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About the same % I had OKC winning game 5. Very low.
TBH, I'd like to see some of the Spurs' reporters plant seeds of doubt within OKC's role players during shootaround Wednesday.
"So Serge, you shot a perfect 11-11 in game 4 at home, but how confident are you with your shot tonight knowing that if you lose you'll have to play a game 7 on the road?"
About the same % I had OKC winning game 5. Very low.
65% chance the Spurs win Game 6.
OKC in a blowout!
Great minds think alike.
I'm going to say 15%. If Manu and Tony both have monster games then it's possible.
We were 6-0 at home before tonight, and 20-0 after Game 2. Means nothing in a close out gameAlso, OKC is 7-0 at home thus far in the playoffs. I seriously doubt they drop their first home game with the Finals on the line, but keep hope alive, amirite?
5%..And if your going to lose, for Gods sake ride or die with what you did all year. Shortening the rotations, having five on the floor who didn't play together all year is a desperate, flawed, panicked strategy. Won't work.
The strength of this team is their depth and their ability to use it. I can't believe a Pop coached team is going down in this fashion, Sack the up and remember who you are! Quickly....
Great minds think alike.
The Spurs were 6-0. I seriously doubt that they'd drop their first home game with the Finals on the line..Also, OKC is 7-0 at home thus far in the playoffs. I seriously doubt they drop their first home game with the Finals on the line, but keep hope alive, amirite?
Oh wait.
Less than 10%.
You can make a case that the series should be over already. OKC did lead in game 1.
At this point, I'm only confident in Manu, Leonard, and Jackson.
I can't even say which Duncan and Parker show up. Even Manu is a question mark.
spurs are already in rebuilding mode
If I hadn't witnessed 2004, maybe 35-40%?
It ain't happenin'.
It's bittersweet. The Spurs gave me somethin' I thought I'd never have again in the Duncan Era again this year: hope.
But the Thunder are just better. Their star's in his prime, comin' into his own, and the rest are followin' suit.
They had their chances. Manu is a in stud, don't wanna hear about bad shot or pass selection. Jack, too.
But they ran into a team playin' better, and a team that just had more to give.
I should be grateful they got as far as they did, that injuries didn't derail them.
But I ain't.
This sucks - wanted a fifth for Duncan like a son .
Talk about a useless, substanceless cliche.
I would say it's 15%. Winning up there will take somewhat of a miracle but this team is due to play a 7th game in the conference final. It's the only variation they haven't played yet.
I'd rather see one of them have the cojones to ask Pop what he thought he was doing in the first half.
This may be a case of confirmation bias, but Manu tends to have Kobe-esque 11-25 games after really strong outings (like tonight).
100%, the unexpected will happen.
A 1% chance.
i think tony is done, so less than 5%.
You really think 20%? Thunder haven't lost at home all playoffs, have all the momentum in the world, and even if the Spurs have a lead at any point, have shown they have the poise to withstand any runs the Spurs go on, and oh yea--they have the best closer on the court in Kevin Durant. 2% seems about right.
Problem for the Spurs is that their role players are disappearing. Even if Duncan, Parker, Ginobili, Jackon have big games--they still need a role player or two to step up--and Bonner, Splitter, Green, Neal have not shown that. Meanwhile, the Thunder role players are going to play even better at home which is guaranteed and scary for the Spurs. I don't think Ibaka and Perkins and Collison will for 21-22 or whatever they made in Game 4, but they will play better.
Spurs had a chance--actually more than a chance, 3 chances in fact, to put away the Thunder and they couldn't. No one to blame but themselves--and Pop, at this point.
Blowing 2-0 leads is easy
I'd say about 15%.
They need to have a real rotation, Parker can't get intimidated, they need about six guys to have good games simultaneously, they need OKC to miss some jumpers (especially the big 3), and they need to be so good that they're like 20 pts better than those guys because the refs will give them 15 free points.
We need to find a way to hold them to less than 95 points. That means about 43% shooting and less than 14 turnovers.
It's just one game. Pop needs to keep the rotation reasonable (TP, Manu, KL, TD, Diaw, Neal, Green, Jack and Tiago with whoever is playing well plus the big three playing 35+ minutes) and the players need to play agressive on defense but calm on offense and they got to take care the ball, some of the TO's they're having are just plain dumb/soft/weak.
This team has shown signs of greatness, a win on the road shouldn't be out of their reach.
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