I've got a couple of friends who, after the first-game comeback, said they were coming over and forcing me to watch tonight's game. I'm still just as down on the league as I have been, but I'll toss out a few observations:
The Warriors clearly don't think they are going to get beaten by Tim Duncan shooting 19/20-footers from straight away, and I'm forced to agree. They're giving that shot away just about any time he wants it. He'll make some, but it's a relatively low-percentage shot without the payoff of a 3-pointer. If taking that shot was sucking a defender out, he could take it often enough to keep them honest, and pass other times. But they're staying down in the middle, and watching him shoot it. I'd just about rather see him taking 3-pointers. Actually, I'd like to see him taking some of those 12/14-footers off the glass. They might actually have to honor that shot, which would keep them a little more honest on defense.
Before tonight, Klay Thompson was 12-39 from the 3P line in the playoffs. The Spurs need to put some good, hard playoff fouls on both him and Curry, to take them out of their rhythm and give them something to think about. (Where's Robert Horry when you need him?) It wouldn't hurt my feelings to see them commit a few more hard fouls on the floor, and a few less ticky-tack shooting fouls. And when they do commit a shooting foul, make damn sure the shot doesn't go up clean. As Charles Barkley has said on more than one occasion, "See if he can get up off the floor and make the next one." I hate to say it, but the Spurs looked soft. Tim, Tony, and Manu all three kept looking for whistles - sometimes it didn't look like even they expected the shots to fall. I've seen them do it before, and it's never a good sign. And Bonner was looking for a whistle on just about every freaking rebound. Yeah, Matty, you got pushed... push back harder. Because even if you get out of this round, Z-Bo is gonna kick your soft ass.
The Warriors played as good as they are capable of, and the Spurs still had to throw it away to lose. Unfortunately, the Spurs played like the inexperienced team tonight. Some of the biggest examples I can remember are:
1. At the end of the 3rd, the Spurs had closed a 19-point halftime lead down to just 8 points. Neal chucked a 3-pointer, trying to preserve a 2-for-1 opportunity. Manu got the long rebound with 27 seconds on the game clock, and a new shot clock. Manu has been around long enough to know that he should have pulled it back out and tried to get a shot right at the shot-clock buzzer. Maybe take a 6-point deficit into the 4th, but preserve the 8-point deficit as the worst case. (Assuming the Spurs could keep GS occupied for the last 3 seconds.) Instead, he threw a too-late, off-target pass to Green in the corner. Manu wanted a shot to go up, and Green didn't have much choice but to take it. That left GS enough time to make that 3-pointer at the other end as the buzzer sounded. It gave them an 11 point lead, and let them believe that they didn't have to collapse. Manu always plays high-variance ball, but that was just stupid. There's no excuse for piss-poor clock management from a team that is supposed to be so disciplined. IMO, that one play killed the Spurs' comeback and allowed GS to win the game.
2. For most of the game, Kawhi's offense looked like a rookie who had never been to the playoffs before. He was so tight, it's a wonder he didn't break something. Everybody misses shots, but he short-armed everything about as badly as I have ever seen. If there's an explanation other than nerves, I'd love to hear it.
3. For a critical stretch in the second half, Danny Green was giving Curry a world of on the defensive end. He tapped the ball out of his hands several times, got one steal, forced him to give the ball up, and generally kept him out of rhythm. Next thing you know, Pop's got Kawhi on Curry, and he's blowing into the paint for an easy score. I don't know what happened in the first game, but tonight he should have kept Green on him until he quit being effective. That's on Pop.
4. The Spurs got stops, steals, and turnovers in the 4th, and squandered virtually all of them. Mostly with crappy passing, and trying to force the issue around the basket instead of kicking out and re-setting the offense. The two that really come to mind were Parker getting his own offensive rebound, and then trying to force up a shot with 4 GS players around him, and Manu getting the ball after a Danny Green block, and trying to force a fast break that just wasn't there. Those plays reeked of desperation, not the confidence of seasoned vets who believe they are the better team.
I've always been a student of the mental aspects of the game, momentum and timing. Robert Horry knew better than anyone that there are certain points in a game, and in a series where you can put a dagger in your opponent with a big play or two. I know every made shot looks the same in the box score, but when it gets in the opponents' heads, it can count for a lot more. Right now, the Warriors are as loose as a team can be. They're playing with house money, and all the pressure is off. But it's hard for an upcoming athlete to really believe that he belongs at the top, the first time or two that he challenges. The Warriors believe they can beat the Spurs - especially now. But it's going to be a lot harder for them to see themselves actually closing them out of a 7-game series. That nothing-to-lose at ude will start to evaporate when they realize that they have everything to lose. And the basket that looks so big right now will start to shrink along with it. Believe it or not, the more they win, the harder it will get for them. As bad as the Spurs looked, the Warriors' recent collapses and near-collapses are in every one of their minds. The Spurs could still finish this thing in 5 games, if they've got the toughness to go after them. Personally (and I can't believe I'm saying this) I would put Mills on the inactive list, and let Baynes and T-Mac put a little wood on Bogut and Thompson. Get one of them to lose his cool, and the distraction would be irresistible for a lot of their young guys, IMO.