I disagree with you about the Forrest fight as i had o winning that one. I thought he crushed him in RD 1, had Forrest down taking elbows most of the RD, he cut him and hurt him. I had that a 10-8 Rd, gave Forrest the 2nd 10-9 and the 3rd i had even, great close RD and a great overall fight. o was also fighting with a bad knee and he pulled it out. The Evans fight he had it won. Won the first Rd easy. 2nd Rd he had Evans in a guilatine choke, locked in tight, he was in deep trouble and got saved by the bell big time. o fought a poor 3rd RD against Evans in the last min or so. People are hyping Machida a lot these days and i am not sure if that is more about where he is at right now or just the o haters wishful thinking that o will get his ass kicked.
Personally from what i have seen of Machida, i don't think he is kicking o's ass. A lot of people were stunned he beat Sokoudjou and now he is going to own o, i am not so sure.
Looking at his record he is 12-0, people say he has great hands but he's got only 3 KO's. They say he has great Sub but he has only 3 of them. 7 Victories by decision and i can see o winning a decision here. I was not impressed with Machida's takedown defense in his last fight and o is a strong wrestler. If he gets top position he is very tough to Sub, has only happened twice in his career, not since the Frank shamrock fight ages ago. I don't see o getting Sub here i really don't. If Machida wins it will be on Pts or by KO. o wins it will be on Pts or overwelms him with the GNP. Interesting fight, i think o can win it.