Ike

[MannyIsGod]

Choose a bad time to get there IMO. Poorly planned.

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Choose a bad time to get there IMO. Poorly planned.

They were in the Seabrook area earlier and then went down to Kemah... AFAIK, they're moving inland.

[MannyIsGod]

Gotcha. I thought they were on Galveston.

[Ginofan]

Manny, that hotel i was talking about earlier...it's in HOUSTON not Galveston. My bad.

[MannyIsGod]

Clearlake :-P

[Ginofan]

Oh I thought she said Houston, MY FREAKIN BAD! I sure hope that San Luis hotel is built better than this one...jesus!

[MannyIsGod]

Port A is gonna get really ed.

[MannyIsGod]

LOL CNN reporter out in the rain getting tossed around like a rag doll. Such a ty part of the job.

[Ginofan]

Port A is gonna get really ed.

Port Arthur? My dad has family there, they left Thursday morning though, thank God.

[baseline bum]

There are people on the roofs already in Galveston. People on top of different roofs are tying themselves together to endure the winds later on.

This may sound cold, but I don't give a . Every one of them saw people die in Katrina from storm surge because they underestimated the storm. They were told over and over they faced certain death. Now, it's too ing late, and no police nor fire workers deserve to die in trying to save the lives of these stupid bas s.

[timvp]

I do think that Rita and Gustav were both a lot worse than people realize. Especially Rita. If Katrina hadn't just happend, Rita would have been remembered as one of the worst storms in US history.

Well you know more about the strength of the storms but all I know is how the media jumped all over those two storms as being cataclysmic, world changing events. Rita specifically, I remember as it was hitting land, "experts" were talking about how gas prices were going to rise up to ten times their current price. Ended up gas prices actually went down

I agree with the fact that you have to warn people ... I just wish forecasters were better able to predict where storms were going to hit because otherwise you have the Boy Who Cried Wolf syndrome. Numerous false alarms was one of the reasons many N.O. residents didn't evacute. They way they've set up this storm, if it doesn't cause severe damage, next time people aren't going to listen.

Oh well, I guess we'll just have to wait until the day we can just start nuking tropical storms as they form

[timvp]

Anyways, when are we gonna start getting rain and wind in San Antonio? I need to plan how much time I have to get cars into their garage . . .

[Ginofan]

Well you know more about the strength of the storms but all I know is how the media jumped all over those two storms as being cataclysmic, world changing events. Rita specifically, I remember as it was hitting land, "experts" were talking about how gas prices were going to rise up to ten times their current price. Ended up gas prices actually went down

I agree with the fact that you have to warn people ... I just wish forecasters were better able to predict where storms were going to hit because otherwise you have the Boy Who Cried Wolf syndrome. Numerous false alarms was one of the reasons many N.O. residents didn't evacute. They way they've set up this storm, if it doesn't cause severe damage, next time people aren't going to listen.

Oh well, I guess we'll just have to wait until the day we can just start nuking tropical storms as they form

There's been mentions of several different ways to try and "control" the weather...I think that is just begging for trouble. You start messing with Mother Nature, she is going to you over 10 times as hard eventually.

[baseline bum]

Well you know more about the strength of the storms but all I know is how the media jumped all over those two storms as being cataclysmic, world changing events. Rita specifically, I remember as it was hitting land, "experts" were talking about how gas prices were going to rise up to ten times their current price. Ended up gas prices actually went down

I agree with the fact that you have to warn people ... I just wish forecasters were better able to predict where storms were going to hit because otherwise you have the Boy Who Cried Wolf syndrome. Numerous false alarms was one of the reasons many N.O. residents didn't evacute. They way they've set up this storm, if it doesn't cause severe damage, next time people aren't going to listen.

Oh well, I guess we'll just have to wait until the day we can just start nuking tropical storms as they form

There is no way to make any kind of long term prediction of the behavior of a system modeled by a chaotic differential equation, unless your measurements are 100.0000000000... % perfect. Correctly predicting hurricane tracks is an impossibility.

[ShoogarBear]

Anyone have an idea as to when we would start to see some breezes?

I first thought that said "start to see some beezees".

[T Park]

I first thought that said "start to see some beezees".

Channeling your inner Kanye West Shoog?

[timvp]

There's been mentions of several different ways to try and "control" the weather...I think that is just begging for trouble. You start messing with Mother Nature, she is going to you over 10 times as hard eventually.

Eh maybe but it's already being done ... granted, on a much smaller scale. If there is a way to slow down a hurricane before it hits land, I'd be all for it.

There is no way to make any kind of long term prediction of the behavior of a system modeled by a chaotic differential equation, unless your measurements are 100.0000000000... % perfect. Correctly predicting hurricane tracks is an impossibility.

Agreed, however the current system I think has a ways to go until it is optimized. And since the current predictions are so inaccurate, that's part of the danger is crying wolf too early because then you will effect how people will evacuate when they really need to. People knew in plenty of time that Katrina was going to be IT but with so many previous false alarms, a good percentage didn't believe the warnings.

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

We're gonna try a Skype Livestream in a bit...

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Here's Gerber's Skype call during our 630p.

http://www.ksat.com/video/17462772/index.html

[ShoogarBear]

I imagine that the UT Medical Branch is going to be destroyed?

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Gerber's videoblog about meeting a family who was trying to evacuate at the last minute.

http://www.ksat.com/video/17462900/index.html

[Ginofan]

Gerber's videoblog about meeting a family who was trying to evacuate at the last minute.

http://www.ksat.com/video/17462900/index.html

Nice of them to try and help that family out...too bad they didn't take it. And why were they trying to take all that with them? Man, just throw the necessities in the truck and get your family out of there as quick as possible...ugh!

[MannyIsGod]

There is no way to make any kind of long term prediction of the behavior of a system modeled by a chaotic differential equation, unless your measurements are 100.0000000000... % perfect. Correctly predicting hurricane tracks is an impossibility.

Thats basically the issue. Its pretty much impossible to feed enough information into the current global models to get the most out of them. Thats why when a storm is up they run flights to sample the atmosphere all over the area of a storm. It helps but you just can't factor in every synoptic item enough. happening over CAlifornia while the storm is in the Gulf decides whether or CC or Houston gets nuked.

One day they'll have better models and better info to enter into them but until then this is all we have. They get better every year, though.

[MannyIsGod]

Eh maybe but it's already being done ... granted, on a much smaller scale. If there is a way to slow down a hurricane before it hits land, I'd be all for it.

Not gonna happen. These hurricanes release more energy than we are able to safely expend at this time. Basicaly a storm will release over 200 times the entire amount of energy generated by humans in one day.

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

I've got a Livestream of the Skype call until 10:35 p.m.

http://www.ksat.com/video/17460791/index.html