobra]

Yikes! Is this actually an attempt at humor?

And mine wasn't?

[MannyIsGod]

English is hard.

[RandomGuy]

And mine wasn't?

um, yes it was. That was what I was trying to say. It was an acknowledgement of my recognition of the attempt.

[Wild Cobra]

um, yes it was. That was what I was trying to say. It was an acknowledgment of my recognition of the attempt.

Oh... Sorry, went back and reread it. ty thing about text, easy to miss inflections, sarcasm, etc.

[Winehole23]

Anyone think Bloomberg runs?

Bloomberg's reelection as NYC mayor has got to give him pause. He ended up spending something like $30 million dollars to beat a nobody by less than five points.

Also, there's a question of what he'd run as. Bloomberg was a Democrat until the early 1990's. If people don't recall that, they'll quickly be reminded.

The RINO tag will be hard to avoid. As well as the <I bought the election> tag. Bloomberg is probably rich enough to float his own presidential campaign. That's something to consider.

There's no way the Dems would take him back anytime before 2016 and if they did, the electorate would reject him.

DEM -> GOP -> DEM? No way.

Bloomberg would almost have to run as a third party candidate, and to do so successfully he needs to ride the high-tide of anti-system voting. When the people who don't usually vote in the US (about half) start to get activated, the results could be interesting.

OTOH, Bloomberg is 68 years old. But the high tide of anti-system voting might not be in 2012. It could be in 2016 or thereafter, but by then, Bloomberg will be (at least) 74 years old.




Has Bloomberg been making noises, Manny? Would the GOP really take Bloomberg?

That seems unthinkable to me.

[TeyshaBlue]

Bloomberg's reelection as NYC mayor has got to give him pause. He ended up spending something like $30 million dollars to beat a nobody by less than five points.

Also, there's a question of what he'd run as. Bloomberg was a Democrat until the early 1990's. If people don't recall that, they'll quickly be reminded.

The RINO tag will be hard to avoid. As well as the <I bought the election> tag. Bloomberg is probably rich enough to float his own presidential campaign. That's something to consider.

There's no way the Dems would take him back anytime before 2016 and if they did, the electorate would reject him.

DEM -> GOP -> DEM? No way.

Bloomberg would almost have to run as a third party candidate, and to do so successfully he needs to ride the high-tide of anti-system voting. When the people who don't usually vote in the US (about half) start to get activated, the results could be interesting.

OTOH, Bloomberg is 68 years old. But the high tide of anti-system voting might not be in 2012. It could be in 2016 or thereafter, but by then, Bloomberg will be (at least) 74 years old.




Has Bloomberg been making noises, Manny? Would the GOP really take Bloomberg?

That seems unthinkable to me.

I'm still not convinced that Hillary won't try to run in 2012. If the economy is still underperfoming at that point, I can see her taking a good, hard look at it. That alone would keep Bloomberg out of the race on the Dem ticket.

[Winehole23]

I could totally see Bloomberg forcing himself on the GOP in the primaries, but I've heard nothing to suggest that is even a possibility.

[Winehole23]

I'm still not convinced that Hillary won't try to run in 2012.

People keep saying so.

If the economy is still underperfoming at that point, I can see her taking a good, hard look at it. That alone would keep Bloomberg out of the race on the Dem ticket.

<Cabinet member> running against the President? Tricky.

How many times has this happened in US history?

[Winehole23]

(James Buchanan was the last Sec'y of State to become President.)

[Winehole23]

VP and Sec'y of State.