Let me requote and bold what I just said because you still don't get it:
Your argument is like saying some a drop of fell into a lake therefore the lake is completely tainted and not fit for drinking. It is an oversimplification by someone who knows nothing about statistical modeling.
Bayes rule is related, that what ESPN said they were using to calculate their predictions. You just don't understand what it means.
I'm sorry, you can't really argue with folks who really don't have the education. All you are doing is cherry picking some favorable sentences in an article and then making an over simplification.
There are a ton of advanced metrics and these all rely on Bayes Rule to build their calculations/simulations. The fact that it is the first time you ever even heard of "Bayes Rule" tells me that you are ignorant as to the mechanics of how this works out.
So please, don't make up simplifications that honestly untrue.

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