Game Thread: Spurs (19-57) @ Warriors (40-37) Friday Mar. 31, 2023 9:00PM CT 5:00AM RIGA

[BatManu20]

Sounding like Pop’s donezo

[slick'81]

Pop with the retirement top 3 pick

[daslicer]

I think the Warriors are sneakily trying to avoid that 5 seed to avoid the Suns in the first round. Not saying they want to drop to playin but I think they’d rather the 6 seed and play the Kings.

They might actually prefer to drop to 7 and play the Grizz than the Suns on round 1.

It's obvious they want the Kings. Draymond just said the other day he prefers the Kings because it's a short road trip since Sacramento is only an hour drive away from the Bay Area.

[scott]

It's not life or death, but I do prefer gaining a better pick over some supposed moral gain that can't be quantified. Moreover, if Sochan and Vassell are out I think we can pretty much go out all games and still lose them all, with the exception of Portland. So we can safely develop our young guys, while somewhat improving our lottery odds. Picking at 6 or 7 and missing on Cam Whitmore by one slot would sting.

We’re talking such long odds at being number 2 or 3 mattering, that I spend zero time worrying about it. In the history of currently flattened odds, have we had any cases where 4 teams jumped up? (This is a serious question, I do not know).

[Ariel]

We’re talking such long odds at being number 2 or 3 mattering, that I spend zero time worrying about it. In the history of currently flattened odds, have we had any cases where 4 teams jumped up? (This is a serious question, I do not know).

Not that long a shot though: Chances both #2 & #3 miss out on top 4: 20.0226%.
Those times #3 gets the short end of the stick and gets pushed down one spot: from 5 to 6 (13.0008%) or from 6 to 7 (7.0218%)
By ending up #2 you get the upper hand in that case. And by ending up tied, you split those odds and come up on top 10.0113% and behind 10.0113%
In summary, compared to getting #3 outright (baseline), jumping up to #2 alone makes a difference 20% of the time, and 10% in case you're tied for #2.
So is it that relevant? Depends a lot on the cir stances. Most times not, but sometimes it does. I'd rather err on the side of caution.

[Ariel]

BTW, checked it out... since the flattened odds (2019, 4 drafts), one time (out of 4 total) 2 of the 3 teams with the best odds (1 though 3) missed out on a top 4 pick. I happened in 2019, where coincidentally Cleveland and Phoenix were tied for the 2nd/3rd worst record but, since the former won the tiebreaker, they ended up with the 5th pick and Phoenix end up with the 6th. What was the difference? Darius Garland vs Jarrett Culver (subsequently traded). I think one more loss would warrant that one slot advantage despite the blow to team morale... or kind of

[Rocalcio]

Why is Langford always hurt?

I’m not sure he is, it’s probably just coach management. Pop has been using a lot of different lineups on purpose.

[Rocalcio]

forget the tank, nothing would please me more than to see golden state lose this game to the spurs.

This, I hate those guys. The only one I like out there is Kerr.

[Rocalcio]

Curry you miserable show boating bozo

The guy can’t help showing off, such a moron…

[scott]

BTW, checked it out... since the flattened odds (2019, 4 drafts), one time (out of 4 total) 2 of the 3 teams with the best odds (1 though 3) missed out on a top 4 pick. I happened in 2019, where coincidentally Cleveland and Phoenix were tied for the 2nd/3rd worst record but, since the former won the tiebreaker, they ended up with the 5th pick and Phoenix end up with the 6th. What was the difference? Darius Garland vs Jarrett Culver (subsequently traded). I think one more loss would warrant that one slot advantage despite the blow to team morale... or kind of

I hear ya, but I'm still not overly worried about it, especially given the uncertainty of which player is Garland in this case and which one is Culver. Of course you always want the higher pick to be able to take your guy, no argument there... I'm just not concerned about the difference between 5 and 7 in this draft, but that could change of course depending on who gets taken at 5!