Lord I hope not..I don't know if those people could take another hurricane after all they've been through
There is very little chance of it being a Cat 4 at landfall anywhere along the coast. It could reach Cat 4 status if it goes over that pocket of hot water, but holding that strength untill landfall is another question entirely. Espeically while under the influence of a trof.
And any evacuations are still days away. Barring the Keys of course, where people should be on their way out or already out as we speak.
Houston and Galveston have better evacuation plans and we've already gotten most of the Katrina evacuees situated in short term housing (out of the Dome).
Not to say that we don't have severe flooding issues, and some major artery issues (the ways out west and north are under construction and suffer from some severe congestion).
I lived through Tropical Storm Allison, which was awful becaused it just sat over us for days, dumping water. But it was totally surreal, because I don't live near a bayou or low point, and it was totally sunny outside, dry near my apartment, and just five minutes away, completely under water. It was amazing my part of the UH campus didn't wash away, given that we were in the basement at the time. . . at least now we're on the second floor. . . But anyhow, the real issues won't be wind damage, it'll be flooding.
I hear ya. I was in S. Padre two weeks ago. The water was awesome. I saw some guys with their jet skis and shot myself for not taking mine. I didn't want to hassle with the darn thing, but regretted it once I saw them on theirs. So, I planned to go back this weekend. Oh well. There's always Medina Lake or I can drown in Canyon Lake. J/K
The 12z run of the GFS still brings the storm ashore south of Galveston. I like that model much more than any of the storm models directing the storm to Louisiana.
That is gonna up opening weekend in the South Zone.
Dammit.
I was just watching TWC and they said mandetory evacuation for the Keys.
Yeah, less than 20 hours before it is going to hit. Sounds as though people don't learn.
I hope you get rained out.
I really hope they don't wait too long to get out
Why don't they learn? From all the accounts I've seen everyone is getting the outta there.
Don't tell me you can't outrun a catI/weakII in 20 hours.
Considering a full evac of the Keys takes 72 hours and this thing may be a catagory 3 through there, well, you do the math.
Damn...if you think gas is expensive now just wait and see what happens if that hits all the refinerys in the Baytown/Pasadena/Houston Ship channel area...
Personally, I'd rather not see that happen..My suburban is about to kill me on the gas..
Texas State at Texas A&M, Saturday, 6 PM.
Go ahead and re-name this one Hurricane Bowl II.
o, $6/gallon.
The forecast track has the eyewall going directly over my house. But that's six days away, so the precision of the forecast is sketchy. If things don't change by Wednesday, it'll be time to board everything up and head for the hills.
The NHC is still saying it is a tropical storm. I'm calling bull . That thing is a hurricane.
Some people on JM's blog were saying that the NHC tends to be conservative about the strength, so you're most likely correct in thinking that it is already a hurricane.
I vote we drop Manny down there with one of those hand wind-gauges that the news people use when they stand out in the rain.
I'm going to be in Brownsville next week to help my parents move out. Hope the rain is over by then.
I say you guys buy me a video camera and send me wherever this thing is going to make landfall.
From the 2PM EST advisory...
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RITA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LA UDE 23.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.9 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GEORGETOWN ON GREAT EXUMA IN THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 165 MILES... 265 KM... SOUTHEAST
OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 380 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH... 23 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF RITA WILL PASS OVER OR NEAR ANDROS
ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT...AND APPROACH THE FLORIDA KEYS
TUESDAY MORNING.
DATA FROM THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER ONBOARD A NOAA
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NEAR 70 MPH...115 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND RITA COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
San Antonio could see some significant flooding. Stock up on canned foods.
I've always wanted to be able to be in the middle of one to catch it on video and to be able to experience the power of one.I say you guys buy me a video camera and send me wherever this thing is going to make landfall.
How many of you have ever been to Key West? I've been 4 times. Sloppy Joe's & Hogsbreath saloons are still rockin! There are some old timers that will never leave no matter how bad it gets. Just crazy!
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