Who am I afraid of playing? The answer is pure and simple, I fear nobody. Not only are the Spurs the reigning champs, but we're undefeated so far as well. Now, I realize this streak will not last and some other teams will rise. But at this point in time none of the "big" teams have shown me anything unstoppable or worthy of fear. With time my concerns will surely grow, but I refuse to be worried over hype and some pundit's analysis. When a team shows me consistent effort and production then I will change my tune.
Looking at all the teams in the league there seem to be several different types and different tiers of concerning teams.
The first group is just one team: Milwaukee. The Spurs are 8-10 against them in the Duncan era and have a knack for losing random games against the Bucks. Fortunately, we seem to be the only team in the league that ever has consistent problems with them...and they're a long-shot to get into the playoffs anytime soon....even in the east.
The second group are the rising stars. Houston, Chicago and Boston appear to be the most improved teams from a talent standpoint this season across the entire league. Many are picking them to win their divisions, conferences as well as a variety of other personal awards. However, they are all largely unproven. These teams are likely to have problems with team chemistry at some point and do not have the innate knowledge of each other's games. Boston has the added problem of having virtually no depth while Houston is a perenial first round exit (a trend they will have to break). Chicago is very young, and there are concerns surrounding their general lack of experience. Although their chemistry is significantly better than the other two. All of these teams could be serious problems for the Spurs, but until I see the development of team chemistry and the formation of consistency then I'm not too worried.
The final group are the falling stars. Dallas, Phoenix and Detroit are all members of this group because I feel their rosters have not progressed this year but rather regressed. The loss of Ben Wallace last season showed obvious symptoms of problems all season for the Pistons last year. But the Pistons were still a force to be reckoned with. Still, Nazr Mohammed just can't bring the same intensity that Ben did, and I haven't seen enough improvement to think things will change too much. Of course, when Rodney Stuckey is healthy again he could be a nice piece very quickly. Phoenix took a serious step back this year by trading away Kurt Thomas (the only Duncan "stopper"). With questions about Stoudemire's knee apparent already as well as the impending injuries to Grant Hill (it's only a matter of time) I just can't see this team being a legitimate problem to the Spurs. I could be wrong, but the Suns must prove me wrong first. Lastly is Dallas. While Dallas has not regressed, per se, as many of the others teams have, it appears the Spurs have identified ways to match up better with them. Elson and Udoka offer a variety of new solutions to Dirk and Howard. Plus the Vaughn/Washington combo is already superior to Van Exel/Udrih. And I do recognize the fact that Dallas was able to oust the Spurs last time they matched up in the playoffs. However, that was with an injured Duncan, dismal backup PG role and range-less Parker to manage that in a game 7 overtime. It was hardly a resounding sweep or even sturdy defeat. Sometimes we forget just how close Dallas was to packing their bags that night. However, the most important development in the decline of Dallas is the mental hits. Dirk has proven that he is anything but clutch (unless Manu fouls him late though) in recent postseason ventures and nobody on the team is willing to pick up the mantle once Dirk drops it. Frankly, I fear Dallas by default because of the loss, not out of common sense. They haven't given me a reason to truly fear them yet (albeit, they haven't had very long to do so either). I know that will change quickly, but until I see how we match up with them I think it is too quick to speak.
PS: I know a lot of people will question the lack of Denver on this list. Frankly, at this point, I think they're a moot point.