The Spurs are Back (hoopshabit)

[heyheymymy]

Patty and consistency are the only things keeping us from really being back. But even with the maddening inconsistency, we have been the 2nd best team in the conference (idk about statistically, but from the eye test) since the RRT. I genuinely believe we will play the warriors in the ECF (i don't think we are moving above 6, the clippers keep winning and portland is guaranteed the 4th spot), which means we'll have to play some combo of Houston/Memphis/Dallas in the first 2 rounds. That really doesn't sound bad to me.

What I've noticed the past 2 seasons is that the West is always deemed as a blood bath, but as the playoffs draw nearer, injuries and the law of averages really weed out who the real contenders are. I remember at the beginning of the season they were saying there were like 7-8 teams in the conference that could legitimately contend, and now its really just looking like GSW, SAS, maybe Memphis, and maybe LAC. Portland has fallen apart, Houston is a definite dark horse but I can't see them doing much, and Dallas hasn't been the same since the rondo deal.

thanks good read

[TD 21]

Oh another pumpkin!

My first argument was that he was long on assertions and very short on basis. So what do you do?



At least he gave the aggregate point differential. We know you guys want to talk about aggregate or efficiency stats or the actual outcomes along the range. You guys don't want to talk about predictive models. No instead you write more ty romance:



So now you are telling us stories about the national media that thinks with one brain as well as personifying sports teams and making up stories about that too.

It's meaningless drivel. I mean I am not adverse to romance but I prefer stories of honor as opposed to self affirming bull . Unfortunately with your stories its always about how you were right and others were fooled. It's tantamount to masturbation.

None of it has to do with anything on the court either. No team that has HCA has made it to the Conference Finals. It is what it is and you cannot even address it.

Look through my post history if you care to, I guarantee you won't find a post where I ever trumpeted anyone but the teams I listed as true contenders. I've been wrong when it comes to a few series predictions (who isn't?), but never about this.

I don't know what you're getting at with the last part. If you're referring to the Spurs, let's just say they're unique compared to most teams that don't have home court. The reason those teams almost never make it to the CF is because they're not good enough. The Spurs are only where they are due to a combination of injuries, boredom and fatigue. When healthy and engaged, even in their diminished state, they're no worse than the second best team in the conference, as most metrics are beginning to bear out.

[FuzzyLumpkins]

Look through my post history if you care to, I guarantee you won't find a post where I ever trumpeted anyone but the teams I listed as true contenders. I've been wrong when it comes to a few series predictions (who isn't?), but never about this.

I don't know what you're getting at with the last part. If you're referring to the Spurs, let's just say they're unique compared to most teams that don't have home court. The reason those teams almost never make it to the CF is because they're not good enough. The Spurs are only where they are due to a combination of injuries, boredom and fatigue. When healthy and engaged, even in their diminished state, they're no worse than the second best team in the conference, as most metrics are beginning to bear out.

Sorry puto but you don't get to interject 'look it up yourself' when it comes to reviewing your mental masturbation. I don't give a tbh. You blustering certainty in an uncertain world just goes to show your character and nothing more.

No, you are continuing to be a lazy bas who tells bad stories. That second paragraph is a steaming pile of emotional drivel. Gross generalizations like 'not good' and throway lines about stats that posit nothing. Such insight!

Most metrics? 538 is using past years data to boost their differential but outside of that you are completely full of . 538 also doesn't conflate that into post season success. The 2014 -15 stats don't say that at all really although I am sure you could try and bias out something to get a differential if you wanted to.

Now see what I did there? I actually addressed what you said. Now lets talk about the things I have said that you completely ignore and present no valid response.

1) There is no empirical data for playoff success for the top teams in either conference. All of the previous contenders are having down years.

2) Aggregate stats are one thing as they certain represent a season. It's generalized at best though. When you change it to an efficiency it has no analog to the real world. It is not representative of any sample. Further it models absolutely nothing and demonstrates no causative mechanics at all. While Sloan and others are trying to rectify that issue, biasing statistician wannabes such as yourself can only sort columns and wave your hands.

3) Your takes are declarations without basis for the most part particularly your emotional generalizations which I view as nothing more than lazy thinking.

4) You toss out generalizations about stats and never actually supply them. When I look them up they don't say what you claim.