I thought of that when I was considering doing a forecast. I was considering doing averages whether the player DNP'd or not. But I figured that and my predictions might not go over too well, so I just took a pass.![]()
This TBH. Bench will play. Pop always plays the long game: keeping guys healthy and bouncy for the playoffs, not running guys into the ground who will then flameout. You could argue a number of play-off teams have flamed out in recent years because of lack of bench support, injuries or some guys having had too much of a burden. Regular season is when you find out who among the new kids is going to give you some energy when the team needs it.
I thought of that when I was considering doing a forecast. I was considering doing averages whether the player DNP'd or not. But I figured that and my predictions might not go over too well, so I just took a pass.![]()
This is what I'm curious about as well..![]()
You would have to predict how many points the team will average (let's say 105), multiply by 82 (8610), decide how many points to assign to each player and how many games they'll each play, and then divide to get their averages. Unless you assume every player plays all 82, the averages will add up to more than 105.
No, I was saying counting a DNP as a zero and game played. So, players with high DNPs would have significantly reduced averages.
Yes, that would work. But if a key player misses a bunch of games due to injury, his average would be skewed. Example: a 20 PPG scorer misses half the season, this method gives him an average of 10, which drastically understates his importance to the offense.
That's what makes it kind of fun. Guessing production and durability. Would want to put KL for 78 games or more or guess that he has another freak injury? Will The Big Three have a record amount of DNPs? Will Jimmer play 10 game or 65? Etc.
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