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Idiot...you are ing about a timeline right now.
They've never given timelines nor did they promise any...and now you are seeing on in progress...one set by the provisional government...and all you are doing is ing about it...
You have no ing point to make...and the complexity of this situation escapes you completely...you are the dog that pushes back simply because it is being pushed, with no thought as to why you are pushing back.
You are stupid.
There are so many forces at play here that it can't help but be a moderate government....Islamic or not.
You have the Kurds, the Sadrites, the Sistanis, the Saddam loyalists, the Sunnis, the external influences like the Iran Islamiscists and Al Qaeda....
The complexity of it blows anything we have ever had in this country away...
You think that simply because it's an Islamic government it will embrace Iran and their strict doctrine...indeed that's probably what Iran thinks as well...
But it's not going to work that way....about the time these Islamicists get some power, even the Iran backed ones, they are going to start looking at Iran as a threat to their power...they are going to want a division, they aren't going to want to be subordinate to Iran.....and many of the Iraqi Shia's are not Pro-Iranian.
It's a Democratic process and you can be as cynical about it as you like...but the one thing they all want(at least according to their own words) is for the US to be out...that issue will force compromise.
To tell you the truth...I don't think Al -Qaeda wants us to leave...they have long stated that their intention is to do to us what they think they did to the Soviet Union in Afghanistan...break us. But of course they weren't the major reason for it...
I wouldn't be surprised if Iran wants us stuck there as well...
It's just too complex of a situation to predict what will happen there and anyone that thinks they can is a fool...
This process will either establish a national iden y or else it might indeed lead to civil war...which gurantees at least 1 new US ally.
As for having bases in other Mid-East countries....who gives a ?
Some of those countries want us there en masse...especially the tiny ones like Qatar and Kuwait....because we are the only defense they have from the bigger countries.
