How long will our Tank last?

[JPB]

Spurs are probably at least 3 years away from the postseason. Maybe 2 if they get Wemby and he's as good as advertised.

I strongly disagree with that. With the young core + this year's draft pick + cap + trades, they can be compe ive as soon as next year.

[LeBowen]

It all depends on this year's draft and the development of youngsters.

Imo, without all the blatant tanking and sitting players almost every single winnable game, this is a ~30 wins roster already. And almost everyone is improving. So even if we disregard the draft and all the cap space and just assume we start the next season with the same same roster and a couple of rotation veterans added, 30 to 35 wins isn't that unrealistic if noone gets injured.

Then there's the draft. Hopefully we land a top3 pick and don't pick the wrong player. Regardless of who we get, I think there won't be any other major roster moves in 2023. No more tank, just let the kids play their best and see how far they get. Something like Utah this season, borderline play-in team.

If we get Victor/Scoot/Miller/whoever and they turn out to be the real deal, we'll see a big move in summer of 2024. Free agent, a disgruntled star or whatever. Keldon could get packaged if our new star is a wing, as already mentioned a lot of times in here.

Looking at the rest of the conference, most teams are close to their expiry date.
Suns, Clippers, Warriors, Lakers, Blazers are all old and they'll either need major revamp or they'll blow it up after 2024 playoffs.

Kings and Memphis should be the best teams in the conference for years to come, unless Ja completely destroys Memphis.
Mavs have their one-two punch, but their supporting cast is horrible and they've got no assets left. I can see Luka requesting a trade in a couple of years.
Kings are good, but need to show they're the for real. They play literally no defense.

Rockets are a dumpster fire, Pelicans should've been in the playoffs already but it seems that Zion is another Oden, with Ingram also unable to stay healthy.

Leaving OKC, Jazz and hopefully Spurs as the upcoming teams to take playoff spots.

[Ed Helicopter Jones]

Depends on who we draft and how NBA ready that person is.

Ideally next season sucks and we draft high. The following season we're on the cusp of being a contender, and then the following year is the breakthrough season and the Spurs are back to being relevant and in the conversation of the league's top 8 teams.

But who knows, we're a small market team on a limited budget. We could suck for the next decade.

[rascal]

I doubt Utah will have a pick high enough this year to get Toronto's pick from us .. only top 6 protected is pretty valuable..

Utah has three picks this year.
Don't count on that Toronto pick being a lottery pick next year.

I expect them to be a top ten team next year so a pick in the 20s next year.
If the Spurs like a player in the teens this year they should trade that pick.

[mo7888]

Utah has three picks this year.
Don't count on that Toronto pick being a lottery pick next year.

I expect them to be a top ten team next year so a pick in the 20s next year.
If the Spurs like a player in the teens this year they should trade that pick.

I expect Toronto to take a step back unless they can pull a trade that isn't on the horizon right now. Resigning their guys isn't going to help them improve.

[MultiTroll]

I expect Toronto to take a step back unless they can pull a trade that isn't on the horizon right now. Resigning their guys isn't going to help them improve.

Nephew and the whole team coming together might be a once every 25 years for Toronto.
Might be once ever.

Sad (to me) Nephew didn't stay one more year.
Still could have done Uncles LA plan.
I like Toronto people.

[rascal]

I expect Toronto to take a step back unless they can pull a trade that isn't on the horizon right now. Resigning their guys isn't going to help them improve.

I expect Toronto will be better next year.

Don't expect a top 15 draft pick next year from that Toronto pick.

[mo7888]

I expect Toronto will be better next year.

Don't expect a top 15 draft pick next year from that Toronto pick.

You've made your belief clear...as have I...

[baseline bum]

I strongly disagree with that. With the young core + this year's draft pick + cap + trades, they can be compe ive as soon as next year.

21 wins to say 48 wins? Are we getting another prime David Robinson this summer or something?

[DPG21920]

Ya, even Lebron didnt make playoffs his first season. Now, we can say SA overall roster and situation is better than that, but 2 years would be an aggressive timeline even with Wemby for example.

[stnick2261]

It's not just Wemby... you have to include all of the missed games by our good players for whatever reason... and all of that cap space that can be used to get a FA (most likely in summer '24 so we know what we really need).

[RC_Drunkford]

It all depends on this year's draft and the development of youngsters.

Imo, without all the blatant tanking and sitting players almost every single winnable game, this is a ~30 wins roster already. And almost everyone is improving. So even if we disregard the draft and all the cap space and just assume we start the next season with the same same roster and a couple of rotation veterans added, 30 to 35 wins isn't that unrealistic if noone gets injured.

Then there's the draft. Hopefully we land a top3 pick and don't pick the wrong player. Regardless of who we get, I think there won't be any other major roster moves in 2023. No more tank, just let the kids play their best and see how far they get. Something like Utah this season, borderline play-in team.

If we get Victor/Scoot/Miller/whoever and they turn out to be the real deal, we'll see a big move in summer of 2024. Free agent, a disgruntled star or whatever. Keldon could get packaged if our new star is a wing, as already mentioned a lot of times in here.

Looking at the rest of the conference, most teams are close to their expiry date.
Suns, Clippers, Warriors, Lakers, Blazers are all old and they'll either need major revamp or they'll blow it up after 2024 playoffs.

Kings and Memphis should be the best teams in the conference for years to come, unless Ja completely destroys Memphis.
Mavs have their one-two punch, but their supporting cast is horrible and they've got no assets left. I can see Luka requesting a trade in a couple of years.
Kings are good, but need to show they're the for real. They play literally no defense.

Rockets are a dumpster fire, Pelicans should've been in the playoffs already but it seems that Zion is another Oden, with Ingram also unable to stay healthy.

Leaving OKC, Jazz and hopefully Spurs as the upcoming teams to take playoff spots.

this