What would you guys think about Josh Childress? He's not the Bowen-replacement that we've been looking for - but I'm beginning to think there is no Bowen replacement.
7. Josh Childress, Hawks -- Childress doesn't get nearly the respect or hype of many of his teammates in Atlanta, but he's been a devastatingly effective sixth man and seems expendable given all of Atlanta's wing talent. He probably can't get more than a midlevel deal on this market, but he'd be a bargain at that price.
http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/insid...Agents--071127
2004-05 .470 .823 13.6 8.1 2.5 54.3 15.1 10.6 15.1 11.8 15.22
2005-06 .552 .766 13.2 6.9 2.3 62.6 15.9 12.3 13.1 10.3 15.83
2006-07 .504 .795 14.1 6.7 2.5 58.6 15.5 9.8 14.7 10.1 16.24
2007-08 .589 .839 16.2 6.6 1.9 65.9 11.6 12.0 15.1 9.5 18.11
2007-08 (projected) .510 .780 14.5 6.5 2.8 59.7 16.42 10.7 15.18 9.91 16.60
2006-07 season: One of the game's most underrated players, Childress missed 27 games with injuries and predictably failed to maintain the crazy 55.2 percent shooting mark of a season earlier. However, his game developed enough in other areas that he still showed a gentle improvement in PER. Although used as a sub he was effectively a starter, averaging 36.9 minutes a game and often entering just a few minutes into the contest.
While his percentages weren't quite as high, Childress remained one of the rare perimeter players who can make an impact without needing the ball. He ranked seventh among small forwards in true shooting percentage and 10th in free throw attempts per field goal attempt, allowing him to score at a decent clip despite taking relatively few shots. Childress also cut down his turnovers from a season earlier, putting him ahead of the league average for his position.
Scouting report: A solid two-way player, Childress is an athletic wing who is a strong finisher around the basket and an outstanding offensive rebounder. He also draws fouls at a high rate and converts from the charity stripe, which is what helps keep his TS% so high.
He's a good ball handler and can get to the basket against slower players, but opponents lay off him because they don't respect his jumper, and that limits his opportunities. Childress didn't shoot the J often last season, and when he did it wasn't pretty. He made 33.8 percent from downtown and just 30.4 percent of his long 2-pointers. He shoots a flick shot from under his chin a la Shawn Marion, but without as much arc or accuracy.
At 6-8, Childress' size makes him a good defender against bigger wing players and an excellent roamer in zones, although he can be outmuscled by wide bodies in post-ups. He was often used as a stopper but isn't quite in that caliber in terms of his lateral movement.
2007-08 outlook: Childress is due for an extension this fall and should get a fairly sizable reward for his production the past few seasons, though it's likely his low national exposure will work against him. Similar players have been rewarded with five-year deals in the $40-50 million range, but one wonders if he'll get much above $30 million because of his relative anonymity.
Nonetheless, if you're looking for a Sixth Man Award candidate, you might want to stop here for a minute. Childress played huge minutes as a reserve last season and is likely to do so again, and he's been one of the most productive subs in basketball the past two seasons. And while Manu Ginobili and Leandro Barbosa are the clear front-runners, they might end up starting by year-end. Additionally the Hawks should be a lot better this season, and surprise teams tend to be massively overrepresented in individual award votes.
I'm not saying to go to Vegas and plunk down $100 on him winning it, but crazier things have happened.
Of course, he might work his way in as a starter himself. Certainly there was no reason to have him playing behind Marvin Williams other than that the Hawks seemed to like using him off the pine.
Most similar at age: Sean Elliott
http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/playe...?playerId=2373
Don't know how well Childress would work into the "2010 Plan", but he could be a good player for the MLE. Our resident Atlanta Hawk expert, Chump, might know how he's playing this year. LOL.